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NCAAB line move system

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Posted: #401
Shit, OT lol
 
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Posted: #402
And Iowa is up 16-2 on Sparty!
 
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Posted: #403
anything fit for the 8:00 games?
 
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Posted: #404
NCW covers 
 
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Posted: #405
wait wtf, espn updated their score now and they lost by 5???
 
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Posted: #406

just got back inside the house from shoveling my Blizzard....please don't tell me NCW made a huge comeback, and then lost by 5 in OT.

 

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

 
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Posted: #407
Are you kidding me?! I didn't see the end. Did they take away a late basket? Or was it just a bad print?

That's the second time that happened to me in a few days. I lost that Drake ML when they took away a winning 3 by Drake vs Illinois State.

Tough loss guys.

It was the NCW coach who had them hold the ball when they had the lead and then they got bad shots. Better to keep working the offense. I've coached, but I hate coaches who try to control the game so much. And I hate when they have them wait so late that they get a bad shot.
 
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Posted: #408

damn....yup...it looks like that's what happened....our firtst loss because of OT tho....so that's pretty good.

.....wow......mich st down 20 at the Half.

.....IOWA 1stH a winner then...at least we won't get whitewashed tonight.

jw11

 
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Posted: #409
any systems based on line jumps,, ive noticed a few games were for instance a o/u opens at 125 and then it will be at 129 the rest of the time..

i noticed over bets take it down a majority of the time
 
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Posted: #410
A side move of 1.5 on -6.5 or less is more significant than a totals move of 1.5 points. Now if a total moved 4 points or more, then you've got something. Not sure what the % is. Would be interesting to see.

When I ran the NBA numbers, I also started to look at the totals. Didn't see a trend. If anything, I think it was telling you to go WITH the line move on the totals.
 
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Posted: #411
Quote Originally Posted by Yungstar:

wait wtf, espn updated their score now and they lost by 5???

Did they actually take a basket away or was it a wrong score? Not that I need to be more pissed off. I did take some off when the other player was reported sick, but now I'M sick!
 
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Posted: #412
Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:


Did they actually take a basket away or was it a wrong score? Not that I need to be more pissed off. I did take some off when the other player was reported sick, but now I'M sick!

I'm not sure as I was following ESPN gamecast. I saw a final score of 61-58. I didn't see my account balance go up so i went back to check the score and it had updated to 63-58.

 
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Posted: #413
what website do you use to get the opening lines. Covers opening lines don't match the ones that i see here
 
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Posted: #414
www.scoresandodds.com


 
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Posted: #415
Iowa!

Thanks jw!
 
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Posted: #416
Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:

A side move of 1.5 on -6.5 or less is more significant than a totals move of 1.5 points. Now if a total moved 4 points or more, then you've got something. Not sure what the % is. Would be interesting to see.

About 4 years ago I decided to blindly follow the #'s on NCAAB Totals. In other words, if the total opened at 130 and went to 134....I would follow, and bet OVER.

Got absolutely killed.

But...that was 4 years ago, and it didn't last more than 10 days. I remember on a Saturday I there was 15+ plays and I lost 80% of them. Still remember how upset I was....LoL.

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

 
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Posted: #417

IOWA wins big VS MichSt.

ML/1H/FG all win....

....but  NCW lost across the board.

Bottom line.

We split the plays.

See ya tomorrow.

Have a good night.

jw11.

 
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Posted: #418

System record updated....Full Games...18-11

***15 of the 18 wins have an underdog winning outright.

*** 1stH plays would be 21-8

******SUMMARY of games as of 02-02-11*******

17 wins............

TENN +5...................won the game outright

ILLINI-3.5..................won by 10

ARK LR +3.5..............won the game outright

ST PETE pick............won

ST BON +4................won the game outright

FURMAN +6...............won the game outright

RIDER +1.5................won the game outright

RICHM +3..................won the game outright

W.CAROLINA +3.5.....won the game outright by 24

SAMFORD +2.5......,...won the game outright

SAN FRAN +5.5..........won the game outright

WRIGHT ST +4...........won the game outright

LOUISVILLE +5 .........won the game outright by 1 in OT

NC GREENS +6.5........won the game outright by 19

SANTA CLARA +2.......won the game outright by 7

CAL IRVINE +4............lost game by 1pt, but W ats

UL LAFAYETTE +4.......won the game outright by 6

IOWA +5......................won game outright by 18 (won 1H)

10 losses...................

ELON +7.....................lost by 8

FORDH +6...................lost by 12 (had 2H lead)

LOY MRMNT +1.5......lost by 2 

BALL ST -1.5.............lost by 2

E.CAR. +3...................lost by 8

S.E MO.ST +2.5........ lost by 9

CHARLESTON -2........lost by 11

ARK LIL ROCK -3.......lost by 11

SAN FRAN +1.5..........lost by 6

N.COLORADO +3.5.....lost by 11 (won 1stH)

NC Wilma +4..............OT game (lost by 5)

 
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Posted: #419

CORRECTED VERSION

System record updated....Full Games...18-11

***15 of the 18 wins have an underdog winning outright.

*** 1stH plays would be 21-8

******SUMMARY of games as of 02-02-11*******

18 wins............

TENN +5...................won the game outright

ILLINI-3.5..................won by 10

ARK LR +3.5..............won the game outright

ST PETE pick............won

ST BON +4................won the game outright

FURMAN +6...............won the game outright

RIDER +1.5................won the game outright

RICHM +3..................won the game outright

W.CAROLINA +3.5.....won the game outright by 24

SAMFORD +2.5......,...won the game outright

SAN FRAN +5.5..........won the game outright

WRIGHT ST +4...........won the game outright

LOUISVILLE +5 .........won the game outright by 1 in OT

NC GREENS +6.5........won the game outright by 19

SANTA CLARA +2.......won the game outright by 7

CAL IRVINE +4............lost game by 1pt, but W ats

UL LAFAYETTE +4.......won the game outright by 6

IOWA +5......................won game outright by 18 (won 1H)

11 losses...................

ELON +7.....................lost by 8

FORDH +6...................lost by 12 (had 2H lead)

LOY MRMNT +1.5......lost by 2 

BALL ST -1.5.............lost by 2

E.CAR. +3...................lost by 8

S.E MO.ST +2.5........ lost by 9

CHARLESTON -2........lost by 11

ARK LIL ROCK -3.......lost by 11

SAN FRAN +1.5..........lost by 6

N.COLORADO +3.5.....lost by 11 (won 1stH)

NC Wilma +4..............OT game (lost by 5)

 
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Posted: #420
No chatter this morning? Surely we can win some cash today with jw.
 
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Posted: #421
Cal-Irvine a play @+1.5
 
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Posted: #422
what would you play if the total line moves from 132.5 down to 129..
 
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Posted: #423
Cal Irvine a play? Up to +1.5 from PK.

Couple others have moved 1 point so far.
 
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Posted: #424
gonzaga is also a play so far +3 to +4.5
 
 
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Posted: #425
i mean portland lol +3 to +4.5
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