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** Almond Joy 2H Under System Plays** 1/13

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Posted: #51
Cincinnati 71.5
Positive Thinking Movement
 
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Posted: #52

Cindy U71.5 large 

ball st line moved to 82

 
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Posted: #53

I think 76ers will a good play in the NBA 

 
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Posted: #54

Tenn U81.5 Large

 
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Posted: #55
Tennessee 81.5
Positive Thinking Movement
 
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Posted: #56
Yeah blow out. Higher chance of under.  
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Posted: #57
USF/CINN are running!
 
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Posted: #58
76ers NBA U112.5 2H
 
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Posted: #59
Suns U108
 
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Posted: #60
Tenn is done. They have call a foul on 11 straight possessions  at the 10 min mark. You can’t even bump into them in the sec
 
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Posted: #61

Rookie
QUOTE#52
Posted: 1/15/2019 7:58:13 PM

Ball St 

Cindy U71.5 

Tenn U81 

76ers NBA U121.5 

Suns U108

 System is :

14-7 NCAA

5-2 NBA

19-9 Overall

 
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Posted: #62

Quote Originally Posted by poppingbands17:

RookieQUOTE#52Posted: 1/15/2019 7:58:13 PMBall St Cindy U71.5 Tenn U81 76ers NBA U121.5 Suns U108  System is :14-7 NCAA5-2 NBA19-9 Overall

76ers was 112.5 and was a loss. Typical the day I tail goes 1-4

 
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Posted: #63
If i recall correctly an "Almond Joy" is when the first half total points scored plus the second half line is 20 points greater than the opening line total.
 
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Posted: #64
Then you bet the second half under. Hope this helps! and it doesn't happen often.
 
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Posted: #65

Yes something like that, it only happens a hand full a times a yearpeace

 
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Posted: #66

You are correct I looked at my bet slip wrong, I was counting  the bucks under 106 it hot bit I didn’t get  it posted in time 
5-3 nba 
19-9 NCAA
 
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Posted: #67
poppingbands17,

I had a few games last night that I want ask if they qualified?

MS ST/FLA 2H UNDER 74.     Halftime 36-34    2H Points 69
FORD/ ST LOUIS 2H UNDER 65.5 Halftime 34-32  2H Points 57
TOL/MIA OH 2H UNDER 77.5  Halftime  39-30   2H Points 61

You have said that the larger the spread at the Half, the better, but is there a point where that starts working against the AJ?  

UT was up 21 at the half and ARK had scored 34 points.  ARK scored 53 in the 2nd half and the OVER hit easily.

The same was true in the CINN game. CINN was up 12 at the half and SFLA had scored 31 points.  S FLA scored 43 in the 2nd Half and the OVER hit easily, exactly by 12 points that just so happened to be the difference S FLA scored in the 1st half vs the 2nd half.

Another game that came close to qualifying was the UVA game.  2H O/U 65.5 and 66 points scored in the 1st half.  UVA was up 44-22 at the half.  The 2H OVER hit as 74 points were score, 37-37.  That came close to being a play, and it would have crashed like the UT and CINN games did.

Is there a point where the difference at the half starts working against this system?  In each of these games the winner at the half maintained the effort they put forth in the 1st half or close to it, UT 55/51 CINN 43/39, UVA 44/37, but the team far behind had a much better showing in the 2nd half and the ones in play lost and the UVA game would have too if it was in play.

Would love to hear your thoughts.  Thanks


 
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Posted: #68
Made a mistake on the O/U in the UVA game.  I had 66 and they scored 66 in the 1st half.

Was going to ask if this game would be in play?  The way I listed 65.5 O/U and 66 points scored, it would have been in play.

How do equal numbers work?  For that matter how does a point or 2 difference work, i.e 70 points scored and the O/U 71 or 72?

Thanks

 
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Posted: #69
Brain dead.  Neither MS ST/FLA and TOL/MIA OH qualified.

Sorry to ask about those.  

 
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Posted: #70
Ucon under
Iowa under 
 
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Posted: #71

GBARK, the tenn and Vicky game are botj shattered the point difference theory. More times than not from what I have seen it is true but those where to exceptions to where Ot didn’t work. In the tenn fam from the 9min to like the 11 min mark there was like close to 8-10 straight Foul calls. You count even bump into a player. That game took forever to over with. In the Cincy game they cut the lead down quick right at the start of the half so that set the tone and both teams felt like the needed to keep up. Had the lead been stretched o think it would hit hit. 

 
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Posted: #72

Also in game we they are equal I look at the stats and half and if avg points for and against and the rate of their FG% in the 1H. If they got well above the avg and score well above thier 1H avegae I may make a small play

 
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Posted: #73

Like tonight I play Northern Iowa U68.5 and they scored 68 on the 1H. 

 

Apprexite you posting plays, Wed night is hard for me w/ the kids 

 

 
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Posted: #74

GBARK I meant the Tenn and Cincy game lol

 
 
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Posted: #75

Utah St U76 

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