That Virginia line is ridiculous imo. I was planning on taking Belmont when I saw the matchup but the fact that the line is so inflated seems that they are begging for Belmont money. If the line was around the -11 or -12 range where I think it should be, I'd feel more comfortable.
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That Virginia line is ridiculous imo. I was planning on taking Belmont when I saw the matchup but the fact that the line is so inflated seems that they are begging for Belmont money. If the line was around the -11 or -12 range where I think it should be, I'd feel more comfortable.
That Virginia line is ridiculous imo. I was planning on taking Belmont when I saw the matchup but the fact that the line is so inflated seems that they are begging for Belmont money. If the line was around the -11 or -12 range where I think it should be, I'd feel more comfortable.
I don't generally care what "THEY" are wanting us to do. All I know is it is gonna be tough for Virginia to beat this team by 20+....line should be 12 at absolute most IMO
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Quote Originally Posted by FiatLux4:
That Virginia line is ridiculous imo. I was planning on taking Belmont when I saw the matchup but the fact that the line is so inflated seems that they are begging for Belmont money. If the line was around the -11 or -12 range where I think it should be, I'd feel more comfortable.
I don't generally care what "THEY" are wanting us to do. All I know is it is gonna be tough for Virginia to beat this team by 20+....line should be 12 at absolute most IMO
Heh heh didn't think Maryland would be more than 5.5 and its even worse than I thought. Would have bet rent on +7.5.
I'm looking at taking big shots where the house cant make an efficient line. The wrong team is favored in the VCU Ohio st game. Looking to slam any sub 143 total hope it's nor too high but exp
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Heh heh didn't think Maryland would be more than 5.5 and its even worse than I thought. Would have bet rent on +7.5.
I'm looking at taking big shots where the house cant make an efficient line. The wrong team is favored in the VCU Ohio st game. Looking to slam any sub 143 total hope it's nor too high but exp
Expecting total to be 142 wish but its going to be hi scoring liking VCU ML + over...also a big fat big ten fade o Rama take the 20 vs wisky...+5 vs MD also will be playing MD under if its 127 or higher
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Whoops
Expecting total to be 142 wish but its going to be hi scoring liking VCU ML + over...also a big fat big ten fade o Rama take the 20 vs wisky...+5 vs MD also will be playing MD under if its 127 or higher
Nice job vandal. Utah and Michigan state might be in trouble imo
thanks buddy but unfortunately it hasn't won me anything...yet
Perhaps MSU...they looked really good down the stretch but Georgia could keep it close or pull that upset for sure
As for Utah I would lean Utah because when this team is on they look like a top 10 team that could beat anybody. what everyone remembers is what happened last to Utah after having a horrible game. But what they dont remember is that this team came closest in lawrence to beating kansas than anyone and really should have. winning by 7+ is more than reasonable against a squad that hasn't been battle tested and has a garbage defense., Their signature wins are @,Memphis and beating sam Houston a couple times.....think they are in over their heads in this one
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Quote Originally Posted by FearTheWeb:
Nice job vandal. Utah and Michigan state might be in trouble imo
thanks buddy but unfortunately it hasn't won me anything...yet
Perhaps MSU...they looked really good down the stretch but Georgia could keep it close or pull that upset for sure
As for Utah I would lean Utah because when this team is on they look like a top 10 team that could beat anybody. what everyone remembers is what happened last to Utah after having a horrible game. But what they dont remember is that this team came closest in lawrence to beating kansas than anyone and really should have. winning by 7+ is more than reasonable against a squad that hasn't been battle tested and has a garbage defense., Their signature wins are @,Memphis and beating sam Houston a couple times.....think they are in over their heads in this one
Expecting total to be 142 wish but its going to be hi scoring liking VCU ML + over...also a big fat big ten fade o Rama take the 20 vs wisky...+5 vs MD also will be playing MD under if its 127 or higher
Don't see VCU game being 142 total...probably more like 136...see a 68-64 type game that could go either way
Coastal Carolina is one team I don't know almost anything about....seems they have lost by this spread all year but the only teams they played were UCLA and ole miss...got blown out by UCLA early in year and nearly beat ole miss at home.....definitely one game I am staying away from
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Quote Originally Posted by URZ262:
Whoops
Expecting total to be 142 wish but its going to be hi scoring liking VCU ML + over...also a big fat big ten fade o Rama take the 20 vs wisky...+5 vs MD also will be playing MD under if its 127 or higher
Don't see VCU game being 142 total...probably more like 136...see a 68-64 type game that could go either way
Coastal Carolina is one team I don't know almost anything about....seems they have lost by this spread all year but the only teams they played were UCLA and ole miss...got blown out by UCLA early in year and nearly beat ole miss at home.....definitely one game I am staying away from
3 losses to teams in top 100 RPI (VCU by 27; Butler by 11; Murray State by 15
Awful defense. Decent offense, but that was against poor opponents.
