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All Forums | College Basketball

Friday, Saturday, Sunday System Plays

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napper96
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napper96
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Joined: Jan, 2007
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 3:31 PM ET #276

Quote Originally Posted by drose1:

So is South Alabama a play, or an almost play?

it is a very close almost play as denver is ranked #175.  if it was ranked #180 or worse then south alabama would be a system play.  very close but if you think that 5 spots in the ranking doesn't mean much than go for it. tweak the system how you like. for example, i play system plays for 2 units and almost system plays for 1 unit (my almost system plays are ranked between 160 and 179 and gettin 6 or more points--thats just what i do)

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Quote Originally Posted by drose1:

So is South Alabama a play, or an almost play?

it is a very close almost play as denver is ranked #175.  if it was ranked #180 or worse then south alabama would be a system play.  very close but if you think that 5 spots in the ranking doesn't mean much than go for it. tweak the system how you like. for example, i play system plays for 2 units and almost system plays for 1 unit (my almost system plays are ranked between 160 and 179 and gettin 6 or more points--thats just what i do)

 
Greymatterstats
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 3:33 PM ET #277

Quote Originally Posted by squinta1:

Grey

you've got to be some type of mathematician.

you working on any algorithms to find accurate % to cover certain spreads?

great work man


(Research+Experience+Gut_Feeling) * Luck = Maybe_Break_Even
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Quote Originally Posted by squinta1:

Grey

you've got to be some type of mathematician.

you working on any algorithms to find accurate % to cover certain spreads?

great work man


(Research+Experience+Gut_Feeling) * Luck = Maybe_Break_Even
 
drose1
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 3:37 PM ET #278

Quote Originally Posted by napper96:

it is a very close almost play as denver is ranked #175.  if it was ranked #180 or worse then south alabama would be a system play.  very close but if you think that 5 spots in the ranking doesn't mean much than go for it. tweak the system how you like. for example, i play system plays for 2 units and almost system plays for 1 unit (my almost system plays are ranked between 160 and 179 and gettin 6 or more points--thats just what i do)



thanks
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Quote Originally Posted by napper96:

it is a very close almost play as denver is ranked #175.  if it was ranked #180 or worse then south alabama would be a system play.  very close but if you think that 5 spots in the ranking doesn't mean much than go for it. tweak the system how you like. for example, i play system plays for 2 units and almost system plays for 1 unit (my almost system plays are ranked between 160 and 179 and gettin 6 or more points--thats just what i do)



thanks
 
wbrady2000
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 3:44 PM ET #279

Quote Originally Posted by satchmo27:

south alabama to all u retards is not a fucking play..end of story..


so wait, if Denver's ranked 175 that's almost 180...I could round up and then it would be a play?
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Quote Originally Posted by satchmo27:

south alabama to all u retards is not a fucking play..end of story..


so wait, if Denver's ranked 175 that's almost 180...I could round up and then it would be a play?
 
NORCALPLAYA
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 3:55 PM ET #280

Why isn't Kennesaw St +9.5 (# 318) playing against N Florida (#226) a play? I'm on Kennesaw State based on Kine's system?

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Why isn't Kennesaw St +9.5 (# 318) playing against N Florida (#226) a play? I'm on Kennesaw State based on Kine's system?

 
NORCALPLAYA
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 3:57 PM ET #281

Nevermind my question above.... I see that both of these teams do not usually have lines associated with their games?
JV squads...

Still playing Kennesaw State, as it fits the system except for the fact these teams usually don't have lines associated with their games 

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Nevermind my question above.... I see that both of these teams do not usually have lines associated with their games?
JV squads...

Still playing Kennesaw State, as it fits the system except for the fact these teams usually don't have lines associated with their games 

 
kkirby99
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 4:00 PM ET #282

Denver pulling their usual fast start.
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Denver pulling their usual fast start.
 
da_scoops
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 4:48 PM ET #283

Quote Originally Posted by PorkyinNS:


I actually played it after Kine posted it....meant no disrespect..was just using it as a glaring example of what could have gone wrong without direction. Seattle was just the first one I thought of...as they don't play a lot of lined contests. Took Radford against my better judgement too...so I guess I split on games that I wanted to shy away from.
 
all cool piggy GL


Gl scoop

anyone playing S.Alabama+10  @ Denver (175 Kenpom I think)?....its close 
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Quote Originally Posted by PorkyinNS:


I actually played it after Kine posted it....meant no disrespect..was just using it as a glaring example of what could have gone wrong without direction. Seattle was just the first one I thought of...as they don't play a lot of lined contests. Took Radford against my better judgement too...so I guess I split on games that I wanted to shy away from.
 
all cool piggy GL


Gl scoop

anyone playing S.Alabama+10  @ Denver (175 Kenpom I think)?....its close 
 
wbrady2000
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 4:49 PM ET #284

congrats to all those who played S Alabama
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congrats to all those who played S Alabama
 
kkirby99
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 5:00 PM ET #285

Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

Denver pulling their usual fast start.

And their usual 2nd half collpase....

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Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

Denver pulling their usual fast start.

And their usual 2nd half collpase....

 
lineman_69
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 5:02 PM ET #286

Quote Originally Posted by wbrady2000:

congrats to all those who played S Alabama

I think we all did...........

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Quote Originally Posted by wbrady2000:

congrats to all those who played S Alabama

I think we all did...........

 
obombers
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 5:05 PM ET #287

Quote Originally Posted by Bronxxx2:

A team who has quit on the season and is not in the top 180 is pretty unlikely to be favored by 6.5 over a team with a legit shot at making the tournament.


Excellent point!
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Quote Originally Posted by Bronxxx2:

A team who has quit on the season and is not in the top 180 is pretty unlikely to be favored by 6.5 over a team with a legit shot at making the tournament.


