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Holmey's $$$$ Thread SATURDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 03.05.16

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Posted: #176
Quote Originally Posted by boybawang:

Carolina -5.5

Gl!

What's this?
 
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Posted: #177
Quote Originally Posted by wmi799:

Sweet. Northern Iowa wins SU

Good call! Missed this. You got anymore winners up your sleeve my man? 
 
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Posted: #178
Quote Originally Posted by boybawang:

Carolina -5.5

Gl!

you mean Cal?
 
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Posted: #179
Quote Originally Posted by stef084:

already took cal -3.5 but I'm also creeped out by the small line. anyone know why it's so low?

"Computer line" is Cal -4.  This is purely based on both teams' numbers from past performances.  Many use it as a baseline, or sanity check.

Then, most shops did open the game at 4.  Bettors have since bet Cal up to a 5.5 pt favorite..  

So all things considered, I would say it's sort of "where it's supposed to be".  Nothing fishy that I can see.  If Cal doesn't cover I cannot see that it will be due to clever linemaking.
 
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Posted: #180
Why do you guys care so much? lol
 
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Posted: #181
I have been following for 3 weeks and all I can say is awesome. Finally a thread of knowledgeable people without all the bickering. Keep it up
 
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Posted: #182
Jeez.  USC has missed 9 FT's in the second half.  Terrible play by USC the last 10 minutes.
 
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Posted: #183
GOOD EVENING ALL.....LET'S WIN $$$$

YTS $$$$ PLAYS 9-3

TONIGHT'S $$$$ PLAY COMES FROM CONFERENCE USA

LA TECH   VS    WESTERN KENTUCKY
23-7                    15-15

LA TECH ENTERS THIS GAME WINNING 3 IN A ROW WHILE WKU WON LAST TIME OUT AGAINST A POOR SOUTHERN MISS TEAM,

LA TECH WON ON A THREE AT THE BUZZER TO BEAT MARSHALL IN IT'S LAST GAME THEY ALSO HAVE ONLY LOST TWICE SINCE THE MIDDLE OF JANUARY. I LOOK FOR THEM TO CONTINUE THE RUN TONIGHT.

WKU IS GOOD AT HOME (11-4) BUT LA TECH IS THE BETTER TEAM AND EVERYTHING IS GOING IN THEIR FAVOR.THEY WILL WIN THIS GAME SU


$$$$ PLAY

LOUISIANA TECH +2

"Bet the farm!" "GO WHERE THE MONEY IS!"
 
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Posted: #184
@Upside,

Very nice insight on your early leans.  Sorry did not get back with you but been busy. 

GL the rest of the night.


 
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Posted: #185
Nive
 
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Posted: #186
Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

Quote Originally Posted by gatorbear:

@Holmey,I saw the Cal pick. Will you post any non $$$$ West Coast picks for us Southeast boys/girls?

The only bet I have left is Cal.  My only bets today were Rutgers, USC, & Cal.

 
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Posted: #187
So I take Kansas -6.5 2nd half and towards the end when teams are trading baskets for fouls I have 7 point lead. With 20 seconds left Kansas who is up 8 fouls a 3 point shooter and gives him 3 free and I end up with an L by the hook. Luckily I bought out my garbage Arky pick with S. Carolina +7 2nd half. 
 
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Posted: #188
Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

Jeez.  USC has missed 9 FT's in the second half.  Terrible play by USC the last 10 minutes.



Yeh and at home too. You have to hit FT's at home.
 
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Posted: #189
Quote Originally Posted by wmi799:

Sweet. Northern Iowa wins SU


Mad I didn't tail this!!!  

Jack Ryan
 
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Posted: #190
Quote Originally Posted by donkey_dealer08:

So I take Kansas -6.5 2nd half and towards the end when teams are trading baskets for fouls I have 7 point lead. With 20 seconds left Kansas who is up 8 fouls a 3 point shooter and gives him 3 free and I end up with an L by the hook. Luckily I bought out my garbage Arky pick with S. Carolina +7 2nd half. 

yup..kansas cost me today, took both first half and full game. oh well moving on, more games to come!
 
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Posted: #191

Quote Originally Posted by jrgumpert:




Yeh and at home too. You have to hit FT's at home.

That was a demoralizing finish for USC.  Its was men (Seniors & Juniors for Oregon) vs. boys (Freshmen & Sophs for USC).  I don't think USC is going to do much in the postseason.

 
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Posted: #192
Better in NBA than CBB, BUT will throw my hat into the ring for tonight....

Really like UCLA -6. On 3 game losing streak, beat Oregon St earlier by 9 away. UCLA is the better team, will take out the recent miseries on O St w/easy DD win

$$$$ UCLA -6
 
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Posted: #193
$$$$ YALE -1

I'm actually going against somebody here on the board. This is a TOURNEY game for Yale! The Ivy League DOES NOT have a year end conference tournament. The regular season champ gets the bid. Columbia gets nothing for winning this game besides being a spoiler. Columbia had three Confernce losses this year. To whom? You guessed it...the two teams tied for first right now. Columbia got swept both games by Princeton by identical scores...88-83.  Columbia's first game versus Yale at Yale resulted in a 14 point loss 86-72. Yale and Princeton are the class of the Ivy! They will be meeting up next week in a one game playoff to see who represents the Ivy for tourney time after Yale knocks of Columbia! 

$$$$$ Yale -1

Also the total of 139 seems to be really low for this game. The first matchup plated out at 158!!  Columbia ran with Princeton in both games at 171 (even though Princeton doesn't have Yale's DEF).  This game will probably be played in the 70's....$$$$ up OVER 139 also!!
 
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Posted: #194
Quote Originally Posted by Mustang24:


Good call! Missed this. You got anymore winners up your sleeve my man? 

Playing

 
UCSB - 6' 
Missouri +8'
Dayton -2  
G Southern -11'
Manhattan +9
Fresno State +3
 
Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
 
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Posted: #195
Quote Originally Posted by wmi799:


Playing

 
UCSB - 6' 
Missouri +8'
Dayton -2  
G Southern -11'
Manhattan +9
Fresno State +3
 
g southern '+ 11' ?
 
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Posted: #196
Sorry.. I mean california -5.5
 
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Posted: #197
Lol
 
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Posted: #198
Anyone got a read on Ville/UVA?  
 
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Posted: #199

San Diego St - 9 1/2

Trends

The UNLV Rebels are:

  • 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Mountain West.
  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

 

The San Diego State Aztecs are:

  • 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.

 

Pick: San Diego State Aztecs -9

The Aztecs are clearly the better team, and they’ll be at home in this one. The first time these two teams met up, the Aztecs beat the Rebels by 15 in Las Vegas. UNLV has been incredibly inconsistent this season, and I can’t trust them on the road. The Rebels have lost their last four away games, and they’ve dropped eight of their last nine road games. Those losses include some pretty embarrassing defeats. I like the San Diego Aztecs to win this one by double-digits, covering the spread at home on Saturday night.

gl

 
 
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Posted: #200
Quote Originally Posted by iamsok:

g southern '+ 11' ?


Typo. Thanks for catching

Georgia Southern +11'
Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
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