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Holmey's $$$$ Thread SATURDAY - Post Your BEST Play Only - 02.13.16

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Posted: #51
lol no sir.  1 per day max.  good job, nonetheless.....
 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by 23skidoo:

the books stand up and PAY ATTENTION @ 'large marge' levels on weekends. And what an easy gig that is when its simply pattern matching us silly degenerates...Yep all they're doing is looking for an over worked, tired, and under paid working class trying to convert their lunch money into a trip to the Land of Ozzzz when they get their puny days off from their work places.

It starts up every Friday finishing em off by late Sunday...

Wise play is to shut this thang off on the weekends and take advantage of lazy numbers during the week. Discipline is money management but it also requires us making the correct choices and recognizing when your book makers are their sharpest...The books have their very own 'CURTAIN OF DISTRACTION' going on laying in wait for these poor buggers - 'low hanging fruit' ...

Just a thought...

 

Great game you've set up here USC Holmes..

BTW...That Arizona State/ USC game was correctly deconstructed by the crew that gathered in this thread of yours for everyone to learn and grow from.

Beautiful stuff here folks!

Great idea USC Holmes!

Thank you, 23skidoo!  Much appreciated!

 
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Posted: #53
USC....COULD I MAKE A SUGGESTION ON YOUR 4 PLAYS PER WEEK RULE....WOULD YOU BE OPEN TO ALLOWING A 5TH PLAY AS LONG AS THAT CAPPER HAS GONE 4-0 IN THAT WEEK?

JUST THROWING THAT IDEA OUT THERE



"Bet the farm!" "GO WHERE THE MONEY IS!"
 
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by jimc0911:

USC....COULD I MAKE A SUGGESTION ON YOUR 4 PLAYS PER WEEK RULE....WOULD YOU BE OPEN TO ALLOWING A 5TH PLAY AS LONG AS THAT CAPPER HAS GONE 4-0 IN THAT WEEK?

JUST THROWING THAT IDEA OUT THERE

Thanks for the idea.  that has actually been discussed several times in past years and the conclusion was always to keep it at 4.  Its just part of the goal to make it as super-selective as possible.  The $$$$'er who went 4-0 is ALWAYS welcome to post that play just like a $$$$, but it just won't be tracked as one.  thanks for the idea, though, jimc.....


 
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Posted: #55
$$$$ Hawaii (-16.0) over Cal State Fullerton

The Big West is a terrible conference to bet on.  Very unpredictable with many ATS's around a 50% win rate.

I bet on a lot but mostly watch the Big ugly West.  There is finally a team rolling and covering.  This is the rainbows and they are in a good spot here.  Here are the numbers below but I go on feel with this conference.

Hawaii
7-1 ATS after a win by 20 or more (Crushed the second place UC Irvine a couple ago)
17-8 ATS last 25 home games
10-3 ATS last 13 vs losing records

Hawaii is 8-1 in conference with the only loss to Long beach State.  The 49ers are very used to traveling and predictably played well at hawaii beating them straight up as 8.5 dawns.

Since then its been all rainbows.  Very athletic with four guys averaging over 11 per game.

Fullerton on the other hand.....

2-7 ATS last nine road games
1-5 ATS last five games
7-19 ATS on road vs a home team with a winning record
Plus Fullerton has forgotten how to win

They got a couple players including Lionheart who can score and board.

Finally a Big West leader who I'm comfortable with covering.  

This should be all Rainbows by 20 plus

BOL
 
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Posted: #56

$$$$ play SMC -18

The #1 offense fg% and #8 offense 3pt% of the Gaels take on the 306 fg% defense and 326 3pt % defense of Loyola Marymount. Gaels beat them already by 25 on the road already. Gaels coming off a loss to pepperdine as 12.5pt favs.. LMU coming off a surprising road win as 4.5pt dogs. Gaels will be upset with their last performance and take it out on LMU.  Gaels have blown out teams than have crushed LMU.

 

 

 
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Posted: #57
USC (+9) @ Arizona 

The Trojans look to bounce back from a bad effort in a loss @ ASU. Meanwhile, the Wildcats struggled mightily and had to overcome a double digit deficit to beat a mediocre UCLA squad. 

On a neutral court I'd take USC over this version of Arizona every time. Allonzo Trier is still working his way back in to the lineup after an extended period away due to injury. 