Excellent point!
 
Lar1212
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 5:51 PM ET #288

Quote Originally Posted by lineman_69:

I think we all did...........

I didn't.

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Quote Originally Posted by lineman_69:

I think we all did...........

I didn't.

 
Dutch1976
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 9:18 PM ET #289

Quote Originally Posted by satchmo27:

south alabama to all u retards is not a fucking play..end of story..


Us retards know that the "almost plays" have been hitting at a pretty decent rate. Good Day!
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Quote Originally Posted by satchmo27:

south alabama to all u retards is not a fucking play..end of story..


Us retards know that the "almost plays" have been hitting at a pretty decent rate. Good Day!
 
gh99
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Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 10:37 PM ET #290

Tracking the System using the Kines criteria, since Saturday, Feb 12, have the record at 9-9 ATS with 4 SU ML wins. The two saturdays have been rough, going 3-8 ATS.

S. Alabama  a 48-47 winner over #175 Denver (just outside the System criteria) was a nice win. Would have been even sweeter played on the ML.

Don't see any System plays for Monday.

 

 

 

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Tracking the System using the Kines criteria, since Saturday, Feb 12, have the record at 9-9 ATS with 4 SU ML wins. The two saturdays have been rough, going 3-8 ATS.

S. Alabama  a 48-47 winner over #175 Denver (just outside the System criteria) was a nice win. Would have been even sweeter played on the ML.

Don't see any System plays for Monday.

 

 

 

 
JeffDM5
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Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 12:07 AM ET #291

i don't see any system or almost system plays for tomorrow
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i don't see any system or almost system plays for tomorrow
 
napper96
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Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 11:35 AM ET #292

Quote Originally Posted by JeffDM5:

i don't see any system or almost system plays for tomorrow

what about betting against morgan state?  they are outside 180 and at home. they are not in any of the conferences we exclude from the system.  thoughts?

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Quote Originally Posted by JeffDM5:

i don't see any system or almost system plays for tomorrow

what about betting against morgan state?  they are outside 180 and at home. they are not in any of the conferences we exclude from the system.  thoughts?

 
HDTP
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Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 12:03 PM ET #293

I think that's a No Play since both teams do not look like they get lines on the regular.

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I think that's a No Play since both teams do not look like they get lines on the regular.

 
lineman_69
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Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 12:34 PM ET #294

Quote Originally Posted by Dutch1976:



Us retards know that the "almost plays" have been hitting at a pretty decent rate. Good Day!

The "almost plays"  hit as offten as " the system plays" .  If i'm a retard , i'll be a rich  retard.     

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Quote Originally Posted by Dutch1976:



Us retards know that the "almost plays" have been hitting at a pretty decent rate. Good Day!

The "almost plays"  hit as offten as " the system plays" .  If i'm a retard , i'll be a rich  retard.     

 
JeffDM5
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Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 12:52 PM ET #295

MD Eastern Shore +13.5??
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MD Eastern Shore +13.5??
 
moksha23x
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Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 5:55 PM ET #296

Quote Originally Posted by JeffDM5:

MD Eastern Shore +13.5??


336 Maryland Eastern Shore at 250 Morgan St. -14.5

These teams are both in the MEAC......who are not excluded from the system.  I think this would be a play.
Do these teams both get lines on the reg?
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Quote Originally Posted by JeffDM5:

MD Eastern Shore +13.5??


336 Maryland Eastern Shore at 250 Morgan St. -14.5

These teams are both in the MEAC......who are not excluded from the system.  I think this would be a play.
Do these teams both get lines on the reg?
 
napper96
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Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 5:58 PM ET #297

Quote Originally Posted by moksha23x:



336 Maryland Eastern Shore at 250 Morgan St. -14.5

These teams are both in the MEAC......who are not excluded from the system.  I think this would be a play.
Do these teams both get lines on the reg?

i saw that too.  it fits all the criteria except the fact that they do not get regular lines.  i checked the matchup page on covers and each team had only 1 lined game so it would not fit the system. 

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Quote Originally Posted by moksha23x:



336 Maryland Eastern Shore at 250 Morgan St. -14.5

These teams are both in the MEAC......who are not excluded from the system.  I think this would be a play.
Do these teams both get lines on the reg?

i saw that too.  it fits all the criteria except the fact that they do not get regular lines.  i checked the matchup page on covers and each team had only 1 lined game so it would not fit the system. 

 
NORCALPLAYA
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Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 6:15 PM ET #298

Still playin' it though...

+14.5 is alot of points for (2) shit teams! 

Go Maryland Eastern-Shore  as opposed to the rival Maryland Western-Shore?

Just stay within +14 points in this JV game!

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Still playin' it though...

+14.5 is alot of points for (2) shit teams! 

Go Maryland Eastern-Shore  as opposed to the rival Maryland Western-Shore?

Just stay within +14 points in this JV game!

 
KineProfessor
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Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 6:49 PM ET #299

Maryland Eastern-Shore is not a system play but I like it as well and the "almost" system plays (whether by spread, kenpom ranking, or conference) has been doing very well
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Maryland Eastern-Shore is not a system play but I like it as well and the "almost" system plays (whether by spread, kenpom ranking, or conference) has been doing very well
 
 
gh99
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Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 8:26 PM ET #300

Bethune-Cookman
Morgan State Hampton Coppin State NC A&T Norfolk State Florida A&M Delaware State Howard SC State MD-Eastern Shore

Morgan St 74

MD Eastern-Shore 60

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Bethune-Cookman
Morgan State Hampton Coppin State NC A&T Norfolk State Florida A&M Delaware State Howard SC State MD-Eastern Shore

Morgan St 74

MD Eastern-Shore 60

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