Not sure how you came up with -9. I follow the ACC very closely and Virginia should absolutely destroy Belmont, IMO. I think they win by 15+. The line should be in the -12 to -18 range. Nothing stands out to me here.
Good luck though, VV! Can't wait for the games to start.
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Quote Originally Posted by VegasVandal:
record of lines guesses within 3 pts
23-7
Largest disparity of line judgment
Virginia -9 was my line and real line is 17
This is a big pounder for me
Belmont is outside the top 100 in RPI.
263 SOS
0 Wins vs. top 50 RPI teams
3 losses to teams in top 100 RPI (VCU by 27; Butler by 11; Murray State by 15
Awful defense. Decent offense, but that was against poor opponents.
Not sure how you came up with -9. I follow the ACC very closely and Virginia should absolutely destroy Belmont, IMO. I think they win by 15+. The line should be in the -12 to -18 range. Nothing stands out to me here.
Good luck though, VV! Can't wait for the games to start.
VV...I studied that conference during their tourney only because I picked one garbage conference to seriously cap and ended up with w/e conf Winthrop and coastal Carolina and I found it to be a very good mid major. Was planning on taking cc regardless of matchup glad to see its vs a big ten loser...cc can shoot I think total should be 132 but they can easily flub and put up 127.
Speaking of which I'm making my totals gonna put them up in an hour or so Lotta value in marchadness totals too
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VV...I studied that conference during their tourney only because I picked one garbage conference to seriously cap and ended up with w/e conf Winthrop and coastal Carolina and I found it to be a very good mid major. Was planning on taking cc regardless of matchup glad to see its vs a big ten loser...cc can shoot I think total should be 132 but they can easily flub and put up 127.
Speaking of which I'm making my totals gonna put them up in an hour or so Lotta value in marchadness totals too
3 losses to teams in top 100 RPI (VCU by 27; Butler by 11; Murray State by 15
Awful defense. Decent offense, but that was against poor opponents.
Not sure how you came up with -9. I follow the ACC very closely and Virginia should absolutely destroy Belmont, IMO. I think they win by 15+. The line should be in the -12 to -18 range. Nothing stands out to me here.
Good luck though, VV! Can't wait for the games to start.
First Ill say that Virginia should have destroyed wake forest, florida state, and Virginia tech at home but they didn't....they are not consistent down the stretch
I agree with your numbers assessment....logically if it were to play out perfectly you may be right...but this Virginia team down the stretch faltered big time and lacked a ton of offensive consistency. Anderson was a nonfactor in last two games in acc tourney he came back for but must have not been 100%...he should be back to normal we would think for this game so that will give them a boost. I just don't see them doing enough offensively to win this game by 20+ they are gonna have to hold Belmont under 50 to do that. Not to mention they are on a special run to end the year taking out Murray state in the finale while winning 7 straight...I trust them to put up numbers in the high 50's or low 60's so if Virginia hangs 80 on them then I will tip my cap but watching both teams I don't see this result. GL to you though
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Quote Originally Posted by BirdsOnBat:
Belmont is outside the top 100 in RPI.
263 SOS
0 Wins vs. top 50 RPI teams
3 losses to teams in top 100 RPI (VCU by 27; Butler by 11; Murray State by 15
Awful defense. Decent offense, but that was against poor opponents.
Not sure how you came up with -9. I follow the ACC very closely and Virginia should absolutely destroy Belmont, IMO. I think they win by 15+. The line should be in the -12 to -18 range. Nothing stands out to me here.
Good luck though, VV! Can't wait for the games to start.
First Ill say that Virginia should have destroyed wake forest, florida state, and Virginia tech at home but they didn't....they are not consistent down the stretch
I agree with your numbers assessment....logically if it were to play out perfectly you may be right...but this Virginia team down the stretch faltered big time and lacked a ton of offensive consistency. Anderson was a nonfactor in last two games in acc tourney he came back for but must have not been 100%...he should be back to normal we would think for this game so that will give them a boost. I just don't see them doing enough offensively to win this game by 20+ they are gonna have to hold Belmont under 50 to do that. Not to mention they are on a special run to end the year taking out Murray state in the finale while winning 7 straight...I trust them to put up numbers in the high 50's or low 60's so if Virginia hangs 80 on them then I will tip my cap but watching both teams I don't see this result. GL to you though
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