[Quote: Originally Posted by Rip100]One run games around 28%in reg season, as you lose three at bats, have to be cautious.....good hitting team with an ace pitcher for example[/Quote
I agree And why the away team is the team I will predominately play run lines and reverse run lines than the home team. However you can get some real good prices on the home team run line because of exactly the reasons you listed.
I ain’t liking etsu first half much. Just saying.
I picked that up on another website,(last year) will try to dig that out
first half moneylines and runlines are interesting as well...you are getting the same moneyline on first fives as the full game.....wish the dogs came in more on these...the last of the fifth is a killer if you take the dog.....high totals in games can give an advantage to dogs as well, more variance in scoring (both first five and full game)
please tell us your loving it now,lol
Not backing off as I never posted it. Just saying I don’t like it now where as in previous discussions I said I did
Keep eye out for the first half play I post 5 minutes before tip off brother. That will hit for us. Promise mate!!
[Quote: Originally Posted by jimbof20]Runlines scare me anymore because bullpens are so bad lately, historically bad the last couple years.....However I do agree thats where a ton of value is, of all the possible outcomes, the % of favorites winning by 1 run isnt that great[/Quote
perfect example
Astros game 2 Justin V - 170 @ home after losing game 1
astros backers just got their asses handed to them betting ml -200 So they came back with astros trying to get that money back betting astros rl Whoever bet astros took astros rl Whoever bet nationals took the PLUS 1.5 as they were petrified of taking the ml plus 155
this is an example of when reverse run line bets are east Nationals reverse run line -1.5 plus 280 was a fucking steal
it does but tourney plays a huge roll into that
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