Grabbed this line early because of two words -Anthony Cowan. Maryland’s leader is gone and it’ll show vs a very good Rutgers team (1-3 positions DD scoring). Not certain why Maryland is favorite? Not as big inside....physical play is missing from previous years, plus guards are defensively slow with their feet. Rutgers should be able to take advantage of high/low along w/ penetrate/dish. I have my line closer to Rutgers -2.5.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD +26U
1U 17-16-1
2U 9-7
5U 4-3
8U 2-0
Profitable Sunday...1-0 5U, 1-0 2U, & 1-1 1U.
Rutgers +2.5 (2U)
Grabbed this line early because of two words -Anthony Cowan. Maryland’s leader is gone and it’ll show vs a very good Rutgers team (1-3 positions DD scoring). Not certain why Maryland is favorite? Not as big inside....physical play is missing from previous years, plus guards are defensively slow with their feet. Rutgers should be able to take advantage of high/low along w/ penetrate/dish. I have my line closer to Rutgers -2.5.
Marquette lose key Senior leading scorer Howard & replaced w/ Ohio State transfer DJ Carlton. Creighton lose leading scorer Alexander, but return 4/5 starting players. Carlton isn’t the type of guard that defend well shooting teams like Creighton (especially as new transfer...time to gel w/ rest of team). Half court offense vs an explosive full court run-n-gun team is usually in successful in this league. Only way to beat this Creighton team is w/ defensive quickness around the perimeter combined w/ athletic & effecient scoring in the paint (I.e. last years Michigan, Nova, St John’s...this year KU) Don’t think Marquette starting 5 can defensively move their feet nor put up back-2-back buckets effectively. Creighton wins by 9+.
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Next: Creighton -7 (1U)
Marquette lose key Senior leading scorer Howard & replaced w/ Ohio State transfer DJ Carlton. Creighton lose leading scorer Alexander, but return 4/5 starting players. Carlton isn’t the type of guard that defend well shooting teams like Creighton (especially as new transfer...time to gel w/ rest of team). Half court offense vs an explosive full court run-n-gun team is usually in successful in this league. Only way to beat this Creighton team is w/ defensive quickness around the perimeter combined w/ athletic & effecient scoring in the paint (I.e. last years Michigan, Nova, St John’s...this year KU) Don’t think Marquette starting 5 can defensively move their feet nor put up back-2-back buckets effectively. Creighton wins by 9+.
Maybe? But no real home court advantage.... not the same at least. Maryland is prob 2 years from contending again...with recruits. But it’s the Rutgers this year as they should come in the more confident team.
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@KC_4_LIFE
Maybe? But no real home court advantage.... not the same at least. Maryland is prob 2 years from contending again...with recruits. But it’s the Rutgers this year as they should come in the more confident team.
Don’t pay attention to score results. Way too deceiving. San Houston should have a difficult time putting up anywhere above 70. LSU will, but a score of 85-65 still falls under by a margin.
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Early POD: Sam Houston /LSU Under 154 (5U)
Don’t pay attention to score results. Way too deceiving. San Houston should have a difficult time putting up anywhere above 70. LSU will, but a score of 85-65 still falls under by a margin.
Was looking at that too. Morehead shot 67.4% and 46.9% from the field and 3 respectively in the last matchup. Obviously they shouldn’t shoot that well again but Morehead did have 27 turnovers when they average around 17 a game.
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@alldub
Was looking at that too. Morehead shot 67.4% and 46.9% from the field and 3 respectively in the last matchup. Obviously they shouldn’t shoot that well again but Morehead did have 27 turnovers when they average around 17 a game.
Last year, Morehead shot 50-55% & still lost 78-71 & 80-76 at home. 2 teams seem fairly evenly matched w/ Morehead @ home (Assist/point ratio is 60%+ & home court advantage is a slight +) Looking at possible Over/Under with this one.
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@CocksBall
@alldub
Last year, Morehead shot 50-55% & still lost 78-71 & 80-76 at home. 2 teams seem fairly evenly matched w/ Morehead @ home (Assist/point ratio is 60%+ & home court advantage is a slight +) Looking at possible Over/Under with this one.
