Posted:
#76
Disclaimer. English is not my first language so excuse some misspelling and grammar error.
Some early action for saturday 11:00 AM ET:
$$$$ Leicester +0 / DNB $$$$
...or "draw no bet". Odds around -125 (1.80) at the moment, was around -116 (1.86) earlier today.
I believe many of you are somehow familiar with the English Premier League. For those of you who aren't, we're talking about soccer. 'Dark horse' Leicester is in first place of the league after 30 matches, 5 points ahead of Tottenham with only 8 games left of the season. They are to be taken seriously in this title race with a healthy squad and no cup games buggering them. The last two months they've only played 8 games while second placed Tottenham have played 14, third placed Arsenal 13 and 4th placed Man City 13 as well. Leicester are well rested and has only lost 3 of 30 league games this season.
Saturday they are playing Crystal Palace away. Palace had a great first half of the season just like Leicester. And were only 8 points behind in 5th place 12 games ago. But since 19th December they've gone 12 league games without a victory (4 draws and 8 losses) and they are now in 15th place, only 8 points from regulation instead. They have however progressed through to semi finals of the FA Cup. Not THAT impressive but a bit strange since they've been so bad in the league.
Anyway, I feel that bookmakers are still not taking Leicester seriously enough even though what they've accomplished in 4/5 of the season. As I said, they only lost 3 games so far. Twice against Arsenal and once against Liverpool - much stronger opponents than Crystal Palace. They have the best away record of all teams as well. And still they are around +150 (2.50) ML. If any other of the top teams would match up against this badly beaten Crystal Palace away today, we would probably see even money or less on the ML and close to -200 on the DNB.
This gives me the luxury of playing draw no bet (or Asian +0) without laying that much juice. And I feel very comfortable knowing that this strong side who only have been beaten 3 times (yeah I'm repeating myself, I know) will have to lose for me to lose this bet. There is no sure thing here but I'm more or less only worried they might draw and therefore play the DNB instead of ML.
Leicester have a complete starting lineup. Crystal Palace are missing 2 or 3 regular starters in the midfield, one of them is their captain who is doubtful. Also missing two more or less regular starting strikers, atleast striking options.
Been lurking this thread for some time, feeling comfortable about this one so I wanted to share my thoughts.
Feedback/criticism is always welcome.
$$$$ Leicester +0 / DNB $$$$
0
N Iowa shot of the tournament 2.7 points left to score Paul Jesperson
are you kidding hit my 3 team parlay too takes care of my only loss Oklahoma
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