614 S Dakota St -6½ -110 x1
614 S Dakota St -3½ -110 for 1H x1
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I was against washington the other night with Wyoming based mostly on them being one of the worst shooting teams in the nation and Wyming having a massive shooting edge.... that still holds true tonight in this game against an even better shooting team in SDSU who is actually much deeper than wyoming, who got into trouble when Ike got into foul trouble..... but not only that edge though in this game....... Washington gets to the FT line at one of the highest rates (still suck at 65%) but they get 30% of their points from the FT line. Problem is, SDSU does not allow anyone inside and does not foul, with a very low foul ratio. THey pack it in on D and Wash will have to settle for pullups and 3s. Wash shoots a pathetic 24% from 3 and 37% from 2 ranking them at 340th worst in the nation shooting. Brutal. so they'll be allowed to shoot and miss they will. SDSU on the other hand is a fantastic shooting team (top 15 in nation) at 42.1% from 3, ranking them 18th, 56.3% from 2, ranking them 48th, and 70.7% from FT line, ranking them 163rd. That is a massive disparity. And on D, Washington runs teams off the 3 pt line by playing pressure man and closing out, but problem is they foul at a high rate and aren't deep at all; there is a big dropoff in experience and talent from starters to bench. Look for SDSU to pull away as the shooting comes alive and Wash likely gets into foul trouble and has to chase by getting desperate and taking bad shots.
Unless Terrell Brown Jr. goes for 30, I don't see Wash staying in this game whatsoever as SDSU packs it in and forces them into their weakness, which is shooting from mid- to long-range.
0
614 S Dakota St -6½ -110 x1
614 S Dakota St -3½ -110 for 1H x1
...........................................
I was against washington the other night with Wyoming based mostly on them being one of the worst shooting teams in the nation and Wyming having a massive shooting edge.... that still holds true tonight in this game against an even better shooting team in SDSU who is actually much deeper than wyoming, who got into trouble when Ike got into foul trouble..... but not only that edge though in this game....... Washington gets to the FT line at one of the highest rates (still suck at 65%) but they get 30% of their points from the FT line. Problem is, SDSU does not allow anyone inside and does not foul, with a very low foul ratio. THey pack it in on D and Wash will have to settle for pullups and 3s. Wash shoots a pathetic 24% from 3 and 37% from 2 ranking them at 340th worst in the nation shooting. Brutal. so they'll be allowed to shoot and miss they will. SDSU on the other hand is a fantastic shooting team (top 15 in nation) at 42.1% from 3, ranking them 18th, 56.3% from 2, ranking them 48th, and 70.7% from FT line, ranking them 163rd. That is a massive disparity. And on D, Washington runs teams off the 3 pt line by playing pressure man and closing out, but problem is they foul at a high rate and aren't deep at all; there is a big dropoff in experience and talent from starters to bench. Look for SDSU to pull away as the shooting comes alive and Wash likely gets into foul trouble and has to chase by getting desperate and taking bad shots.
Unless Terrell Brown Jr. goes for 30, I don't see Wash staying in this game whatsoever as SDSU packs it in and forces them into their weakness, which is shooting from mid- to long-range.
YTD: overall: 24-24-1, +12.5 units ........................ x5 1-0, +5 units .................x3: 4-0-1,+12 units .............. x2: 4-1, +5.8 units .................x1: 15-23, -10.3 units
0
YTD: overall: 24-24-1, +12.5 units ........................ x5 1-0, +5 units .................x3: 4-0-1,+12 units .............. x2: 4-1, +5.8 units .................x1: 15-23, -10.3 units
614 S Dakota St -6 -110 for 2nd Half x1
...............................
Wash started 6/8 from 3 and finished 7/14. regression time. SDSU played exactly how they should, just every squirrel finds a nut. Let's get 1 unit back and hope SDSU has a 42-24 type 2H. No time for greed, just try to claw 1 back
0
614 S Dakota St -6 -110 for 2nd Half x1
...............................
