Good morning y'all, had my debut yesterday on covers (pics from yesterday and eventually today below) and had a pretty good night in College Ball, looking to continue the good fortune, share feedback - thanks and lets keep it going!
Picks from 11/15
Maryland (-5) & Under 147
Michigan St. (-11)
Umass (-5)
Purdue (+6)
FSU
Texas A&M
5 WINS .... 2 loses, holla.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Good morning y'all, had my debut yesterday on covers (pics from yesterday and eventually today below) and had a pretty good night in College Ball, looking to continue the good fortune, share feedback - thanks and lets keep it going!
great job last night....I had my debut as well with a over under system and hit the nail on the head...I loved your purdue pick last night....it made me some good money...curious who you wll be on tonight..
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great job last night....I had my debut as well with a over under system and hit the nail on the head...I loved your purdue pick last night....it made me some good money...curious who you wll be on tonight..
Thanks Danny Boy - appreciate the support, going to come out with picks game by game, here is the first write up and pick:
Providence (ML) vs. St. Johns
Providence is coming off an 18 pt victory vs G'Town (1/8) (Providence scored 20 points off of Georgetown turnovers).and looking to pick up their 2nd straight Big East win vs. St. Johns - who are fresh off a 2 pt loss to Depaul (1/14). The Red Storm, who have lost 13 of their last 17 against the Friars, will play their third game in five days.
Freshman Rysheed Johnson, who had a slow start to his college career, has been scoring lately - BUT has trouble coughing the ball up, which contributed to coughing up the lead late to DePaul. St. Johns may be one of the highest rated teams in terms of athleticism, but their basketball acumen and ability to mesh is what is causing them problems. Depth has never been a question, as they have a solid 11 man rotation, so they should have some gas in the tank considering this will be their 3rd game in 5 days.
The Red Storm are shooting a league-worst 37.7 percent from the field and sporting a rebounding margin of minus-7.3 through four Big East contests. While the Friars are #1 team from the charity stripe (79.7%), so I'll look for them to be taking the ball to the hole on offense, and playing at a high energy level on defense to cause some turnovers and points in transition.
Seven of the Friars' 16 games this season have been decided by four or less points. The Friars have posted a 4-3 mark in the those seven games.
Noteworthy Trends
Under is 4-1 in Friars last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 5-1 in Red Storm last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
The Play: Providence (+4.5) & UNDER 130
....stay tuned for more plays and write ups!
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Thanks Danny Boy - appreciate the support, going to come out with picks game by game, here is the first write up and pick:
Providence (ML) vs. St. Johns
Providence is coming off an 18 pt victory vs G'Town (1/8) (Providence scored 20 points off of Georgetown turnovers).and looking to pick up their 2nd straight Big East win vs. St. Johns - who are fresh off a 2 pt loss to Depaul (1/14). The Red Storm, who have lost 13 of their last 17 against the Friars, will play their third game in five days.
Freshman Rysheed Johnson, who had a slow start to his college career, has been scoring lately - BUT has trouble coughing the ball up, which contributed to coughing up the lead late to DePaul. St. Johns may be one of the highest rated teams in terms of athleticism, but their basketball acumen and ability to mesh is what is causing them problems. Depth has never been a question, as they have a solid 11 man rotation, so they should have some gas in the tank considering this will be their 3rd game in 5 days.
The Red Storm are shooting a league-worst 37.7 percent from the field and sporting a rebounding margin of minus-7.3 through four Big East contests. While the Friars are #1 team from the charity stripe (79.7%), so I'll look for them to be taking the ball to the hole on offense, and playing at a high energy level on defense to cause some turnovers and points in transition.
Seven of the Friars' 16 games this season have been decided by four or less points. The Friars have posted a 4-3 mark in the those seven games.
