All Forums | College Basketball

2nd half betting...The way to winning

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 28529
Posts: 72
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2988
Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by joshfactor:

LOL at this thread. if you think you can get winners capping 2nd halves, please indulge us with a tracking thread & your wisdom on this system.

fact is, half time lines will simply mirror the game line where possible. When not possible, the main goal is to prevent a large middle or prevent players stuck on a bad line from hedging out. simple as that.

Once in a while, an odd 2nd half line will give you a winner, when vegas sets up a huge middle. then you know vegas is not afraid of being middled. but that situation is very uncommon, only happens when a 15 point underdog is up by 15 at the half.

Original poster.... you should really listen to this. He is 100% correct and knows what he is talking about. But you will probably choose to ignore it.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2006
Posts: 1357
Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:

Utah St -6 2 units

I came home and looked at the 2nd half lines that were available.  I then looked at the halftime stats and I picked Denver because they had a lot ofbetter 1st half stats then Utah St, like more 3 pts and less turnovers..
Betting 2nd halfs in b-ball is hard.  Yes it pays to be patient, but there is no exact science.  Books love 2nd half bettors, and that is why 2nd half betting came about.
Good luck though.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2008
Posts: 275
Posted: #53
I rolled with wisc +4.5 strictly on this theory...I won't be a hater if it loses either haha..good work man
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 813
Posted: #54
Haven't read through all of these, but for every example you gave there is one that went the opposite way.  2nd halves are good to bet because you can analyze the way teams played in the first half.  If Team A is a good shooting team but they have only shot 29% in the first half and are still winning by 1, they are likely a good 2h bet.  If Team A is outrebounding Team B by 12 at the half and Team B has it's best 2 players in foul trouble, Team A is likely a good 2h bet.  You can't just bet every game based on what you think is a incorrect line. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2008
Posts: 275
Posted: #55
loll wisconsin brings home the cash with a meaningless half court shot at the buzzer
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 4718
Posted: #56
So to put it in plain English, your trend says that:

If the 2H line has the favorite failing to cover the full game line, then take the dog to cover the 2H.

If it has worked over a long time, then you've got something, but there is nothing to say that the linesmakers know the out come of the 2H or the game and are telling you so.

If a -10 fav is up by 5 at half and the fav is favored by only 2, then they think the game will be tight in the 2H. That the fav will not run away with it. But they are not foretelling for sure that the dog will cover the 2H.

2H betting can be good if you know basketball and can watch the 1H and make your bet based on what you see. It will save you from some surprise ambushes. But you might also miss some easy wins that you didn't get in on before the game. You could bet light before the game and much more at the half based on what you see.

GL
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 68
Posted: #57
ND- Zags thoughts???
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 68
Posted: #58
is sdsu's defense serious? christ. 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 4718
Posted: #59
Gonzaga favored by 12 for the game. Up 13 at half. 2H line is Gonzaga by 4 so line is saying Gonzaga wins the game and the full game line of -12. But is it really telling you for sure that Gonzaga will cover the 2H line of -4?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 114
Posted: #60

I believe this fits your system.

E. Wash +4 in 2h.

E. Wash up 38-24 at the half.  Books saying E.Wash is going to win game by 10 although they started out as 3 pt dog.  6 minutes left and E. Wash is up 23-20 in 2H. 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 114
Posted: #61

Just a question, but have you noticed a winning % correlation between the delta of game line and 2H. 

i.e. E.Wash 2h stating E.Wash wins by 10 is a 13.5 pt delta from the game line of Idaho -3.5.

i.e. UNCW 2h +3 stating an adjusted game line of PK, which is only a 3 pt delta from Tol -3.

68% is good, but just curious if there is any correlation to winning percentage?

