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NCAAB TUES

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Posted: #101

Quote Originally Posted by cgduch01:

AF shot lights out last night and still only won by 6....  UTEP will run them off the floor but 21.5 is too many points for me to play

certainly ...that is the system. They only took 12 "3" point attempts. The system is about layups vs undisciplined teams...backdoor. I see that UTEP avg almost 10 steals a game...this aggresiveness is what AF preys on. I see UTEP winning in a home game, but AF stays well below 20.

Remember AF was a 12 point dog yesterday, so a 6 point victory is +18 to the spread...stat profiles of UTEP and Niagara are not too far apart.

Trust me, I was ready to fade AF today thinking line would be 10 to 13...was shocked it was this number...value to me.

 
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Posted: #102
 nice plays...cant pull trigger on minny but am on creighton and NewMex, BOL
 
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Posted: #103
any more insight on lasalle? i'm thinking a 1H play...figure if they're down halftime they don't cover at all..
 
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Posted: #104
gluck..on CRE too..
 
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Posted: #105
actually scratch that...might not touch lasalle 1H..line creeps me out..-0.5 1H lasalle -115.. and the game line is currently at -1.5...
 
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Posted: #106
unc,

Thanks for getting back to me about xavier i understand time is not on our side especially looking at so many games but today your strongest POD is Creighton?
 
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Posted: #107
Hey unc I'm new to this web site but really like your picks and insight, I live in indiana also the bend  if you ever need any insight into notre dame let me know I'll try to help least I can do for all $$$$$$$$$$
 
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Posted: #108
What happened to Crus? Figured to see his input to this LaSalle game by now.
 
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Posted: #109
Quote Originally Posted by NoWorries21:

What happened to Crus? Figured to see his input to this LaSalle game by now.


He's on a trip near Ecuador or something
 
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Posted: #110
I hate when I bet against UNCForever....


SO THATS WHY I'M GLAD WHERE ON THE SAME PAGE


CRE -1
NW -7.5



BTW I GOT ROBBED ON THE CFB AGGIES...

 
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Posted: #111
i know you already concluded a no play on cornell and la salle but just wondering if youve been keen to the line movement... its jumped from a pk to cornell +1.5 with the majority of public on cornell... im thinking i wanna take the points but this has got me a little confused... any thoughts?
 
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Posted: #112

Quote Originally Posted by AlohaSrvdDaily:

i know you already concluded a no play on cornell and la salle but just wondering if youve been keen to the line movement... its jumped from a pk to cornell +1.5 with the majority of public on cornell... im thinking i wanna take the points but this has got me a little confused... any thoughts?

 

I have been watching it. I could very well jump back on LA SALLE...

 
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Posted: #113
Did anyone see any good O/U today?


Cheers
 
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Posted: #114
play it safe, taking la salle ml hehe. unc, my line is at 13 and nm at 8, would u still take it?
 
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Posted: #115

Quote Originally Posted by Mienballer03:

play it safe, taking la salle ml hehe. unc, my line is at 13 and nm at 8, would u still take it?

 

Yes but I would not take anything past 14 or 9.5

 
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Posted: #116
thanks, unc. do you think taking la salle ml is a good bet?
 
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Posted: #117

As far as the Valley goes I'm not seeing anything I like. I do think UNI will be Creighton but this is a no play for me. I'm leaning Illinois State over Whichita St. but this could go either way as well. Indy State has been impressive and SIU hasn't proved anything yet this year. If I was betting on anyone in the Valley today (which I'm not) I'd go with Indy state +7.

 
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Posted: #118

Sorry to see you on Creighton. I really like N. Iowa tonight and I will actually be at the game (season ticket holder).  N. Iowa won this game last year in Omaha and returns all 5 starters from that team.  Any follower of the MVC would tell you they expect N. Iowa to finish ahead of Creighton this year in the standings which should tell you that perception is they are the better team.  Now obviously perception does not mean anything.  Cre lost their leading scorer and really does not have anyone they can rely on in crunch time, which has shown to anyone watching them this year unfortunately.  Creighton does not have a single quality win this year, whereas N. Iowa has proven it can go on the road and win with its win over Iowa St. who I feel is better than people may realize this year. 

I am curious if anything other than what you previously mentioned stands out in this game to make it such a big play for you?

GL on the rest of your plays...always enjoy your thoughts

 
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Posted: #119
UNC - you coined the phrase "headfake" but that seems like the La Salle game to me.  less than 30% on La Salle at PK.  goes to Lasalle -1.5 and slowly the money comes in on La Salle to the point that it is now almost 50/50.

What am I missing?
 
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Posted: #120
UNC, any thoughts on the 4:30 game, Buffalo laying 5.5 to a 1 win jacksonville team after coming off a big win at wisconsin-green bay?  Obviously buff is no powerhouse but that kid pierce is pretty nasty and jax is terrible
 
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Posted: #121
BOL tonight UNC.
 
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Posted: #122
I like the picks.  I see some value in Ok St. -12.5 at home and LSU+10 on the road at X. 
 
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Posted: #123
UNC, are you still looking at some games? I thought for sure you would have been on URI. Laying only 3.5 against a pooooor Drexel team. URI shoots the lights out and they play in a much better conference.... not to mention they have a deeper bench. Just curious about what you think, I'm strongly leaning this and CRE.

BOL Bro

 
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Posted: #124

Quote Originally Posted by Joey50c:

UNC, any thoughts on the 4:30 game, Buffalo laying 5.5 to a 1 win jacksonville team after coming off a big win at wisconsin-green bay?  Obviously buff is no powerhouse but that kid pierce is pretty nasty and jax is terrible

Jax has played a killer schedule and Buffalo has won only 1 of their games by double digits...game being played in Orlando on UCF campus so Jax will have some support...my 2 cents is Jax plus points or no play

 
 
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Posted: #125
UNC--While I am admittedly more lurker than poster, I always enjoy your analysis of games.  You are very informative/insightful.  Thanks!  I'm with you on all games except UNM.  I like Tech in that one to win outright.  GL to you!
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