November 12-4 +7.70 December 0-0 +0.00 January 0-0 +0.00 February 0-0 +0.00 March 0-0 +0.00 April 0-0 +0.00
Notes: -FAU will give a lot of games away if they don't learn how to not self-destruct when pressed, and they are atrocious at the FT line -George Mason goes into scoring slumps and they don't shoot well from the line -Louisville took care of business, impressive to shoot over 50% from the field despite not doing so well from the perimeter -Butler is almost impossible to fade because of Brad, but they are struggling
November 12-4 +7.70 December 0-0 +0.00 January 0-0 +0.00 February 0-0 +0.00 March 0-0 +0.00 April 0-0 +0.00
Notes: -FAU will give a lot of games away if they don't learn how to not self-destruct when pressed, and they are atrocious at the FT line -George Mason goes into scoring slumps and they don't shoot well from the line -Louisville took care of business, impressive to shoot over 50% from the field despite not doing so well from the perimeter -Butler is almost impossible to fade because of Brad, but they are struggling
-Ark State looks like they have O problems but play good D and
are outstanding at home. Ohio returns their PG, a 3pt shooter anda
versatile forward but defense was a question.
-URI coming off a good showing @Texas despite a 10-point loss. Rams
aren't very good this year and I think they'll struggle with height. NEB
has a ton of height, but offense is a question considering the
transfers they're working in and relying on heavily. Pace and
high-scoring will be URI's goal, while Nebraska wants to slow it down. I
would think NU wins the pace battle
-Creighton with a ton of hype thanks to a solid team returning with a
soft schedule. McDermott is a matchup nightmare, Echenique will block
shots and they return their PG while Iowa looks like they have a solid
backcourt with not much inside besides Basabe. Big game in the state of
Iowa, neutral court
-SLU will slow the game down and that will make it very difficult for
UW, especially on the road. Billikens with the tempo battle and their
tough D makes Washington unable to score many points here to cover a
spread. UDub definitely more athletic with a solid backcourt with depth.
Both teams have 3pt shooters, UW with a skinny frontcourt who can't do
much in the half-court but they do have a shotblocker inside as well.
Hope the lines comes higher than a possession
-Portland is very similar to Wazzu, both teams like to shoot 3s and
don't have traditional post players. Wazzu looked like they only want to
play the 2-3 despite Gonzaga shooting the lights out against it, so
that should mean a similar thing. If Portland shoots well they can
cover/win. Wazzu definitely better team, but at home the Pilots can keep
up
-Colorado with depth at PG and some okay players in the frontcourt, but
they're not good. WMU with a big guy that may be tough for Dufault to
cover, just wish WMU could shoot better
-Maryland surprised me with the win over Colorado, but they aren't a
good team. Iona dodges a bullet because they don't have post players
besides undersized Mike Glover, and I actually think they have more
talented guards.
-Wichita State and Temple both play a ton of defense. Can't imagine a
spread over a possession here. Size advantage to WSU, athleticism to
Temple. I'm guessing the Owls avoid foul trouble in this one, they're a
little better but this should be close.
-Purdue is going to shoot a ton of 3s, Alabama won't be able to keep up
with them if the Boilers get hot. Athleticism advantage to the Tide, who
will play great D. Hummel against Mitchell should be fun to watch,
Green should have his way inside. Ryne Smith is going to run off screens
all day, which will be hard for Alabama cuz I'm not sure they deal with
it much
-WKU vs. VCU skip
-LSU vs. GT skip
-I think St. Joe's has the interior D to slow Tulsa, not sure they can score efficiently enough
-Seton Hall is far from perfect, but they can play D and I think they
can limit NW's 3pt offense which struggles away from Evanston anyways.
Betting SHU to score is a concern, but the NW defense is terrible so
that should help
-Ark State looks like they have O problems but play good D and
are outstanding at home. Ohio returns their PG, a 3pt shooter anda
versatile forward but defense was a question.