 

 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 57
Posted: #62
The other night. Colorado was a 3 point favorite against Georgia. Georgia was up 5 at the half. Colorado was -3 in the second half and won by 2. Im not saying this doesnt work but was that just a situation where you chalk up a loss?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2011
Posts: 261
Posted: #63

Quote Originally Posted by scogan85:

loll wisconsin brings home the cash with a meaningless half court shot at the buzzer

After a meaningless Wis foul that came 8 seconds too late. Gotta love cashing on a prayer.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2011
Posts: 261
Posted: #64

Jumped on Buff and Ohio, a win and a push.

Didn't stay up for he E Wash line but I'm guessing it was a loser.

So 1-1-1 for yesterday? Or did I miss one?

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2006
Posts: 4718
Posted: #65
2-2 on his posted plays. Then we think the late plays would have been Whisky 2H winner, Gunzaga 2H winner and E. Wash 2h Loser.

So that would be 4-3.

Let's see how it goes today.

Better, can anyone run a program and see how it has done in the past year(s). Might be hard to get all that 2H data.

Hey it if works, then a trend is a trend, whether it is based on uniform colors or this. But don't think that it works because "Vegas knows" the outcome.

GL
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2009
Posts: 131
Posted: #66
I'm not sure i followed this correctly, but... went 6-0-1 last night.

UNLV -2.5
MINN -3
S ALABAMA +4.5
DUQUESNE PK   PUSH
PENN ST -4
BUFF +7.5
TOLEDO -4

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2011
Posts: 12243
Posted: #67
Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:

2-2 on his posted plays. Then we think the late plays would have been Whisky 2H winner, Gunzaga 2H winner and E. Wash 2h Loser.

So that would be 4-3.

Let's see how it goes today.

Better, can anyone run a program and see how it has done in the past year(s). Might be hard to get all that 2H data.

Hey it if works, then a trend is a trend, whether it is based on uniform colors or this. But don't think that it works because "Vegas knows" the outcome.

GL

 

 

I ran out after I played Utah St, so it went 2-2 on my posted plays....

Wisconsin and Zags would have been winners as well if I played them so it went 4-2....

E Wash would not have fit the trend....The spread for the game was only 3.5, there is no way vegas would put out a line for a 4 point favorite to come back from down 12 at half....

This differs from the Marshall game.  Marshall was a 8 point favorite down 9 at half.  If the 2nd half was Marshall -8.5 or 9, meaning the line had them winning the game, Marshall would have been the play.  But, since the 2nd half line had them losing the game, Ohio was the play.

Same reason I played Utah St which was way wrong.  Utah St was the 6 point favorite before the game, and the 2nd half line had them coming back to WIN the game, therefore Utah St was my play which was way off.

Same with Penn St, Penn St 2nd half line had them coming back to win the game. 

So, my posted playes were 2-2, but if I played all night would have went 4-2 after 6-0 last night.....

Its funny all the people coming on here bashing.  This isnt some creative system I claim to have created, just something I have been noticing. 

Even when you come on to covers, and try to point out something that has been winning more than it loses, people still arent happy

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 1001
Posted: #68
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 1001
Posted: #69
I enjoy incite from others whenever I get a chance. I appreciate all the advice that you have freely given, unlike others who just want to downplay success. It is so funny that people come to your thread and make all these hatred comments instead of just reading it and if they dont agree just leave the tread.

I cant believe how you stated right off the top that this is not a 100% guarantee and it doesnt work all the time but people still insist that you got this one or that one wrong. Even if you went 3-2 on every halftime bet you still win 67% of the time. I will take that anyday of the week.

I wish you the best of luck and I will follow your thread.   

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 87
Posted: #70

nice system

 

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 2302
Posted: #71
Hey guys... in case you were interested, I have compiled a winning thread in the NCAAB forum.

2H winning record sits around 60% and from what I have researched we can hit that or even better during the tournaments.

Go to NCAAB and look for 2H Gold.

Last week we hit for 22 units profit...

Join me there and have alot of fun and make some cash starting today.

Kodi
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2014
Posts: 122
Posted: #72

 

@qaajo

 No...

 

3-2 is not 67%.......??

 

3/5=60%

 

Not sure where you came up with that.  

All Forums | College Basketball
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.