YTD +42U
1U 19-18-1
2U 12-8
5U 5-3
8U 3-0
.5U Parlays 0-2
Wed Results: +10U (1-0 8U, 1-0 2U, & 0-1 1U)
Positive gains w/ +10U, getting the right read on Northeastern for my POW 8U play & Duke for 2U.
Early milestone @ +42U YTD (goal was 35U)...Reading up on tomorrow’s card and will post later tonight/early tomorrow morning. Tough card tomorrow w/ ranked teams...so taking time read up on some possible early mid majors plays 
1st Play: Creighton -6.5 (2U)
Some of us already knows that St John strives to create turnovers and push the ball for offensive opportunities. They excel @ driving hard to the basket and taking advantage of offensive rebounds w/ quick put backs. Great looking team vs. non physical teams w/ average guard play...ie Georgetown & Boston College.
On the other hand, Creighton is the best passing teams in the nation. On top of that, they’re probably top 3 in terms of the best pure shooting team out of any top 10 teams in the nation. Tough team to beat when they’re in sync around the perimeter.
With at least 3 guards always around the top of the key on offense, Creighton can quickly and easily play transition defense...great counter w/ St John’s ability to run!
Studying some tape and I just can’t imagine how St John can react quickly enough w/ Creighton’s crisp passing and quick shot release. I also believe Creighton guards are much quicker with their feet @ accelerating to the basket. On top an already poor defense, St John’s ability to defensively rotate for help side D will get exposed.
On the flip side, Creighton’s defense can box out pretty good, has decent ability to rotate defensively, and communicates w/ switching, etc...these small fundamentals are huge against a a small/quick team like St John’s!!!
St John might be able to play well in small spurts, but this Creighton team is just too good offensively to let off any vs A suspect defense. Creighton wins this by double digits.
2nd Play: UCI +4 (2U)
UCI is the 2nd youngest team in the NCAA (13 underclassman). They’ve struggled early this season with a more athletic and experienced teams in USC, San Diego State, and a strong Pepperdine squad that took UCLA to 3OT periods. But don’t discount this great program. Team will play w/ more confidence and chemistry vs a very average LMU squad.
UCI players to watch:
Freshman Dawson Baker...pure shooter that has a nice touch. Finishes in double-digit scoring four-out-of five games. He set a career-high 21 points against La Sierra and is averaging a team-high 12.6 ppg. He also led the 'Eaters in scoring against USC (17 points). Also to watch are 6’9 & 6’11 BIGS Green & Welp who has helped outrebound 3-of-5 opponents (SDSU, Bethesda and La Sierra) and has a +12.2 rebound margin through five games.
Got to also like Coach Russel Turner who is the winningest coach in UCI history....averages 20+ wins p/ season. He has been named the Big West Coach of the Year four times in his career including the 2019-20 season and has led the 'Eaters to Big West regular season titles in five of the last seven seasons.
Really love UCI in this spot playing a team that they can counter with inside and out. 3 key elements for UCI in this game are: better basketball program, better coach, and better Bigs. I’ll take the more well respected program as a 4 point dog. To be honest, I think wrong team is favored here, but I’ll take the 4 as added cushion.
Let’s fill them bags.
@Zindar408
UCI moving 1/2 point is prob an overreaction to their lost to USC. Watched some tape, and Trojans were just way more athletic that lead to a quicker 1st step...comes from experience and training @ the college level. I just feel UCI will do much better vs an opponent at their level.
POD: Kansas /Texas Tech Under 133.5 (5U)
This one stood out to me early this morning, and I decided to dive in deeper.
Something offensively isn’t right with Texas Tech. They picked up PG McClung that has incredible ball control...mix tape type handles. Issue is team lacks good offensive chemistry w/ their new guard. Team also appears to take more bad shots than good...too many 1 on 1 type shots forced shots. To add, L2 they’re shooting 15% from long( 6 for 32), and a poor 65% from the line.
Texas Tech is a pretty small team that lacks length and bigs in the key. KU is completely opposite. They’re not the same fast/explosive team from previous years. Most their offensive set is working the outside until until they find the post underneath. Don’t expect their game plan to four outside this and they face vs a much caller Tech team.
Game prediction: with KU’s length, I don’t expect Texas Tech to all of sudden get better offensively. They’ll continue to struggle. Kansas will work the post offensively....making this a very slow and physical game. I expect a this total in the mid/high 120’s. I think anything under 130 is a solid play.
Established in 1995,
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