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Holmey's $$$$ Thread SATURDAY - Post Your BEST Play Only - 02.13.16

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Posted: #26

Couldn't resist another shot at the X-Men! Got Bubbski backing this one....been getting a horrible beatdown this last 7 days!!

 

Jack Ryan
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by Oohnana24:

DUKE -2  

Virginia hasn't been great on the road as they are 4-4 and we all know Duke is a beast at home with a record of 179-12 since 2004 season.


Duke is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams with winning road record.  Duke has won 3 straight and I feel they are gonna win this one by 4.


I am not knowledgeable enough to declare a $$$$ so this is just a pick and I understand it won't be tracked.  Just trying to participate

 
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Posted: #28
$$$$ Play

Murray State -14.5 over SE Missouri State

This is my biggest play of the day. Although SE Missouri State is playing better as of late, they are still one of the worst teams in college basketball. (335/351 on Kenpom). And by playing better I mean instead of getting blown out they have only been losing by ten points lately. Murray State should win this one tonight by more than 15 pretty easily. 

One of my favorite angles on this game is how close of a comparison SE Missouri St and SIU Edwardsville are and how similar both teams played at home. Both teams lost by six at home. Edwardsville when going to Murray State proceeded to lose by 16 on the Racers home floor. 

Of course following smart money is also my favorite thing to look at on any big play. Murray State only getting 34% of the public on them and the spread has gone up from 14 to 14.5. I foresee the spread jumping another half or full point so get on it now before the game gets closer. Best of luck guys. 
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by TheKrew:

$$$$ Play

Murray State -14.5 over SE Missouri State

This is my biggest play of the day. Although SE Missouri State is playing better as of late, they are still one of the worst teams in college basketball. (335/351 on Kenpom). And by playing better I mean instead of getting blown out they have only been losing by ten points lately. Murray State should win this one tonight by more than 15 pretty easily. 

One of my favorite angles on this game is how close of a comparison SE Missouri St and SIU Edwardsville are and how similar both teams played at home. Both teams lost by six at home. Edwardsville when going to Murray State proceeded to lose by 16 on the Racers home floor. 

Of course following smart money is also my favorite thing to look at on any big play. Murray State only getting 34% of the public on them and the spread has gone up from 14 to 14.5. I foresee the spread jumping another half or full point so get on it now before the game gets closer. Best of luck guys. 

Hey, what site do you use to find who the smart money is being played on?
 
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Posted: #30
Im gonna do it. Kansas @ Oklahoma.
OU + 3.5.
Think line should be more 5 or 6, it was at some point, but back down to 3.5 most places. Sooners coming off a morbid performance vs Texas, but I love bounce back games. Kansas playing a little better lately but gotta go with OU at home. I loved KU at home last time. OU plays better in an up-tempo game, which is why I like them here.

Regular picks
Duke -2
Marquette +1
 
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Posted: #31
Shit meant OU -3.5
 
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Posted: #32
Not sure if team totals constitute a prop?

So my $$$$ will be Michigan over 143.5

I really believe Michigan will win this straight up as it's going to an electric atmosphere at the Crisler Center (still hard not to say Crisler Arena, oh well). Today Michigan will be celebrating their 100th anniversary of UM hoops as well as aide in the Chad Tough Foundation.

I'm in the camp of streaky shooting is a pattern. Many will say it's about the who you play. But I beg to differ. Michigan shot 53.8 from the field with 14 3 pointers the other night. Today they are going have to do the same from the outside against a big down low team like Purdue. Michigan won't be getting second chance rebounds today, so the game plan is hitting the 3. They got the sharp shooters and this play should go over as I see Purdue putting up 80 themselves. Even if Michigan does get blow out (which I see them winning with my maize and blue glasses), they should put at least 70.