8/10 has gone under didn’t see anything changing considering Colonels rank 3rd in country in steals p/ game (13.5), 5th in forced TO (23) & 5th in TO margin (+10.3)
Morehead philosophically, knows they need to work minimizing TO’s ...hence basic fundamentals! = slowing the game down some w/ squaring up, crisp passing, open buckets.
These 2 teams know each other very well....196th game! Pretty sure each coaches game plan will offset some of the strengths of the other squad. Morehead knows they gave up a 17pt lead to turnovers and 3’s...EKU knows they didn’t force enough TO in the first half.
35-30 is a reasonable 1H score...if each team plans goes to plan, I expect a similar 2H.
FYI- I’m an UNDER’s type guy...so please follow w/ caution. I try not to force anything in unless stats/ basic math along w/ coach/player approach can equal to the same & simple results.
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Morehead State/ EKU under 146 (2U)
8/10 has gone under didn’t see anything changing considering Colonels rank 3rd in country in steals p/ game (13.5), 5th in forced TO (23) & 5th in TO margin (+10.3)
Morehead philosophically, knows they need to work minimizing TO’s ...hence basic fundamentals! = slowing the game down some w/ squaring up, crisp passing, open buckets.
These 2 teams know each other very well....196th game! Pretty sure each coaches game plan will offset some of the strengths of the other squad. Morehead knows they gave up a 17pt lead to turnovers and 3’s...EKU knows they didn’t force enough TO in the first half.
35-30 is a reasonable 1H score...if each team plans goes to plan, I expect a similar 2H.
FYI- I’m an UNDER’s type guy...so please follow w/ caution. I try not to force anything in unless stats/ basic math along w/ coach/player approach can equal to the same & simple results.
Morehead State has turned the ball over on 25.7 percent of its possessions (ranking the Eagles 306th, nationally)...
Thing I’ll be paying close attention to..
Morehead State’s coaching...
a good coach= observant, focused, goal oriented. if Morehead coach/team achieves >25, this will likely go over the Total of 146. Anything <25, we should see more balanced game going Under 139.
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Morehead State has turned the ball over on 25.7 percent of its possessions (ranking the Eagles 306th, nationally)...
Thing I’ll be paying close attention to..
Morehead State’s coaching...
a good coach= observant, focused, goal oriented. if Morehead coach/team achieves >25, this will likely go over the Total of 146. Anything <25, we should see more balanced game going Under 139.
Norther Colorado BIGS: 6’9 220lb next biggest <6’6 and under.
Colorado BIGS: 7’0 238 & 6’8 260.
Colorado should take advantage of a much smaller N Colorado team that lost 2 of their top 2 scoring guards from LY...Colorado kept up w/ top 10 Tennessee recently....Buffs win by 17+
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Colorado -13.5 (1U)
Mismatch with the BIGS.
Norther Colorado BIGS: 6’9 220lb next biggest <6’6 and under.
Colorado BIGS: 7’0 238 & 6’8 260.
Colorado should take advantage of a much smaller N Colorado team that lost 2 of their top 2 scoring guards from LY...Colorado kept up w/ top 10 Tennessee recently....Buffs win by 17+
@LaffyTaffy- when I look at this lineup the only way to keep up with Colorado bigs is to push/move the ball...physical game is out the window. Northern Cali will need to push the ball before the bigs settle in the paint defensively. Colorado’s aspect > bigs will be doubled down low so weak side and & perimeter game should open up some. Expecting a lot of open 3’s/easy layups from Colorado and transition shots from N. Colorado...question is can they knock in the buckets? To add Colorado shoots very good FT’s... like the over 135, but not play for me.
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@KasperNV
@LaffyTaffy- when I look at this lineup the only way to keep up with Colorado bigs is to push/move the ball...physical game is out the window. Northern Cali will need to push the ball before the bigs settle in the paint defensively. Colorado’s aspect > bigs will be doubled down low so weak side and & perimeter game should open up some. Expecting a lot of open 3’s/easy layups from Colorado and transition shots from N. Colorado...question is can they knock in the buckets? To add Colorado shoots very good FT’s... like the over 135, but not play for me.
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Profitable Sunday...1-0 5U, 1-0 2U, & 1-1 1U. 
I am still on Rutgers though and hoping Mulcahy can step up. 
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