Wash started 6/8 from 3 and finished 7/14. regression time. SDSU played exactly how they should, just every squirrel finds a nut. Let's get 1 unit back and hope SDSU has a 42-24 type 2H. No time for greed, just try to claw 1 back
YTD: overall: 24-27-1, +9.2 units ........................ x5 1-0, +5 units .................x3: 4-0-1,+12 units .............. x2: 4-1, +5.8 units .................x1: 15-26, -13.6 units
0
YTD: overall: 24-27-1, +9.2 units ........................ x5 1-0, +5 units .................x3: 4-0-1,+12 units .............. x2: 4-1, +5.8 units .................x1: 15-26, -13.6 units
752 Bucknell +2 -110 x3 ....... big edge in height and shooting for bucknell..... rider is the 6th shortest team in D1 and shoots 24% from 3 and 44% from 2 ranking them 333rd and 275th nationally.... bucknell shoots 37% from 3, 50% from 2 and 84% from FT line! Bucknell will keep them out of the lane and make them settle for jumpers. Should be recipe for disaster for Rider unless of course they have an uncharacteristically great Washington-like shooting night like last nght. I'll side with the taller sqaud that gets layups and will likely be at the FT line shooting 85% all game.
0
752 Bucknell +2 -110 x3 ....... big edge in height and shooting for bucknell..... rider is the 6th shortest team in D1 and shoots 24% from 3 and 44% from 2 ranking them 333rd and 275th nationally.... bucknell shoots 37% from 3, 50% from 2 and 84% from FT line! Bucknell will keep them out of the lane and make them settle for jumpers. Should be recipe for disaster for Rider unless of course they have an uncharacteristically great Washington-like shooting night like last nght. I'll side with the taller sqaud that gets layups and will likely be at the FT line shooting 85% all game.
back to the well against Washington ...... i have faith they revert to their dismal shooting ways ...... copy prior writeups from wyoming and sdsu games ........... ............................690 Nevada -3½ -110 for Game x2
690 Nevada -2 -110 for 1st Half x2 ....................
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back to the well against Washington ...... i have faith they revert to their dismal shooting ways ...... copy prior writeups from wyoming and sdsu games ........... ............................690 Nevada -3½ -110 for Game x2
690 Nevada -2 -110 for 1st Half x2 ....................
I am 81 yrs old, "sugar daddy" , diabetic but really love your "candy handouts", provocative pics! thank you plus loved thwe second half that you shared!
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@pederson16
I am 81 yrs old, "sugar daddy" , diabetic but really love your "candy handouts", provocative pics! thank you plus loved thwe second half that you shared!
705 UC San Diego +205 for Game x0.5
705 UC San Diego +6.5 -110 for Game x3
........................ no time for reasons. subscribe to kenpom and check the "2022 Miscellaneous Team Stats: Offense" and "2022 Team Points Distribution" ....... shows ou that UC SD has a height advantage, gets to the FT line, and shoots 80%+..... whereas Montana, despite being rated a -8 here, has a terrible shooting disadvantage here...... not going crazy but worth a stab..... real talk tho, if the refs are caling it tight and UCSD gets in foul trouble, this could go poorly as they are not deep at all
so always bet within yourself
0
705 UC San Diego +205 for Game x0.5
705 UC San Diego +6.5 -110 for Game x3
........................ no time for reasons. subscribe to kenpom and check the "2022 Miscellaneous Team Stats: Offense" and "2022 Team Points Distribution" ....... shows ou that UC SD has a height advantage, gets to the FT line, and shoots 80%+..... whereas Montana, despite being rated a -8 here, has a terrible shooting disadvantage here...... not going crazy but worth a stab..... real talk tho, if the refs are caling it tight and UCSD gets in foul trouble, this could go poorly as they are not deep at all
so always bet within yourself
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