Came down to earth with 1-2 on the night. Tough breaks on New Mexico and Buffalo. Time to get back on track for Thursday. HOWEVER, I consider this night an absolute big win for anyone who tailed my plays as we won a big 3 team ML dog parlay (Ok State, Drake, Loyola Illinois) That's enough to make me forget about the 1-2 night.
South Dakota State -3: If anyone has followed me, they would know that the Jackrabbits are a team I like to back. So for me, I am backing them until they give me a reason not to. But for those of you who want stats, Jackrabbits are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 and 23-9 in their last 32 overall.
Leans:
Iowa +2.5: Must win for the Hawkeyes if they want to see any madness. Michigan has been pretty decent without their best player, but I think Iowa comes away with a W. Just leaning for now.
Will add more plays and final card later.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Came down to earth with 1-2 on the night. Tough breaks on New Mexico and Buffalo. Time to get back on track for Thursday. HOWEVER, I consider this night an absolute big win for anyone who tailed my plays as we won a big 3 team ML dog parlay (Ok State, Drake, Loyola Illinois) That's enough to make me forget about the 1-2 night.
South Dakota State -3: If anyone has followed me, they would know that the Jackrabbits are a team I like to back. So for me, I am backing them until they give me a reason not to. But for those of you who want stats, Jackrabbits are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 and 23-9 in their last 32 overall.
Leans:
Iowa +2.5: Must win for the Hawkeyes if they want to see any madness. Michigan has been pretty decent without their best player, but I think Iowa comes away with a W. Just leaning for now.
Kingscorpio, don't think you want to go down the stretch under .500 in the conference. Not really the vibes you want your team to have. That's my reasoning on a must win.
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Kingscorpio, don't think you want to go down the stretch under .500 in the conference. Not really the vibes you want your team to have. That's my reasoning on a must win.
Love SD St., I have played them a ton over this current streak they've been on... but something seems fishy about this line to me... Will wait to watch line movement today before locking in
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Love SD St., I have played them a ton over this current streak they've been on... but something seems fishy about this line to me... Will wait to watch line movement today before locking in
Love SD St., I have played them a ton over this current streak they've been on... but something seems fishy about this line to me... Will wait to watch line movement today before locking in
I agree with you when I was looking at this last night, but this is a lot like the ATL Hawks and their run. No matter what the spread says, I am going to play it until they give me the reasons to back off for awhile.
Looking at the numbers I would say that they match up pretty evenly on paper as they both give up nearly the same ppg and have great ATS records.
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Quote Originally Posted by WhiteGoodman11:
Love SD St., I have played them a ton over this current streak they've been on... but something seems fishy about this line to me... Will wait to watch line movement today before locking in
I agree with you when I was looking at this last night, but this is a lot like the ATL Hawks and their run. No matter what the spread says, I am going to play it until they give me the reasons to back off for awhile.
Looking at the numbers I would say that they match up pretty evenly on paper as they both give up nearly the same ppg and have great ATS records.
North Dakota State -8: Neb Omaha has started to jump into that fade material for me and NDSU is the better team. This is a very big lean as I want to look at it a little more before anything.
Elon -2: This is a tough game to cap for me. Nothing really stands out except PPG. Elon averages 67 and Drexel only averages 58. Drexel gives up 64 while Elon gives up 70. Drexel is 3-7 ATS on their last 10 road games but Elon is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. See what I mean? Elon is the better team but I'll try some hard evidence before making a play.
Bill and Mary -6: This is a simply game and a perfect example of how we put our trust in young college kids. If Bill and Mary try this entire game, this is an easy cover. If they play down to their competition, this will be a close 2 or 3 point victory. I'm not completely convinced yet
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Leans for today :
North Dakota State -8: Neb Omaha has started to jump into that fade material for me and NDSU is the better team. This is a very big lean as I want to look at it a little more before anything.
Elon -2: This is a tough game to cap for me. Nothing really stands out except PPG. Elon averages 67 and Drexel only averages 58. Drexel gives up 64 while Elon gives up 70. Drexel is 3-7 ATS on their last 10 road games but Elon is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. See what I mean? Elon is the better team but I'll try some hard evidence before making a play.
Bill and Mary -6: This is a simply game and a perfect example of how we put our trust in young college kids. If Bill and Mary try this entire game, this is an easy cover. If they play down to their competition, this will be a close 2 or 3 point victory. I'm not completely convinced yet
South Dakota State -3 : Ride til the wheels fall off
Elon -2 : This is the better team and spread has jumped to -3.5
Bill and Mary -6 : No matter what I do, I still get a DD win for the tribe...hope I am right.