Noteworthy Trends
Under is 4-1 in Friars last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 5-1 in Red Storm last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
West Coast conference action tonight as BYU travels to battle San Francisco. I think this is a great spot for BYU and we're getting a cheap number based on recent performances. BYU was on a three-game winning streak but prior to that they lost four games in a row and during that four game losing streak the stock fell on this team.
However if you look at that four game losing streak you will see that they played 4 straight road games and they started that road trip out with a rivalry game against Utah then they had to go into Oregon who is a very good team. After those two battles they had a bad weekend losing on a Thursday and a Saturday to Loyola-Marymount and Pepperdine. BYU returned home and rolled off three impressive wins in a row and now take that momentum out on the road.
BYU has played a murderous schedule as they have already had games against Iowa State who was undefeated until just this past week. They played Wichita State who still is undefeated. They went to Stanford and upset them early in the year. They played road games at Utah and at Oregon. BYU is the much better team but we're getting the benefit with the line because of that four game losing streak. I look for a big big effort tonight from BYU as they get themselves back in the conference race. This is a key game as San Francisco is in second place in the conference.
The Play: BYU wins this game by 8 to 10 points, so 3 points should do the trick.
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BYU (-3) vs. SAN FRAN
West Coast conference action tonight as BYU travels to battle San Francisco. I think this is a great spot for BYU and we're getting a cheap number based on recent performances. BYU was on a three-game winning streak but prior to that they lost four games in a row and during that four game losing streak the stock fell on this team.
However if you look at that four game losing streak you will see that they played 4 straight road games and they started that road trip out with a rivalry game against Utah then they had to go into Oregon who is a very good team. After those two battles they had a bad weekend losing on a Thursday and a Saturday to Loyola-Marymount and Pepperdine. BYU returned home and rolled off three impressive wins in a row and now take that momentum out on the road.
BYU has played a murderous schedule as they have already had games against Iowa State who was undefeated until just this past week. They played Wichita State who still is undefeated. They went to Stanford and upset them early in the year. They played road games at Utah and at Oregon. BYU is the much better team but we're getting the benefit with the line because of that four game losing streak. I look for a big big effort tonight from BYU as they get themselves back in the conference race. This is a key game as San Francisco is in second place in the conference.
The Play: BYU wins this game by 8 to 10 points, so 3 points should do the trick.
The Buckeyes and Gophers enter the game tied for fifth place in the Big Ten standings at 2-2 but that isn't the only thing they have in common. Both schools also lost in overtime last week at Michigan State.
Ohio St has played well on the road, beat Michigan 52-35 and Purdue 84-53 and lost to Mich St. in OT 63-60 - three TRUE road games.
Ohio St comes into tonights game 15-2, 2 loses have come back to back in their last two, in a battle to Mich St (covered the spread +4), then laid an egg against Iowa (not covering the spread) coming out flat vs Iowa at home, Expect a big effot on the road vs Minn,
Minnesota has 13 WIns, yet no signature wins, their best win coming vs FSU - and FSU is nota top 25 caliber team. Minn is outmatched, their 4 loses came to 'Cuse, Arksansas, Michigan and Mich st - all teams that are the same caliber as Ohio St.
Getting a nice number because of the back to back loses, wouldn't be surprised if they win by double digits.The Buckeyes have won six in a row over the Gophers and are 26-3 against Minnesota when ranked nationally.
Ohio St. ranks #1 in Big Ten in scoring defense, allowing only 57.6 points per game, and in their last 3 road games, only Mich. St surpassed 60 pts, and that was because the game went into OT.
Noteworthy Trends
Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big Ten.
Golden Gophers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big Ten.
Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Golden Gophers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
The Play: Ohio St. (-3)
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Ohio St. (-3) vs Minnesota
The Buckeyes and Gophers enter the game tied for fifth place in the Big Ten standings at 2-2 but that isn't the only thing they have in common. Both schools also lost in overtime last week at Michigan State.
Ohio St has played well on the road, beat Michigan 52-35 and Purdue 84-53 and lost to Mich St. in OT 63-60 - three TRUE road games.
