NCAA, NIT, CBI, and CIT Plays

@Bookie_Crushers

 You are indeed, UAB and C'rado, then 2 - 1 today ...... how sweet it is ......

San Diego St -4 vs Charleston (-120)

3 Units

*Best # on MGM

Nice work buddy

@Bookie_Crushers

These teams' offensive efficiency #'s are much closer than their defensive efficiency #'s which are miles apart with VA presenting challenges and frustrations Furman hasn't seen. Also fg shooting #'s tend to take dips in first games on neutral courts of course. Virginia's SOS was nearly 200 spots ahead of Furman's who had the highest positive variance outcome % in conference this season including an overtime win in the semis vs bottom third defensive team in the country, Western Carolina, and a tight conf ship win against an even worse defense in Chattanooga.

The one common opponent is NC State who plays a similar style to Furman and is merely a couple spots behind Furman in its offensive efficiency ranking. Wolfpack beat Furman by 20 and lost to Virginia by 13, down by as much as 20 in 2nd half to Virginia.

The Duke ACC ship loss will obviously eliminate any complacency here as well.

So gross. Inexplicable by most experienced power 5 player, w/ a timeout, possession arrow, and guy next to you open enough. Also, free throws.

Arizona -14 vs Princeton (-120)

3 Units

*Best # on FD

Not to mention the missed FTs down the stretch.  Unreal.

@PapiChullo

 Yup. Sorry about the beat.

Just move on to the next game

All good, not your fault.  Keep up the good work.  

Iowa +2 vs Auburn (-105)

2 Units

Iowa ML vs Auburn (+115)

2 Units

*Best #'s on DK

playing in Birmingham why? 

@buffer

The line has moved 3 points because of that perceived homecourt advantage creating value on Iowa now at +2. I think Hawkeyes still dictate the tempo in this one. While Auburn has a def efficiency advantage, their opponents average an even better one and Iowa leads all the other primary statistical advantages including rebounding, free throw shooting, and a mountain between them in 3 point shooting with Auburn holding the 2nd worst % in the tourney ahead of only Illinois who also had a perceived homecourt advantage today.

UCLA -17 vs UNC Asheville (-115)

4 Units

Asheville has #1 positive variance outcome % in nation and #2 luck rating in KenPom. This spread is below 20 now due to 2 UCLA injuries, but Bailey is acquainted and breaking out in Clark's absence and Etienne has been more than serviceable in place of the less valuable Bona.  I love that the Bruins are coming off a choke/unlucky loss in the Pac 12 ship too and now Arizona's loss has given us yet another point of value here. Princeton is tiers above Asheville in all metrics, despite only one seed of separation. UCLA by 25+.

Texas A&M ML -135 vs Penn St

4 Units

*Best # on BetRivers

I'm bigger on this now given the result of Auburn vs Iowa. A&M does almost everything slightly better than Auburn and Penn St does everything slightly worse than Iowa while still having the same strengths including 3 pt shooting for Penn St and 3 pt defense for A&M. Penn St just made a longer run in the Big 10 tourney as well with games down to last possessions and A&M is coming off a revenge blowout against Bama. I think it's an energy/motivational mismatch in that regard as well.

@Bookie_Crushers

 Thanx for the SDST pick as I tailed!!!!!!   

@Bookie_Crushers

 A&M looks like the bad A&M tonight. Hopefully they wake up at the half otherwise Penn st might blow them out

@Vols2019

 Too late. Blowout city!!!

Fair to say the wheels have have fallen off