i've seen enough ..... time to get serious

If you're just warming up then the bookies will run hide when you get Hot!

BOL today!  

POY type play on Miami FL tomorrow against Pitt, be ready if line is anything -5 or under. They are gonna smoke Pitt at home after their FSU debacle and with ACC title on line. Pitt was exposed vs ND and Larranaga is one of the top coaches and will mimick Brey's tactics. Plus, the U is just much better than Pitt and doesn't rely on the 3 as a one-sided O strategy

ok...... indiana state...... they lost to Belmont, by 1, in nashville, just 10 days ago.... Indy st got caught up in the run n gun game and lost the 3 point contest that night as they only hit 8/25. Move to a neutral court and unfriendly confines of St Lou for Belmont that relies on the 3 ball for almost 40% of its points. Belmont is wildly 1-dimensional and is a bottom 10 team in the nation regarding points from the FT line. Belmont doesn't get inside and doesn't draw fouls and doesn't get to the line much. Despite Belmont being a very good shooting team across the board, they really just look for the 3 and Indy St should have the advantage on O and D today. Why? Simple. Indy St is the #1 team, yes, the #1 team, nationally in 2 pt FG % at 60%!!! They also shoot 76% from the FT line and do draw many more fouls and get to the line more than belmont, thus having the adv there. They are also a very good shootng team across the board and just lacking in 3 pt % to Belmont. Indy St is taller, deeper, more experienced, and has more returning % minutes/points from last year. Those aren't game changers but it matters positively each one, so aggregated there are a lot of checks on the Indy St side. But most importantly is that Indy St does limit (not in the first game so much which they will learn from and adapt) opponent 3 pt FG points and %. They are 80th in the nation at limiting opponents to 27% of points from 3. After the 1st meeting, this should be the focus. On the other end, Belmont disallows the 3 also at a high clip but advantage ISU bc Belmont gives up 60% of opponent points from 2. Bottom line........ none of this really means anything other than ISU has lots of small advantages in most areas so the odds are in their favor. The 'big' advantage is situational and that Belmont is not going to be shooting tons of 3s at home in nashville this game. They'll be in a much larger arena with new sightlines and backgrouns and depth perceptions. I'll rely on ISU to take this game and get revenge on Belmont on the bigger stage.

I'm on the sycamores today and my canes tomorrow.

I managed the team when Bill Foster coached there..on scholarship.

I know coach L well.

They will clobber pitt

let's hope so.... i took the U +500 to win the ACC back halfway through the season right when they started their epic run so hopefully all the cards fall

good indicator of how 3 pt % is affected will be the bradley/n iowa game. Bradley shoots 37% during season and gets 35% of points from 3 and also Niowa gives up 6th most points from 3 in coutnry so Bradley will get tons of open looks from 3

@pederson16

 POST #104:  tremendo write-up pederson I have @ -2,thank you

bradley, who typically shoots 38% from 3, is shooting 30% and losing to NIowa..... this gives me more confidence in Indy St's advantages

The Sycamores are a solid group

 

Good luck today peedy

anyone questioning coach L in Miami check out the tourney vs Auburn last year..it was like DaVinci painting against your 8 year old, complete waste of Jabari Smith..

Basketball NCAAB - 874 Drake -10½ -120 for Game (buying ½ points) Mar 03 03:51 PM EST - Basketball NCAAB - 871 Indiana State -145 for Game Risk 750.00 USD Win 1,573.28 USD 2 Team Parlay

added more to Indy St with a parlay with Drake. think Drake runs the Racers out the building

Let's ride Pederson 

Miami at -6

what do you think?

what a nail biter

pushed the -3, won the -2.5

That was a close one down to wire! But it came through!! 

glad most of you got -2.5 or bought the hook. i did not..... what a game. my writeup proved to not hold any water in that game. I'll just consider myself lucky to get the push, albeit Sycamores led basically 39 of 40 minutes

15-3-1: $7,907.91....... pending: 2nd leg of parlay above is drake -10.5

@pederson16

 POST @122: pederson: "YOU ARE NOT JUST HOT, YOU ARE NOW "IN HEAT"" YES I WON  "TREMENDO".... I FEEL LIKE I AM GOING TO TAKE "THE elastic off" on your P.O.Y. saturday, miami fla: if you SAY.  hey! big winner indy st. -2!!!tremendo

Love Murray St first half 

@malcolm, yes, i will play it large. i don't have any line yet but i guessed around 5 above for my prior POY potential post