This is considered a sharp/smart play and it is. The line came out any where from X - 6 to X - 5.5. It was - 5.5 last night, when I began capping this game and when I awake this morning, it’s sitting @ - 4.5 - 105 on BETMGM. MGM is a multi billion dollar company, but we as customers, can’t fluctuate pts. Ridiculous. Nova has won 16/19 games vs X. They’ve covered 15/19 ATS , they’ve covered 4/5 L5 games vs X. Looks to me, they have X’s number. X did win the last game vs Nova, but that was when, X were healthy. Boum and Tandy, haven’t been practicing hardly @ all and Freemantle is out. Nunge will not be able to rebound against Dixon tonight or contain him down low. Whenever you see a game like this one, usually the Dog wins outright. This spread should’ve been holding steady @ - 6 even with Freemantle out, but it didn’t. Over 60% of the public bet on X, and the line steamed the opposite direction. Follow the money win or loose. If you are down already this week, do not play this game. I’m on it 735/700 and a small ML play 100/170. Nova is second in defensive rebounding in league play and Nova also has the highest 3 pt % scoring in the Big East. They both have very good SOS #’s and X is better in most major offensive categories, but that’s @ full strength. X even has some very important defensive strengths over Vill, but that’s also @ full strength and, it’s mainly because X’s offense has overwhelmed most defenses, because they score so well. All relative though, because FM is out tonight. X is ( 357 ) in catch & shoot 3’s on defense and like I said. Nova can shoot the 3 ball very effectively. X’s defense is soft. They are hobbling, this is a revenge spot and the smart money is on Nova. Vill plays @ a snails pace ( 64.70 ) ( 344th ) nationally, which means, they are very methodical in their approach. The L 10 games, Vill has out scored X by, + 6.5 points. Vill is 13-5-2 ATS on Tuesday games and are 8-4 L 12 games played in February. A 13 - 14 getting this much steam only mean one thing. Vill wins tonight or worse case, they cover the spread. Vill makes almost 9 3’s per game compared to X’s barely making 7 of them. Vill dominates tonight I believe and get some payback in a game they have to have. GL to us all….
Hot Forum Topics
