Good night tonight. Erased everything from the setback. Hopefully we can keep picking up steam heading into the week. Alot of of big game match-ups to go through. So lets get it started...
2-0 Monday
YTD: 179-129-10 (+233U)
ISU YTD: 7-2-1 (+23.50U)
Looking at
MICH ST -3
Do we dare even try to go against this team right now. IMO you can take emotional factors out of this one. MICH has been playing top notch competition and can very easily take just as much out of them as the Minny game could do to Mich St.
There is not much travel here and I see 2 teams going in opposite directions here. Manny Harris has struggled against St over his career and without him this team is not very good. We saw that against PU. This is probably as square as it gets but there is no reason to get off one of the best Big Ten road teams in recent years. Going 13-6-1 ATS their last 20 road games.
Got a few more things to look at and want to hear Bense's thoughts before I pull the trigger on anything.
ATS wise Mich St has been dreadful on Tuesdays going 6-18-2.
Under could have more value than anything.
CLEM -3
I was gonig back and forth on CLEM earlier today but I am going to go ahead and make this a no play. BC is improving slow and steadily and I hate betting on this CLEM team away from home. I learned my lesson earlier in the year and wont make that same mistake again.
MIA/MARY O 144 (2.5U)
Read ACC's thread
BAY -2.5
I will be honest here I got a ton shit to go over for this one. I dont think I have bet a Baylor game all season nor have I seen them play yet this season. This is more than likely shaping up to be a no play at this point just for the fact I am unsure how K ST will respond off a loss. Baylor coming off a blowout win and has Texas on deck. They wont look past K ST but there is always a possibiliy. Just a tough spot and so many red flags popping out to me from up above and ATS trends.
UNC -1 (10U)
I feel pretty confident we finally get our first conf. win. Dont overthink this line. We will take care of the ball in this game. We have played against some of the better teams that can create turnovers out in the passing lanes. Our biggest problem.
NC ST is one of the worst teams in the conference that can create turnovers. If these guard cannot get the job done in this one then we are seriously do have a problem.
NC ST is not a good rebounding team either and we should really dominate the paint on defense. We will dominate offensively if we can get it to the big guys. I expect a tight game most of the way but our D should step up in the 2nd half and put this one away.
Just take care of the ball against one of the softest defensive ACC teams.
By the way this is probably the best value I have seen on the Heels in a long time.
NW +11
No play here. NW has been too unpredictable away from home and the big game on deck is always a concern. Hard to say how Minny responds but I think they will do enough to keep this game out of reach for NW.
UK -6.5 (10U)
Really is this a joke? 
These freshmen have grown up in my eyes since the win in the swamp. They are hitting on all cylinders right now from top to bottom on this team they have played great ball and the only team in the country that has shown me repeatedly that they are up for the challange every night. I guess that what a talented group of freshman can do for you. They dont have all the seniors there that are showing them where to party and such and such. This group is hungry every night they step on the floor.
I read a article the other day about John Wall saying how he wanted to be the best point guard ever. Well Mr. Wall your going to get your first true challange against Mr. Downey. Speaking of Downey the guy is scoring almost a 3rd of SC points. My god you take this guy out of the picture SC becomes even more suspect. I know its the SEC but Downey is no slouch.
I see no area to convince me in this one to even try and back SC in this spot. Sure the place will be electric but we have a double revenge game here where UK is 3-0 so far this season in revenge games from last season winning by an avg of 8 points. Doesnt mean anything but food for thought. SC is horrible at defending, shooting, and rebounding. UK should get any type of shot they want and even if they dont shoot it well they should have a ton of second opportunities.
You take away Downey which I believe John Wall is looking forward to the challange as he is a guy that loves to be under lights then I want to know who is going to step up for SC and keep this one within 10?
Appears to be a chalk day and could be a public burial day.
. Nice call on monday 
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