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2012 Kempom System

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Posted: #1651
The odds makers know more than all of us put together when creating a line. 
 
Rookie
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Posts: 846
Posted: #1652
exactly Jeff... it's all about minimizing the distance between what they know and what youre capable of figuring out
 
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Posted: #1653
Do we have a play for the games tonight???
 
Legend
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Posted: #1654

Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

The odds makers know more than all of us put together when creating a line. 
Not entirely true. Some people that follow a team exclusively have a better bead on their squad than number crunchers.

 

 
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Posted: #1655

I just wanted to provide you guys with some (hopefully) useful info.  Since Smith has been out, the line on Austin Peay has been drastically off 2 of the last 3 games.  You can look at it 2 ways...if Vegas is assuming he is not playing and the current line is already taking that into consideration then is it really a system play.  If its not taking it into consideration, then you would assume they would be getting even more points.  I wish you all luck with this tonight no matter which way you go...I personally will be watching this one from the sidelines with no vested stake.

It would be interesting if after all my comments, he goes and plays tonight.

 
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Posted: #1656

Quote Originally Posted by mattykid130713:

Do we have a play for the games tonight???

 

hey guys...don't know what happened but I posted earlier....1 play:

Austin peay +13.....cant find it or it never go submitted..gl  ryno

 
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Posted: #1657
thanks ryno....on it at 12.5
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1658
Keep thid thread up!!! $$$$$
 
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Posted: #1659
Dang I missed that play again! Gotta keep up with you winners lol
 
Rookie
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Posts: 548
Posted: #1660
Almost another straight up winner in Peay! Covered the spread easily!
 
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Posted: #1661
Good night again.lets look to tommmorrow now
 
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Posted: #1662
Great job whoever came up with. While this is working wonders for all, just wanted to ask if any of you think the betting pool of kenpom will ever be big enough for these games that the books will start shaving points?

Also, what games qualify tomorrow?
 
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Posted: #1663
Rice      Tex arl.     Cal st full.  Forman.     Geo southern
 
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Posted: #1664
I am out and about not positive .i took. A quick look .please correct if wrong .thank you. Mad good luck
 
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Posted: #1665
Nice call on Peay guys
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1666
Quote Originally Posted by jack4469:

Rice      Tex arl.     Cal st full.  Forman.     Geo southern

Texans Arlington and Fullerton aren't official plays because they aren't double digits. Rice is borderline depending on where old dominion is ranked after all the games are finished. 
 
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Posts: 619
Posted: #1667
Old Domino rank is 200 but line just under dd at 9.5 !
 
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Posted: #1668
Not sure about rice but sure looked like old domino has giving up on season the way they played against tulsa.Didn't show up at all!
 
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Posted: #1669
But danny manning's got tulsa playing hard.
 
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Posted: #1670
Ty Oreo.just made it home and saw the lines on heritage.have a good one and lets keep. Rolling.
 
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Posted: #1671
U r welcome, jack
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1672
Not sure of conf that it stays away from but think troy might be a play?
 
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Posted: #1673
Quote Originally Posted by pulltabpetey:

Not sure of conf that it stays away from but think troy might be a play?

Not an official play, since UL-L is #134 in rankings. But it is definitely worth looking at, since it is close to the #140. There are a few today that are close to qualifying that I'm looking a little closer at to see if I like. I know Ryno and Kine would tell you, if you like it, play it. 
 
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Posts: 1894
Posted: #1674
Quote Originally Posted by ryno23:

 

hey guys...don't know what happened but I posted earlier....1 play:

Austin peay +13.....cant find it or it never go submitted..gl  ryno

ryno i dont see your post about Austin peay............please could you post the official plays  everyday, because another guys post different plays and that could confuse the player. thanks in advance.

 
 
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Posts: 1332
Posted: #1675
I see Rice +9.5 borderline...Furman +13.5 and Georgia Southern +7.5. Not official but am playing these. Bet overnight lines.
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