Friday, Saturday, Sunday System Plays

Presystem 18-6-1

System 4-5 (I got Pepp at 6.5 and was told that the system was 4-1 since the 0-4 Saturday beginning - feel free to mark the record for you at whatever you like)

Hey guys, hope all is well for you.  First, I hope you can realize how much time it has taken to writeup the first system threads and all the subsequent threads for the presystem and system, it literally takes me multiple hours every day (on top of the time it takes me to do my normal capping). 

My workload has increased at both college and with my personal training business and I simply don't have the time to make a thread every single day.  This really shouldn't matter at all as the system is super simple and clearly defined and I feel it will do better and better as the season comes to an end.  Plus, there are a ton of very bright individuals in this thread who not only understand the system but the theories and reasoning behind it as well - LISTEN TO THEM. 

Also, please realize that the system is a "living" entity.  What I mean by that is you can mold and shape it the way you want to. 

If you've taking the time to research (which by most of the responses in my last few threads - not many people are), last year a bunch of the teams ranked from Kenpom's 180-200 failed to cover many times giving us many system wins.  This year it has not been the case.  If you decided to start the system at Kenpom ranking #200 YOU ARE FREE TO DO SO. 

If you notice that 6.5 to 9.5 underdogs are losing more than you like, you can start the system at +10 and beyond YOU ARE FREE TO DO SO. 

Also, as many have mentioned "almost" system well have done well this season also so if you wanted to LOWER the standards to include more team like Kenpom 150 or better or spreads of 5 or more or whatever YOU ARE FREE TO DO SO.

Every year will be different, the only thing I can practically guarantee is that being AGAINST mediocre to crappy teams when they are at home giving BIG points will always be a winning proposition.

FRIDAY SYSTEM PLAY: Dartmouth +11.5

I have been reading lots of people saying that the Ivy League shouldn't be used in the system and my only question is Why?  Last season the Ivy League went 2-1 for the system.  Also, if you look deeper, here are some interesting facts about the teams in the Ivy League ATS since Jan 29th (these teams listed from highest to lowest in Kenpom ranking and includes teams that don't fit the system):

Top 3 teams in the league:
Princeton 1-3 as home favorite
Harvard 1-2 as home favorite
Yale 1-1 as home favorites

Bottom 5 teams in the league:
Penn 1-0 as road dog
Cornell 1-1 as road dog
Columbia 0-1 as road dog
Brown 2-0 as road dog
Dartmouth 1-1 as road dog

So the top 3 teams in the Ivy League are 3-6 ATS as home favorites and the bottom 5 teams are 5-3 as road dogs over the last three weeks.  Those are money making numbers so why would we exclude this conference from the system? 

Also if you look at the season-long college basketball trends you will see that there is only one "angle" that is hitting over 52% for the season, any guesses? 

Road dogs are hitting at over 52% which is the highest of any "angle" (aka home favs, home dogs, road favs, road dogs). 

Now when you use the "system" as a filter (aka only using the kenpom 180 or worse and favs of 6.5 or higher) that number jumps significantly (and that is season long not just when we started the presystem and system). 

You can hate on me or hate on the system or hate your life for whatever reason, but the numbers are the numbers do with it what you like. 

I won't be around again till Monday or so but feel free to post the system plays for this weekend in this thread as well.  Again I plead with my friends in this thread to just IGNORE the haters and be kind to the newbies who are to lazy to read this link: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100965010

If you need to get in touch with me, just PM and I'll hit you back as soon as I can.  Good luck and we are all in this together

thank you kine, no excuse for stupidity now

free pick from *edited*, for what it's worth:

Game: Dartmouth at Columbia (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Dartmouth +11.5 (-110)

The Columbia Lions have played well at home, bringing an 8-2 mark into this one. This is still a team that has been a double-digit dog three times on the season, and has not been favored by more than 5.5 in any game. They are now asked to double that mark. The fact is that the last time this team was a 10+ point favorite in any game, it was against this same Dartmouth team all the way back to the 2007-08 season. As an -11.5 point favorite, not only did they not get the cover, but they lost by 15. Dartmouth, as usual, finds themselves on the bottom of the Ivy League standings, but this number is much too high and an unfamiliar role for the Lions. I will play Dartmouth, taking the points in this one.

+180 someone will ask in the next 10 post if there are any plays today

KP, thanks for restoring sanity.

Thanks as always KINE!

thank you!  Dartmouth today  + 11 1/2      

can we rank the pros  1 thru  ???  and try the same?  or is the crowd  always there for the pros?   any  system for pro  or maybe baseball?   Thanks again  Matt

So what are the plays today?

Thanks KP

KP, you have some good karma coming your way for keeping us informed.

KP, you should officially select some assistants to carry the thread when you are out.  Just a thought.

KP, we appreciate the time you have invested to give all us hoops players an edge. as always, thanks for sharing. you have done the work and have educated us all to the workings of the system and therefore you deserve a break. please rest assured your true followers will carry on the integrity of your system. Tim

Keep pluggin KP ....One of my favs on this site

 KP

Kine, thanks for the efforts. Hope you have recovered from Vegas 

Great to hear from ya KP, Keep on Rockin. This is a great thing you've done.  

gl K

Dartmouth

BOL KP AND THE LOT

Some times it's hard to ignore the haters, but i will try.

Thanks again,

trewswell