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February 17th ~~ 17-2 (+25.7 Unit) Run !!

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Posted: #26

REMEMBER WHEN CAPPING TEXAS GAMES...

Rick Barnes..great recruiter..horrible in game coach..rarely doesn't he get out coached..i think Oklahoma wins by double digits

 
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Posted: #27
POD 1

Oklahoma is scoring 72.4 PPG this season, 65.6 PPG in Big 12 road games, and 76 PPG in Big 12 home games.

Texas defensively is holding teams to 58.7 PPG on the year, 55.8 PPG in Big 12 home games, and 67.8 PPG in Big 12 road games.

Ahhhh, where to start? How about that these 2 teams met earlier this year and Oklahoma beat them 70-49 on Texas's home floor. This is 1 of only 2 games that the Sooners put up 70 points on the road in conference play. They were held under 70 at Oklahoma State, TCU, and Kansas State but were able to put up that number at Texas. Now they come to their home floor where they score 10.4 MORE PPG than they do on the road in Big 12 play. They have scored more than 71 points in 5 of their 6 conference home games. 

Now Texas's defense. It has actually been good by the numbers as you can see above. In their 6 conference road games this season they allowed more than 68 points in only 3 of them. Looking into those games shows that the 3 teams they held under 68 were TCU, Texas Tech, and Kansas State. The 3 teams at the bottom of the Big 12. When facing decent road competition (Oklahoma St, Iowa State, Baylor) they allowed more than the total of 68.5 each time. That includes giving up 89 to Iowa State and 83 to Baylor in consecutive games. Oklahoma is not TCU. Or Texas Tech. Or Kansas State. 

I personally think Oklahoma rolls big here and I think the TT of 68.5 is extremely low for them at home especially considering what they already showed us on the road at Texas. Going back to the start of the 2012-2013 season these are Oklahoma's point totals against Texas the past 3 years: 73, 86, 88, 77, 70 .... Like they say, history tends to repeat itself.

2.2 Units ----> 2 Units

Oklahoma TT Over 68.5
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by MR TINGLES:

REMEMBER WHEN CAPPING TEXAS GAMES...

Rick Barnes..great recruiter..horrible in game coach..rarely doesn't he get out coached..i think Oklahoma wins by double digits


I love to fade Rick Barnes.. think he's an awful coach. Great call.
 
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Posted: #29
Oh and somehow I forgot to mention.. Texas gives up 12 MORE PPG on the road in Big 12 play than at home. Yeahhhhh
 
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Posted: #30
King and Cap Yourself

If the books gave you pickem' tonight.....What 2 games would you say win out right?

 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by SanMan22:

King and Cap Yourself

If the books gave you pickem' tonight.....What 2 games would you say win out right?


That's a pretty loaded question.  I'm assuming you are wanting to play MLs?  I could easily tell you Baylor and Kentucky, but I doubt you want to play -390 for Baylor and I am not sure what Kentuckys is but its probably quite higher.
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by GoCapYourself:


That's a pretty loaded question.  I'm assuming you are wanting to play MLs?  I could easily tell you Baylor and Kentucky, but I doubt you want to play -390 for Baylor and I am not sure what Kentuckys is but its probably quite higher.


No....I want to put 2 teams in a teaser.....
 
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Posted: #33
I was leaning Texas because of getting blown out last game and they are trying to gain some more credit for March but Oklahoma has been probably one of the best teams all year at home . I mean they just blow people out and start bombing from three . Buddy heild is one of the best players in the NCAA and that big dude tashawn Thomas is coming around in a big way . Oklahoma barley lost to Kansas St at KST ( which I called KST moneyline ) and I think they will be hard to beat tonight . I'm not sure if I bet this game but if I did then I would have to lean more towards Oklahoma . Yes Texas will focused and come ready to play tonight but I just don't know if it's gonna matter
 
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Posted: #34
POD 2

Michigan is scoring 63.7 PPG on the year, 59 in road Big 10 games, and 57.7 PPG in Big 10 home games.

Michigan State defensively is giving up 62.6 PPG on the season, 58.7 PPG in Big 10 home games, and 62 PPG in Big 10 road games. 

Ugh I'm not happy with myself as I told myself I would never make a bet that is reliant on Michigan scoring but here we are. Michigan's total is set at 55 which they failed to eclipse in their last home against Iowa when they scored 54. However, they have scored over 55 in 5 of their 6 home conference games. It's hard to bet on the Wolverines to score without LeVert and Walton Jr. on the floor but when they played the Spartans earlier this month on the road they were without them as well. In this game both teams scored 66 in regulation before forcing OT. Michigan went into Michigan State and scored far above their conference average PPG for the season despite being without 2 of their 3 leading scorers. Defensively Michigan State is a better unit at home where they give up 58.7 PPG in comparison to the 62 they give up on the road in Big 10 games. Kind of baffling that a team that's been playing solid defense at home held Maryland to 48 (regulation), Indiana to 50, and Ohio St to 56  but allowed Michigan to come in and score 66. On the road Michigan State has only held 2 of its 5 Big 10 opponents under 55 and those were Rutgers and Northwestern who, believe it or not, actually score less than Michigan does. Betting on Michigan makes me feel uneasy but they seem to get up for their matchups in this rivalry and I just have a gut feeling they will score 60+.


1.1 Unit ----> 1 Unit

Michigan TT Over 55 

**now you can go ahead and throw tomatoes at me **
 
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Posted: #35
*Handshake
 
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Posted: #36
1.1 Unit ----> 1 Unit

Oklahoma -6




 
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Posted: #37
Rare ATS play for me lately. Let's roll Sooners!
 
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Posted: #38
Best of Luck
 
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Posted: #39
KB- Take a look at this for me....I can't help but keep staring at Norte Dame tt 78.5. Wake Forest has only had 1 team ( arkansas) score over 78 all year and that game was at the beginning of the season minus two OT games. If you look at Norte Dame home games, there's not a lot of them that go over 78. Especially the ones against tough teams. 78.5 seems to high for me but want another opinion.
 
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Posted: #40
 
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Posted: #41
Cap sorry man I was at work. Yeah ND under TT was gonna be one of my top plays but I backed off because Wake's road competition was really weak I'm not sure how they'll handle a good offense. 
 
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Posted: #42
Oklahoma doesn't cover the spread so my ATS pick falls but I went 2-0 on TT's bringing my season record to a very nice 19-6 (76%) on those. Not too shabby I say. Now a 19-3 (+27.6 Unit) run I'm on. 


2-1 Tonight   (+1.9 Units)
 
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Posted: #43
Good call on Oklahoma TT over. Tailed and hit that myself. Thanks!
 
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Posted: #44
Outstanding work KB! Keep killing it!
 
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Posted: #45
wish i saw this a lot sooner - my local book doesnt really offer TT all the time. but gonna try and catch your other picks. Good Stuff bro!
 
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Posted: #46
Tailed on Oklahoma TT. Muchas Gracias!??
 
 
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Posted: #47
Your TTs are on FIRE.  Look fwd to making money on ur picks tonight!
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