-URI coming off a good showing @Texas despite a 10-point loss. Rams
aren't very good this year and I think they'll struggle with height. NEB
has a ton of height, but offense is a question considering the
transfers they're working in and relying on heavily. Pace and
high-scoring will be URI's goal, while Nebraska wants to slow it down. I
would think NU wins the pace battle
-Creighton with a ton of hype thanks to a solid team returning with a
soft schedule. McDermott is a matchup nightmare, Echenique will block
shots and they return their PG while Iowa looks like they have a solid
backcourt with not much inside besides Basabe. Big game in the state of
Iowa, neutral court
-SLU will slow the game down and that will make it very difficult for
UW, especially on the road. Billikens with the tempo battle and their
tough D makes Washington unable to score many points here to cover a
spread. UDub definitely more athletic with a solid backcourt with depth.
Both teams have 3pt shooters, UW with a skinny frontcourt who can't do
much in the half-court but they do have a shotblocker inside as well.
Hope the lines comes higher than a possession
-Portland is very similar to Wazzu, both teams like to shoot 3s and
don't have traditional post players. Wazzu looked like they only want to
play the 2-3 despite Gonzaga shooting the lights out against it, so
that should mean a similar thing. If Portland shoots well they can
cover/win. Wazzu definitely better team, but at home the Pilots can keep
up
-Colorado with depth at PG and some okay players in the frontcourt, but
they're not good. WMU with a big guy that may be tough for Dufault to
cover, just wish WMU could shoot better
-Maryland surprised me with the win over Colorado, but they aren't a
good team. Iona dodges a bullet because they don't have post players
besides undersized Mike Glover, and I actually think they have more
talented guards.
-Wichita State and Temple both play a ton of defense. Can't imagine a
spread over a possession here. Size advantage to WSU, athleticism to
Temple. I'm guessing the Owls avoid foul trouble in this one, they're a
little better but this should be close.
-Purdue is going to shoot a ton of 3s, Alabama won't be able to keep up
with them if the Boilers get hot. Athleticism advantage to the Tide, who
will play great D. Hummel against Mitchell should be fun to watch,
Green should have his way inside. Ryne Smith is going to run off screens
all day, which will be hard for Alabama cuz I'm not sure they deal with
it much
-WKU vs. VCU skip
-LSU vs. GT skip
-I think St. Joe's has the interior D to slow Tulsa, not sure they can score efficiently enough
-Seton Hall is far from perfect, but they can play D and I think they
can limit NW's 3pt offense which struggles away from Evanston anyways.
Betting SHU to score is a concern, but the NW defense is terrible so
that should help
Monday thoughts: -UMass with a big guy then a bunch of returning wings but their PG is a transfer. Still early in the season for them to be gelling. BC with a bad frontcourt, new players all over the place and an offense that relies on 3pt shooting. Scary -Wright State down a little as they're young and have a ton of new players with questionable talent levels compared to the Duggins/Evans of the past. Florida doesn't have any bulk and will score a ton with their guards while WSU wants to slow the pace. Not a great matchup for WSU -Green Bay with a good center, new frontcourt around him though. Indiana State's strength is the backcourt with their PG back, a 3pt shooter and they're small inside -Miss State with a lot of travel and the let-down of winning the 2k Classic in New York a few nights ago. UL Montroe is absolutely awful, though -UVA should be better, Drake returning top 4 scorers with the best player on the wing. Bad rebounding for Drake, UVA with frontcourt depth problems besides their star Mike Scott and a shotblocker in Sene -Memphis with all the athletes, Michigan with the white boys who can shoot. Wolverines without Morris limits what they can do offensively, but this is a brains vs. speed game and that usually benefits the brains in my experience. Memphis with a ton of length that can bother shooters, and they will run at every opportunity. Not sure where to put this one, but I'll guess athleticism trumps in the oddsmaker's mind -Duke will annihilate Tennessee -Ucla should take out their frustration on Chaminade -Kansas is down, GTown is way down. KU with the interior scorer in Robinson with not much around him, while GTown is young with what will probably be a 3-guard offense. Best player is on the perimeter and KU can defend that, also Withey will be sending shots back from where they came. I expect to be on KU at the projection below, but that's what I'm thinking it comes -GW with a good perimeter scorer but he can be limited and the rest of