Ryan Anderson is the straw that stirs the drink for the Cats but he may be somewhat neutralized by the presence of Jovanovic as long as he stays out of foul trouble. 

USC has lost once by DD in Pac-12 play and I'm thinking it won't happen again on Sunday. 

Play: USC +9
 
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Posted: #58
Quote Originally Posted by TheKrew:

$$$$ PlayMurray State -14.5 over SE Missouri StateThis is my biggest play of the day. Although SE Missouri State is playing better as of late, they are still one of the worst teams in college basketball. (335/351 on Kenpom). And by playing better I mean instead of getting blown out they have only been losing by ten points lately. Murray State should win this one tonight by more than 15 pretty easily. One of my favorite angles on this game is how close of a comparison SE Missouri St and SIU Edwardsville are and how similar both teams played at home. Both teams lost by six at home. Edwardsville when going to Murray State proceeded to lose by 16 on the Racers home floor. Of course following smart money is also my favorite thing to look at on any big play. Murray State only getting 34% of the public on them and the spread has gone up from 14 to 14.5. I foresee the spread jumping another half or full point so get on it now before the game gets closer. Best of luck guys.


Looking good early. Hopefully they play just as well in the 2nd half.
 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by TheKrew:

$$$$ Play

Murray State -14.5 over SE Missouri State

This is my biggest play of the day. Although SE Missouri State is playing better as of late, they are still one of the worst teams in college basketball. (335/351 on Kenpom). And by playing better I mean instead of getting blown out they have only been losing by ten points lately. Murray State should win this one tonight by more than 15 pretty easily. 

One of my favorite angles on this game is how close of a comparison SE Missouri St and SIU Edwardsville are and how similar both teams played at home. Both teams lost by six at home. Edwardsville when going to Murray State proceeded to lose by 16 on the Racers home floor. 

Of course following smart money is also my favorite thing to look at on any big play. Murray State only getting 34% of the public on them and the spread has gone up from 14 to 14.5. I foresee the spread jumping another half or full point so get on it now before the game gets closer. Best of luck guys. 

Congrats to TheKrew for an easy winner on Murray State to move to 2-0-1 on $$$$'s!

 
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Posted: #60
Good time at the Toledo Rockets beatdown of Miami. Best shooting night I've seen them have in a long time. Wish I would have gave the 11 points since they won by about 30! Akron got beat on the Road which is no surprise in the crazy behind MAC!
Jack Ryan
 
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Posted: #61
Thank you USC for the room. I had made over 10U from fading in two days. Well I didn't fade from every plays. Pretty much based on the great write up that every1 had provided. Great called today bubba (x-man)and USC. The only 2  that I tailed and the rest were fading. Thank you again for the great info/ write up. 
 
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Posted: #62
Good to see you back at it USC Holmey,had some fun back in the day over at CBS before all the trolls ruined it.
 
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Posted: #63

Quote Originally Posted by PicN:

Good to see you back at it USC Holmey,had some fun back in the day over at CBS before all the trolls ruined it.

Hey is that you PicNWinnas?

 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

Hey is that you PicNWinnas?

Yes Sir,had to go the short route for name but good to see your still at it doing what you like.
 
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Posted: #65
Quote Originally Posted by PicN:

Yes Sir,had to go the short route for name but good to see your still at it doing what you like.
Felt I had to reach out and say hi when I seen you ask the one guy if he was the Drock,I remember that handle,but he said he wasn't,would have been pretty cool if he was...Just found out you had this going from a private forum I'm in so had to visit.I think I remember but could be wrong but thought Cutter used to post there too.I will try and post some winners when I think I have something good,most likely when NBA starts back up.
 
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Posted: #66

Quote Originally Posted by PicN:

Felt I had to reach out and say hi when I seen you ask the one guy if he was the Drock,I remember that handle,but he said he wasn't,would have been pretty cool if he was...Just found out you had this going from a private forum I'm in so had to visit.I think I remember but could be wrong but thought Cutter used to post there too.I will try and post some winners when I think I have something good,most likely when NBA starts back up.

Great man.  Thanks!  CUTTER is here and has posted a few $$$$'s (LOCKS).  I would say there are at least 25-30 old CBS guys here already. Thanks for stopping in!

 
 
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Posted: #67
YTD 3-2 Miami canes plus1.5 GL everyone
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