Iowa +2.5 : I believe this is a PK now or -1, but I locked this in last night and am going to have to roll with the Hawkeyes
Leans or drops:
North Dakota St: Dropped- Line is getting to be right in that sweet spot and I don't like it.
Wofford - 1.5 : I still like this game but I try to stick to 3 picks.
UC Davis +11 : Lean: Couldn't pull the trigger, but interesting dog play for sure.
Thanks for answering my question before... I ended up taking SD st. fearing the line would go against our benefit. Just checked my book and W&M down to -4.5.. Unfortunately UCD has already dropped to +9 so I'm going to wait to see if it comes back up
GL tonight
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Quote Originally Posted by GoCapYourself:
Final Card for Thursday:
South Dakota State -3 : Ride til the wheels fall off
Elon -2 : This is the better team and spread has jumped to -3.5
Bill and Mary -6 : No matter what I do, I still get a DD win for the tribe...hope I am right.
Iowa +2.5 : I believe this is a PK now or -1, but I locked this in last night and am going to have to roll with the Hawkeyes
Leans or drops:
North Dakota St: Dropped- Line is getting to be right in that sweet spot and I don't like it.
Wofford - 1.5 : I still like this game but I try to stick to 3 picks.
UC Davis +11 : Lean: Couldn't pull the trigger, but interesting dog play for sure.
Thanks for answering my question before... I ended up taking SD st. fearing the line would go against our benefit. Just checked my book and W&M down to -4.5.. Unfortunately UCD has already dropped to +9 so I'm going to wait to see if it comes back up
WhiteGoodman: I seen that line move as well. Very surprising movement for me as I wasn't expecting that. Im stuck at 6 so we'll just hope for the best! Elon has been moving all over the place also.
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WhiteGoodman: I seen that line move as well. Very surprising movement for me as I wasn't expecting that. Im stuck at 6 so we'll just hope for the best! Elon has been moving all over the place also.
Still looking at some numbers but W&M -6 might be my ATS play of the day. Nice picks!
With the line movement (6 to 6.5 to 4.5 to 5 to 5.5 now 5) I am not sure what I am missing if something at all. Strange jumps and falls in such a short period of time. Either way, I am locked in so I had to make it public. Hoping for a better swing than last night. Doesn't look like too many people did well at all. Good luck to you tonight
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Quote Originally Posted by KingBruce:
Still looking at some numbers but W&M -6 might be my ATS play of the day. Nice picks!
With the line movement (6 to 6.5 to 4.5 to 5 to 5.5 now 5) I am not sure what I am missing if something at all. Strange jumps and falls in such a short period of time. Either way, I am locked in so I had to make it public. Hoping for a better swing than last night. Doesn't look like too many people did well at all. Good luck to you tonight
There's been a ton of funky line movements today... Unfortunately they've all been my leans for the day.. Richmond was -1 this morning and now shot up to +2 and the Georgia Southern line jumped +1 to +4.5.
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There's been a ton of funky line movements today... Unfortunately they've all been my leans for the day.. Richmond was -1 this morning and now shot up to +2 and the Georgia Southern line jumped +1 to +4.5.
I still like Georgia Southern. Richmond is the way it is because they are terrible on the road. Right now I am looking at both Richmond's and LaSalle's team totals as they are set at 57.5 and 59.5. Both teams average in the high 60s so something isnt right here.
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I still like Georgia Southern. Richmond is the way it is because they are terrible on the road. Right now I am looking at both Richmond's and LaSalle's team totals as they are set at 57.5 and 59.5. Both teams average in the high 60s so something isnt right here.
I was looking at that this morning too, I'd rather bet overall totals for games vs. team totals, though. For me it kind of boils down to betting SDst. and the ATL hawks... 7 straight ATS wins for Richmond after starting the season 2-10 I believe ATS. Lost @dayton by 3 and @GW by 3. If it goes any higher I'll roll with the hot team ATS until they don't cover (which I hope isn't tonight)
Thanks for your input though GoCap... much appreciated
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I was looking at that this morning too, I'd rather bet overall totals for games vs. team totals, though. For me it kind of boils down to betting SDst. and the ATL hawks... 7 straight ATS wins for Richmond after starting the season 2-10 I believe ATS. Lost @dayton by 3 and @GW by 3. If it goes any higher I'll roll with the hot team ATS until they don't cover (which I hope isn't tonight)
Thanks for your input though GoCap... much appreciated
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