Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:
Temple catching 8 @ SLU!? Bill & Mary favored!? Pitt laying 9!? Mizzou/ISU total isnt 200!? Fordham +14.5!? Bama laying 11.5 in a game that should see the winner get to 55!?
Help me out here Ropp!
Temple's probably a pup or a PK at best in every A-10 roady aside from Rhode Island and Fordham. They've looked atrocious on the road this year. Probably see a different Temple lineup tonight. They can't play the three or four guards at one time and expect to defend STL.
Towson only a 4 point pup?!?!? I'm not touching this game. Should set up for some points, though. Both teams sag, Towson's zone should give William & Mary nice open looks from the three-point line, and William & Mary forces teams to beat you from the outside and hope to rebound the ball. In reality, this game sets up to be like a game of H-O-R-S-E.
No clue on Pitt. Expecting Woodall back? Bad spot for Rutgers in a letdown and hitting the road for only the second time on the year. I've commented on Rutgers speeding up their pace this year, and they've done a good job at getting up and down, but they've flat out sucked when they've been forced to slow down, so you're seeing why they're trying to speed it up. Price is pretty steep on Pitt here, but Dixon's hinted at going zone, which only slows down the game a bit more, forces Rutgers to beat you from the outside (good for Pitt, bad for Rutgers), and if the game is slow, then you have a Rutgers team playing in a letdown spot in a style they want no part of being in.
I could be wrong with Missouri, but I'm under the impression that once that first loss came, Haith is going to make some adjustments and slow them down. I could be entirely way off in another solar system, but that's my guess. Think they played 87 possessions in this spot last year, but that was a blowout setting. Second meeting was close and only came in at 70 possessions, so in a closer ballgame with Mizzou on the road for second straight, and that possibility of Haith getting away from giving them all the freedom to do whatever they want whenever they want in the offense, might put a tiny bit of value in that high total. I haven't figured Hoiberg out in recent games this and last year. I know he wants to run, but in games I thought he'd slow down, he ran faster, and in games I thought he would run, he was as slow as a turtle. What's funny is that 87 possession game they played last year stayed under this listed #.
St. Joseph's decent shooters shooting into the Fordham zone, and a horrendous Fordham offense that becomes one dimensional and will have to hit shots from beyond the arc where they shoot 28%. Teams aren't scoring on St. Joseph's in the paint...at all. This takes away any inside game, and the slashing game. The starting lineup Fordham trots out has only hit 57 three's in 15 games.
No thoughts on the Bama game. Think they're offense is better than what it's shown, and LSU's defense was rated this good last year before it started hitting the road against some good SEC offenses. Lost a majority of their road games in the conference last year by 20+.
GL