Good luck gang.
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by Oohnana24:


Hey, what site do you use to find who the smart money is being played on?

https://www.thespread.com/ncaa-college-basketball-public-betting-chart
 
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Posted: #34
$$$$  JAMES MADISON + 9

I'm not an expert on either one of these teams but as a handicapper I feel this line isn't right. JMU's best player ( Ron Curry ) was injured last game and will not play today but I still think 9 points is to much. JMU is a solid 19-7 this season and trail UNCW by two games for the CAA lead. JMU lost out right to UNCW at home as a 4 point favorite three weeks ago on their 2nd  poorest offensive games of the season.  They hit on only 36.5 % of their shots ( season average is 45.2% ). Despite their 19-5 record, UNCW has not been strong ATS going only 6-6 in conference games and a very weak 2-6 in home games. JMU on the other hand is 9-4 in conference, 8-1 on the road, and 4-1 as a road dog. Again I don't know these teams very well but in my opinion this game should be around 4.5  at best..
 
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Posted: #35
GUYS 

BIG CARD TODAY...MY $$$$ PLAY STICKS OUT LIKE A SORE THUMB....A SORE THUMB THAT WILL MAKE  $$$$

AKRON  AT  NORTHERN ILLINOIS
20-4               16-8

THIS IS A CASE OF 2 TEAMS GOING OPPOSITE DIRECTIONS.
AKRON HAS WON 7 IN A ROW,NO. ILL HAS LOST 5 IN A ROW.

YES, THE HUSKIES ARE 13-1 AT HOME, BUT I DON'T SEE THE ZIPS LETTING THAT STOP THEM.

ZIPS ONLY GIVING UP 2 POINTS???  LINE SHOULD BE AT LEAST -5

GIVE ME THE ZIPS ALL DAY.

$$$$ PLAY 

AKRON -2

"Bet the farm!" "GO WHERE THE MONEY IS!"
 
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Posted: #36
COURTESY BUMP 
"Bet the farm!" "GO WHERE THE MONEY IS!"
 
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Posted: #37
JUST GOT ED BY COLORADO 
"Bet the farm!" "GO WHERE THE MONEY IS!"
 
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Posted: #38
$$$$ PLAY AKRON -1.5

Akron won 7 in a row N I'll lost 5  Akron beat them 76-66 common opponent 2/6 Ohio beat N I'll 80-69 on the road Akron beat Ohio on the road 2/2 80-68 both teams going in different directions Antino Jackson 7/13 20 pets on the road last game beating Bowling Green by 15 83-68
 
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Posted: #39
Damn awful pick by me
 
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Posted: #40

Going to Toledo Rockets vs Miami tonight. Watched a lot of MAC ball this year. Every bet seems to be risky. Could not get up the nerve to bet Akron. Rockets actually beat them at home earlier in the season.

 

 

 

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Posted: #41
jumped on akron as well! need this win!
 
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Posted: #42
Well, I squeaked out a winner on the Oregon over, but from now on you guys don't let me put a single cent on Oregon if they are on the road and I need them to play well.  From now on, ONLY betting AGAINST Oregon on the road.  They are useless on the road.
 
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Posted: #43

Quiet in here.  Where are the $$$$'s?

 
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Posted: #44
3-1 on $$$$ Plays but cashed on all 5 of my posts since joining thread. I hope you geniuses grabbed the cash with Detroit like I did. I'm still a huge loser getting my behind kicked today 5-6.

Anyone have a late bail out game?
 
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Posted: #45
$$$$ PLAY - 1-0 YTD

8:30 : Texas (+5) @ Iowa St.

The secret is out on this Texas team after going into Norman, leading by 9 at the half, and nearly knocking off an excellent OU team on Monday. The solid guard play of Isaiah Taylor and Javan Felix, as well as the emergence of Freshman guards Kerwin Roach, Eric Davis, and Tevin Mack have given the Horns a myriad of options in the backcourt. What has really turned this team around is the stellar play of Prince Ibeh, in the absence of Cam Ridley. Ibeh has been playing big minutes, blocking shots and rebounding and actually become a bit of a threat inside on offense, which is a shocker for a guy who looked lost on offense a lot of times in his first 3 years in Austin. Texas has also been playing extremely well on the road recently, going 4-0 ATS in their L4.