Ohio St comes into tonights game 15-2, 2 loses have come back to back in their last two, in a battle to Mich St (covered the spread +4), then laid an egg against Iowa (not covering the spread) coming out flat vs Iowa at home, Expect a big effot on the road vs Minn,
Minnesota has 13 WIns, yet no signature wins, their best win coming vs FSU - and FSU is nota top 25 caliber team. Minn is outmatched, their 4 loses came to 'Cuse, Arksansas, Michigan and Mich st - all teams that are the same caliber as Ohio St.
Getting a nice number because of the back to back loses, wouldn't be surprised if they win by double digits.The Buckeyes have won six in a row over the Gophers and are 26-3 against Minnesota when ranked nationally.
Ohio St. ranks #1 in Big Ten in scoring defense, allowing only 57.6 points per game, and in their last 3 road games, only Mich. St surpassed 60 pts, and that was because the game went into OT.
Noteworthy Trends
Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big Ten.
Golden Gophers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big Ten.
Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Golden Gophers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Vanderbilt has averaged 69.6 ppg on the year, but they are now without leading scorer Eric McClellan, who has been dismissed from the team thats offense has struggled all season long, and ranks in the bottom third nationally in scoring. The loss of McClellan brings the Commodores to just seven scholarship players.They do have three other DD scorers to rely on, but still they will suffer at that end of the floor, especially vs a Missouri defense that allows just 65.6 ppg on 38.9% shooting this year.
Vanderbilt also plays good defense, especially at home where they have allowed just 61.6 ppg on 40.1% shooting. Both teams have been in some low scoring games of late and with no offensive consistency on both teams and good defense I expect that trend to continue here
With both teams coming off of 4 days rest, I expect to see some solid defense on both ends of the floor playing with a lot of energy in this conference matchup.
Noteworthy trends:
Under is 35-15-2 in VAN last 52 overall.
Under is 18-7-2 in VAN last 27 home games.
Under is 13-3 in MIZZ last 16 overall.
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Missouri/ Vanderbilt Under 132.5:
Vanderbilt has averaged 69.6 ppg on the year, but they are now without leading scorer Eric McClellan, who has been dismissed from the team thats offense has struggled all season long, and ranks in the bottom third nationally in scoring. The loss of McClellan brings the Commodores to just seven scholarship players.They do have three other DD scorers to rely on, but still they will suffer at that end of the floor, especially vs a Missouri defense that allows just 65.6 ppg on 38.9% shooting this year.
Vanderbilt also plays good defense, especially at home where they have allowed just 61.6 ppg on 40.1% shooting. Both teams have been in some low scoring games of late and with no offensive consistency on both teams and good defense I expect that trend to continue here
With both teams coming off of 4 days rest, I expect to see some solid defense on both ends of the floor playing with a lot of energy in this conference matchup.
Huskies will look for their first conference road win when they visit 17th-ranked Memphis on Thursday. The Tigers just won back-to-back AAC games on the road behind Shaq Goodwin and carry that momentum into a four-game homestand. Goodwin earned his second ACC Player of the Week award, but will be facing up (most likely, I hope he starts) against Uconn's Amida Brimah, who is coming off a career high 20 points, 8 boards, and 5 stuffing sandwiches in a 84-61 win for Central Fla on Saturday.
This matchup could cause problems for Memphis, as Goodwin struggles vs beasts of his stature - Memphis will need to live and die by the three ball (Joe Jackson is 0-for-10 from 3-point range over the last three games.) and rely heavily on the likes of Chris Crawford.
If Uconn can establish a presence down low, and get to the chairty stripe (leads the ACC in free-throw% (76.4)) and free up some room from behind the arc (leads ACC in 3-point% (41.4)) and get some good looks; I look for them to take control of the pace of the game.