the team can't score despite experience. Detroit with McCallum being one of the top players people don't know about, then some athleticism and other shooters. -BGSU hosting the tournament with 7 of 8 returning, two good Fs and a shooter returning despite not being able to shoot 3s. The Peay returns two scorers and a lock-down defender to guard the shooter. -Texas with a bad loss to Oregon State, but they're young and that will happen. All they can do is run and shoot from the perimeter, NCSU with a decent big guy in C.J. Leslie but Texas has Chapman/Wangmene to defend him and that's a problem. I would guess Scott Wood is OUT or is limited in this one with the ankle injury, so he won't make much of a difference. Hard to trust either team, but I'll need a really short number to even think about Texas and I doubt it comes -Vandy much better than the Beavers and I don't think OrSt can take advantage of Ezeli's absence. Cunningham should be the #1 focus for Vandy defensively, which may not even be a change because Jeffery Taylor can silence him without help. -Mizzou hosting ND in KC makes it almost a home game with almost full HCA, plus they're way more athletic and ND doesn't have a big guy to exploit the Tigers interior. Curious to see how the Tigers play with Haith, I'm sure they still press, but this will be Abro's first game and that adds a dimension to ND's offense. -Cal is a pre-season darling that I don't buy, but they should do whatever they want with this Georgia team. UGA isn't anything like they were last year besides a year more experience for their guards, but Cal can match that and then have more inside. -Oral Roberts is one of the teams everyone likes this season, while SMU is building with Doherty and he said he wanted to run with them this year. SMU loses a defender inside but returns a scorer inside. They also return a shooter but have questions inside, while Oral returns four DD scorers then a big-time scorer who missed the 2010 season. Good rebounders with a 3pt shooter returning, the only question is at the point which they did lose a starter but have a replacement returning or a newcomer to take the job. -Siena returns their leading assist man, lost two studs though. Need to increase their offense while the Bonnies have Nicholson inside to put up points and grab rebounds. Not sure about his supporting cast, but I'm also not sure Siena can stop him
guesses: BC 2-3 Florida 19-20 Miss St 24-25 Ind St 8-9 UVA 11-12 MEM 1-2 Duke 17-18 Ucla 22-23 KU 5-6 Detroit 4-5 BGSU 3-4 TEX 4-5 Vandy 9 Mizzou 3-4 Cal 6-7 Oral 7-8 St. Bon 3
Monday thoughts: -UMass with a big guy then a bunch of returning wings but their PG is a transfer. Still early in the season for them to be gelling. BC with a bad frontcourt, new players all over the place and an offense that relies on 3pt shooting. Scary -Wright State down a little as they're young and have a ton of new players with questionable talent levels compared to the Duggins/Evans of the past. Florida doesn't have any bulk and will score a ton with their guards while WSU wants to slow the pace. Not a great matchup for WSU -Green Bay with a good center, new frontcourt around him though. Indiana State's strength is the backcourt with their PG back, a 3pt shooter and they're small inside -Miss State with a lot of travel and the let-down of winning the 2k Classic in New York a few nights ago. UL Montroe is absolutely awful, though -UVA should be better, Drake returning top 4 scorers with the best player on the wing. Bad rebounding for Drake, UVA with frontcourt depth problems besides their star Mike Scott and a shotblocker in Sene -Memphis with all the athletes, Michigan with the white boys who can shoot. Wolverines without Morris limits what they can do offensively, but this is a brains vs. speed game and that usually benefits the brains in my experience. Memphis with a ton of length that can bother shooters, and they will run at every opportunity. Not sure where to put this one, but I'll guess athleticism trumps in the oddsmaker's mind -Duke will annihilate Tennessee -Ucla should take out their frustration on Chaminade -Kansas is down, GTown is way down. KU with the interior scorer in Robinson with not much around him, while GTown is young with what will probably be a 3-guard offense. Best player is on the perimeter and KU can defend that, also Withey will be sending shots back from where they came. I expect to be on KU at the projection below, but that's what I'm thinking it comes -GW with a good perimeter scorer but he can be limited and the rest of the team can't score despite experience. Detroit with McCallum being one of the top players people don't know about, then some athleticism and other shooters. -BGSU hosting the tournament with 7 of 8 returning, two good Fs and a shooter returning despite not being able to shoot 3s. The Peay