First of all I want to recap yesterdays selections and the thought process that goes into making a wager, or not.
I will first list the OBVIOUS plays, then after the not so obvious selections.
Books Line My Line Difference Result
U S ALA -5 Troy -1.20 +6.2 W
Loy -3 Wisc Mil - 4.30 +7.30 W
Cal St Full 4.5 Cal St Full 0.50 +4.0 W
Long Beach -4 Long Beach -11.20 +7.2 W
Gonzaga -9 Gonzaga - 14.30 +5.30 W
Wash -13.5 Wash - 5.10 +8.40
Everyone should have gone at least 4-1 and most likely 5-1 with the above obvious selections. Granted, you have to be on your toes a bit to get the line moves sometimes( and I am fortunate enough to have a professional bettor at my disposal), but these plays were virtually standouts.
I have stated MANY times it's OK to wager on 3 point DOGS (differential), but not on 3 point favorites. You've all received the message loud and clear.
The following games qualified as 3 point underdog wagers yesterday. I will put them in the same format as above.
Books Line My Line Diff Result
Furman 20 Furman 17 3.0 W
Id St +6 Id St +2.7 3.3 W
Poly slo +3 Poly Slo -.60 3.6 W
Mont 16.5 Mont 13.2 3.3 L
I wanted to show you that with a little effort, and with line watching, you can certainly, at least, make smaller wagers on the above 4 games.
For safety, I still suggest 4 point differences or more, but edges begin at 3 for dogs. No doubt about it.
Shirley