Noteworthy Trend
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games
The Pick: UCONN (+6.5)
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Uconn vs. Memphis
Huskies will look for their first conference road win when they visit 17th-ranked Memphis on Thursday. The Tigers just won back-to-back AAC games on the road behind Shaq Goodwin and carry that momentum into a four-game homestand. Goodwin earned his second ACC Player of the Week award, but will be facing up (most likely, I hope he starts) against Uconn's Amida Brimah, who is coming off a career high 20 points, 8 boards, and 5 stuffing sandwiches in a 84-61 win for Central Fla on Saturday.
This matchup could cause problems for Memphis, as Goodwin struggles vs beasts of his stature - Memphis will need to live and die by the three ball (Joe Jackson is 0-for-10 from 3-point range over the last three games.) and rely heavily on the likes of Chris Crawford.
If Uconn can establish a presence down low, and get to the chairty stripe (leads the ACC in free-throw% (76.4)) and free up some room from behind the arc (leads ACC in 3-point% (41.4)) and get some good looks; I look for them to take control of the pace of the game.
(25) UCLA will visit (24) Colorado tonight in Boulder, Colorado will be playing their first full game with out point guard Spencer Dinwiddie - who is officially done for the year with a knee injury. The injury came in a 17 point loss to Washington, a loss that snapped a 4 game winning streak, so you can imagine Colorado must be filling pretty grim coming into this ranked matchup against a UCLA team that has won 4 of their last 5 - their only loss coming in a nail bitter to #1 ranked Arizona.
UCLA is coming into this game hot, fresh off a win on Sunday vs ASU - where five of their players reached double digits - with the emergence of talented freshman guard Zach LaVine and another frehsman guard Bryce Alford - who, over the past 3 games is averaging 15 points and been good from 3 land on 50% of his 46 attempts from behind the arc. Entering Wednesday's action, the Bruins ranked third in the nation in field-goal percentage (51.4), fourth in assists (18.1) and sixth in points (86.3).
Meanwhile, Colorado is focusing on keeping their heads up despite the loss of their star talent and leader - but it may be tough to forget ithe Washington game when Dinwiddie went down, Colorado went on to force 20 turnovers and had only 6 assists from 6 different players. Colorado is going to need someone to step up, and it looks like it'll be sophmore forward Josh Scott - who is yet to take more than 12 shots in a game and yet to surpass 20 points in a game this season.
Noteworthy Trends
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pacific-12
Buffaloes are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pacific-12.
Buffaloes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
The Pick: UCLA ML
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UCLA v Colorado
(25) UCLA will visit (24) Colorado tonight in Boulder, Colorado will be playing their first full game with out point guard Spencer Dinwiddie - who is officially done for the year with a knee injury. The injury came in a 17 point loss to Washington, a loss that snapped a 4 game winning streak, so you can imagine Colorado must be filling pretty grim coming into this ranked matchup against a UCLA team that has won 4 of their last 5 - their only loss coming in a nail bitter to #1 ranked Arizona.
UCLA is coming into this game hot, fresh off a win on Sunday vs ASU - where five of their players reached double digits - with the emergence of talented freshman guard Zach LaVine and another frehsman guard Bryce Alford - who, over the past 3 games is averaging 15 points and been good from 3 land on 50% of his 46 attempts from behind the arc. Entering Wednesday's action, the Bruins ranked third in the nation in field-goal percentage (51.4), fourth in assists (18.1) and sixth in points (86.3).
Meanwhile, Colorado is focusing on keeping their heads up despite the loss of their star talent and leader - but it may be tough to forget ithe Washington game when Dinwiddie went down, Colorado went on to force 20 turnovers and had only 6 assists from 6 different players. Colorado is going to need someone to step up, and it looks like it'll be sophmore forward Josh Scott - who is yet to take more than 12 shots in a game and yet to surpass 20 points in a game this season.
Noteworthy Trends
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pacific-12
Buffaloes are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pacific-12.
Buffaloes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
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& Under 147
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