Iowa St. has had a rough 4 game stretch, going 1-3 both SU and ATS. They allowed teams to pound the paint, get to the foul line, and force turnovers in those 4 games, which is very uncharacteristic for what are normally all strengths for this team. Deonte Burton really came on the last 2 games while filling into McKay's starting spot the last 2 games, while McKay was suspended. Burton will start again tonight but McKay will come off the bench so that is a huge boost for Iowa St. is this one. 

This will be an unbelievable PG matchup, with Taylor going for 28 pts, 6 reb, 6 ast, and Morris going for 17 pts, 7 ast in the 1st game in Austin. Iowa St. will be going small to start the game so expect a lot of inverted offensive matchups, early on especially, with Niang and Nader stretching Ibeh and Lammert out of the lane to guard the potent 3 pt shooters. Iowa St. will definitely need McKay off the bench in this one to have some kind of inside presence on the defensive end and on the glass. This will not only be important against Ibeh and Lammert (more of an outside threat anyways) but also against the quickness and penetration in which these Texas guards are so proficient. The first meeting was an offensive showcase with both teams posting over 1.2 PPP but this should be a different matchup with the rise of Ibeh and the Texas guards, along with the struggles of ISU in the areas mentioned above recently (Inside D, FTA, and TO). Texas should be able to get in the lane, to the line, and force quite a few TO's as Shaka has been doing a much better job of fitting his HAVOC in a small way to the athletes on this team. Should be a great game to watch but I expect Texas to win this one outright.

Texas 78-74
 
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Posted: #46
There ya go, D_Frash.  Re-break the ice here.  Good luck!
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by jroc1247:

3-1 on $$$$ Plays but cashed on all 5 of my posts since joining thread. I hope you geniuses grabbed the cash with Detroit like I did. I'm still a huge loser getting my behind kicked today 5-6.

Anyone have a late bail out game?


You want to bang hard on uc irvine?  What I do know is that the best uc is irvine and always fade uc davis. 

irvine played @ northridge and beat them by 10.  Now they are playing at irvine and the crowd will be pumped.  Will this be another revenge game for northridge?  Perhaps.  Their last game a few days ago, they beat a same caliber team like them 9-14 fullerton team by only 8 points.

Irvine is 9-1 at home and 5-5 ATS.  Not much of a good ATS team but for a bail out, I'll roll with them.  I'm taking all of my winnings for today and roll with this irvine team here. 

Irvine last game, they lost to hawaii bad.  This is an embarrassment so they are going to take their frustration out on a pisser poor team like northridge to bring back their confidence level. 

Irvine is bidding for a tourney too. 

The CS Northridge Matadors are:

  • 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
  • 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

The UC Irvine Anteaters are:

  • 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. Big West.

Like anything else, I have been wrong before.  Good with our bets.    I'm on uc irvine -10 @ 10pm eastern and buying me half a point.  I don't like them half points.  Here is a to get the jinx out of the way.  No $ sign this time around usc homey 


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Posted: #48
Ugh Akron and Dule killed me
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:



You want to bang hard on uc irvine?  What I do know is that the best uc is irvine and always fade uc davis. 

irvine played @ northridge and beat them by 10.  Now they are playing at irvine and the crowd will be pumped.  Will this be another revenge game for northridge?  Perhaps.  Their last game a few days ago, they beat a same caliber team like them 9-14 fullerton team by only 8 points.

Irvine is 9-1 at home and 5-5 ATS.  Not much of a good ATS team but for a bail out, I'll roll with them.  I'm taking all of my winnings for today and roll with this irvine team here. 

Irvine last game, they lost to hawaii bad.  This is an embarrassment so they are going to take their frustration out on a pisser poor team like northridge to bring back their confidence level. 

Irvine is bidding for a tourney too. 

The CS Northridge Matadors are:

  • 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
  • 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

The UC Irvine Anteaters are:

  • 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. Big West.

Like anything else, I have been wrong before.  Good with our bets.    I'm on uc irvine -10 @ 10pm eastern and buying me half a point.  I don't like them half points.  Here is a to get the jinx out of the way.  No $ sign this time around usc homey 


So not a $$$$ then, right?  Just want to make sure.....

 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

So not a $$$$ then, right?  Just want to make sure.....



I already won today.  Can I have another one?  If so, $$$$ me then. 
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