returns two scorers and a lock-down defender to guard the shooter. -Texas with a bad loss to Oregon State, but they're young and that will happen. All they can do is run and shoot from the perimeter, NCSU with a decent big guy in C.J. Leslie but Texas has Chapman/Wangmene to defend him and that's a problem. I would guess Scott Wood is OUT or is limited in this one with the ankle injury, so he won't make much of a difference. Hard to trust either team, but I'll need a really short number to even think about Texas and I doubt it comes -Vandy much better than the Beavers and I don't think OrSt can take advantage of Ezeli's absence. Cunningham should be the #1 focus for Vandy defensively, which may not even be a change because Jeffery Taylor can silence him without help. -Mizzou hosting ND in KC makes it almost a home game with almost full HCA, plus they're way more athletic and ND doesn't have a big guy to exploit the Tigers interior. Curious to see how the Tigers play with Haith, I'm sure they still press, but this will be Abro's first game and that adds a dimension to ND's offense. -Cal is a pre-season darling that I don't buy, but they should do whatever they want with this Georgia team. UGA isn't anything like they were last year besides a year more experience for their guards, but Cal can match that and then have more inside. -Oral Roberts is one of the teams everyone likes this season, while SMU is building with Doherty and he said he wanted to run with them this year. SMU loses a defender inside but returns a scorer inside. They also return a shooter but have questions inside, while Oral returns four DD scorers then a big-time scorer who missed the 2010 season. Good rebounders with a 3pt shooter returning, the only question is at the point which they did lose a starter but have a replacement returning or a newcomer to take the job. -Siena returns their leading assist man, lost two studs though. Need to increase their offense while the Bonnies have Nicholson inside to put up points and grab rebounds. Not sure about his supporting cast, but I'm also not sure Siena can stop him
guesses: BC 2-3 Florida 19-20 Miss St 24-25 Ind St 8-9 UVA 11-12 MEM 1-2 Duke 17-18 Ucla 22-23 KU 5-6 Detroit 4-5 BGSU 3-4 TEX 4-5 Vandy 9 Mizzou 3-4 Cal 6-7 Oral 7-8 St. Bon 3
Love KU and Cal tomorrow. I know Coach K has a ridiculous record in Maui but I think the Vols may be better than expected.
Memphis -4
Mizzou -3.5 (basically a home game)
Wish I had stayed away today also. Gettin' shelled
I understand the reasoning for Memphis, this just feels like a game they can't close or Michigan takes a lead and the Tigers just can't catch them. You're definitely on the better team, though
As for Mizzou, I'm curious to watch them with Haith's control now. I haven't seen them play yet and he'd be an idiot not to press with that lineup, but he did underachieve in Coral Gables for years so I'm gonna watch and see
Quote Originally Posted by cashColt:
Love KU and Cal tomorrow. I know Coach K has a ridiculous record in Maui but I think the Vols may be better than expected.
Memphis -4
Mizzou -3.5 (basically a home game)
Wish I had stayed away today also. Gettin' shelled
I understand the reasoning for Memphis, this just feels like a game they can't close or Michigan takes a lead and the Tigers just can't catch them. You're definitely on the better team, though
As for Mizzou, I'm curious to watch them with Haith's control now. I haven't seen them play yet and he'd be an idiot not to press with that lineup, but he did underachieve in Coral Gables for years so I'm gonna watch and see
Any thoughts on the degenerate special in the morning, Drexal-Winp,Drex.is -8.5 at the moment,if I have a total I will go under,think thats the best play,but dont always have totals in these early tourny games.
Any thoughts on the degenerate special in the morning, Drexal-Winp,Drex.is -8.5 at the moment,if I have a total I will go under,think thats the best play,but dont always have totals in these early tourny games.
Any thoughts on the degenerate special in the morning, Drexal-Winp,Drex.is -8.5 at the moment,if I have a total I will go under,think thats the best play,but dont always have totals in these early tourny games.
Drexel is better and should sufficate the Winthrop offense, but yeah you won't get a total unless it's televised and even then it will probably be extremely low
throbbin
Quote Originally Posted by JEG53:
Any thoughts on the degenerate special in the morning, Drexal-Winp,Drex.is -8.5 at the moment,if I have a total I will go under,think thats the best play,but dont always have totals in these early tourny games.
Drexel is better and should sufficate the Winthrop offense, but yeah you won't get a total unless it's televised and even then it will probably be extremely low
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