great win yesterday...... despite Princeton ONLY having 5 turnovers to Cregighton's 13 and princeton shooting a wildly uncharacteristic 45% from 3, creighton still owned them offensively like expected and 'shoulda, woulda, coulda' pulled away by 20 several times with their lead hitting 16 multiple times in 2H and only falling as low as 7 and 8 1x each after the 18 minute mark near halftime. I expected a much more comfortable ending but it was a warranted and deserved win against an ivy squad clearly playing at an over-their-head level. nice +$5k winner to get comfortably in the green after hovering near $-flatline despite hitting 60% winners on year....... moving on....... keep the negativity coming please. I love it
0
great win yesterday...... despite Princeton ONLY having 5 turnovers to Cregighton's 13 and princeton shooting a wildly uncharacteristic 45% from 3, creighton still owned them offensively like expected and 'shoulda, woulda, coulda' pulled away by 20 several times with their lead hitting 16 multiple times in 2H and only falling as low as 7 and 8 1x each after the 18 minute mark near halftime. I expected a much more comfortable ending but it was a warranted and deserved win against an ivy squad clearly playing at an over-their-head level. nice +$5k winner to get comfortably in the green after hovering near $-flatline despite hitting 60% winners on year....... moving on....... keep the negativity coming please. I love it
you won't need the points in this one..... either Zags win or they get blown out.... keep it simple.... Uconn lives and dies by the 3, and they can shoot no doubt AND zags do give up the 3 ball. However, Zags are best 2 pt and 3 pt shooting team left in tourney and 10th in 3s nationalyl at 39% and 2nd in 2s nationally at 59%. Uconn can shoot but is worse in all 3 phases of shooting. Most statistics keep this pretty close and I'm not going to get into the minutiae..,,,, the value comes in point distribution and styles. This should be a fast game which both teams love and feel comfortable with. The difference comes in settling for shots..... UCONN will settle for and take a ton of 3s. Zags will take them if there but they prefer feeding inside and will push to get penetration into lane and points in the paint. So I'll take 2 pointers at 59% all day vs 3 pointers at 35% in a high possession game. The expected value of an 80 possession game with those %'s gives Zags a 118 to 108 point differential. And that's only accounting for if all points come by those methods. Mix in 2's for Uconn and 3s for Zaga and I see a 15 point differential for Zags over 100 possessions. If this game is 80 possessions, which is fast paced for college game and likely what this will be played at, I would put zags as -3 - -5ish. That's a big disparity to actual line of +3 so I see nice value here. Also add in coaching edge , experience edge, the Timme effect (i hate his mustache and headband and whining and him but let's be real, kid has the 'IT' factor), the fact Zags can play the underdog role for once bc everyone is now on the Uconn train, and I see the Zags winning here. Play withing yourself. I see value, you may not. Uconn could easily win by DD and comfortably if they are hitting their 3s. I just don't see them hitting 40% and keeping Zags out of paint. I also think Uconn is shallow in the front court and if Sanogo gets foul trouble, they are screwed. Strawther and Timme have big days and Zags go on to Final 4. good luck all
3
you won't need the points in this one..... either Zags win or they get blown out.... keep it simple.... Uconn lives and dies by the 3, and they can shoot no doubt AND zags do give up the 3 ball. However, Zags are best 2 pt and 3 pt shooting team left in tourney and 10th in 3s nationalyl at 39% and 2nd in 2s nationally at 59%. Uconn can shoot but is worse in all 3 phases of shooting. Most statistics keep this pretty close and I'm not going to get into the minutiae..,,,, the value comes in point distribution and styles. This should be a fast game which both teams love and feel comfortable with. The difference comes in settling for shots..... UCONN will settle for and take a ton of 3s. Zags will take them if there but they prefer feeding inside and will push to get penetration into lane and points in the paint. So I'll take 2 pointers at 59% all day vs 3 pointers at 35% in a high possession game. The expected value of an 80 possession game with those %'s gives Zags a 118 to 108 point differential. And that's only accounting for if all points come by those methods. Mix in 2's for Uconn and 3s for Zaga and I see a 15 point differential for Zags over 100 possessions. If this game is 80 possessions, which is fast paced for college game and likely what this will be played at, I would put zags as -3 - -5ish. That's a big disparity to actual line of +3 so I see nice value here. Also add in coaching edge , experience edge, the Timme effect (i hate his mustache and headband and whining and him but let's be real, kid has the 'IT' factor), the fact Zags can play the underdog role for once bc everyone is now on the Uconn train, and I see the Zags winning here. Play withing yourself. I see value, you may not. Uconn could easily win by DD and comfortably if they are hitting their 3s. I just don't see them hitting 40% and keeping Zags out of paint. I also think Uconn is shallow in the front court and if Sanogo gets foul trouble, they are screwed. Strawther and Timme have big days and Zags go on to Final 4. good luck all
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