All Forums | College Basketball

Sparty v.s. Purdue for Sunday...

...
Participants:
Search
Views: 5860
Posts: 62
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 247
Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by bense197969:



I understand what you're saying. Remember, I'm not the one who labeled this game as a HUGE play, or lock, etc.  I simply bet MSU thinking they win this game by more than the 3 points I had to give up last night.  That's it.  Sole possession of 1st place is at stake and who knows how PU will respond to the Byrd/Barlow incident?  Vegas doesn't even know that answer.  

Alright we just have different perspectives on betting then. I don't bet on teams based on whats at stake. Hell, anyone could make an argument that PU needs this game more so that they have a better seeding for the NCAA tourney, right? 

BOL on your play, by getting the -3 you have a great shot to cash. one possession is key in this game

Michigan St. is 28th in the country with a points per possession (PPP) of 1.079 and Purdue's PPP is 1.075 putting them in 32nd.

The only inconsistency with the numbers is that State has a PPP of .954 on the road and PU has a PPP of 1.109 at home. For those who don't analyze the numbers daily, that is quite the discrepancy
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 22865
Posted: #52
this bettr not be one of those type of games
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 5052
Posted: #53
Quote Originally Posted by cappingmaniac:


Alright we just have different perspectives on betting then. I don't bet on teams based on whats at stake. Hell, anyone could make an argument that PU needs this game more so that they have a better seeding for the NCAA tourney, right? 

BOL on your play, by getting the -3 you have a great shot to cash. one possession is key in this game

Michigan St. is 28th in the country with a points per possession (PPP) of 1.079 and Purdue's PPP is 1.075 putting them in 32nd.

The only inconsistency with the numbers is that State has a PPP of .954 on the road and PU has a PPP of 1.109 at home. For those who don't analyze the numbers daily, that is quite the discrepancy



Yes, we do have different perspectives on betting, which is fine.  That's why I browse this forum.  It's nice to hear different angles/opinions/perspectives.  Like I said, IMO, which could be wrong, I think the loss of Byrd/Barlow is huge.  Have you watched a lot of PU this year?  There's nothing on that bench.  If you're gonna factor in PPP, then maybe you should also factor in SOS, which MSU is 3rd and PU 30th, wouldn't those numbers impact the PPP.  I don't feel like digging up the numbers, but I'd imagine that MSU's PPP against, has gotta be pretty damn impressive, much more so than PU.  We can each dig up numbers to make any team look impressive, but the bottom line is now PU is missing their 4th and 5th leading scorers, so that can only hurt that PPP.  

Maybe I'm wrong and I'm overvaluing the losses, but I've seen a lot of Purdue this season, and I think they're gonna be hurtin' without them.  This play is one unit for me, like I said in my original post, "I hardly ever lay points on the road." 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 2410
Posted: #54
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 1164
Posted: #55
Lots of good information on this thread. Somewhat similar to Ohio St. Mich St. game as far as numbers moving. O/U started at 109 moved to 118 and ended at 116. This number started at 134 and is now 129. Also 3 went to 5.5 now 4.5. Purdue at home in conference is allowing 47% FG and 37.5% 3 ball both not good numbers. Mich St. big men should absolutely dominate inside offensive rebounds for points and kick outs for 3's. Be surprised not to see at least 70 from Mich St. Purdue doesnt turn the ball over, home court, and still a big game tournament seeding. Regarding Barlow he would be a good 6th man for any team D.J. Byrd has been hot with 20, 24, and 13. Ohio St was a shootout Illinois sucks defensively and N.W. isnt the best. Both these players against Mich St. Byrd 2-11 and 1-4 3ball for 7 points Barlow 2-7 for 6 points. Mich St has been playing good to very good defensive lately and now will be playing a below average defense purdue team. Mich St. as mentioned should score. Vegas looking for a 67-62 game. I have bet over 129 and this is a very strong bet on my part. I respond to threads only when I can offer hopefully some valuable points. BOL to whoever you play but I have played over 129 in a large wager for me.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2004
Posts: 2032
Posted: #56
Good Luck
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 1191
Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by bense197969:

Season Record:  46 - 31

Michigan State -3....I hardly ever lay points on the road, and up until the Thursday night/Friday morning incident with Byrd and Barlow I was planning on playing Purdue in this game.  But losing them is HUGE for the Boilers.  They're not a very deep or talented team with these two guys, so I don't think they can overcome this v.s. a red-hot Sparty team.   Plus, how is the team chemistry gonna be now for PU?  The "Paint Crew" will be loud, but in the end the surperior talent and coaching advantage should win out. MSU by about 8 or so.

These fucks are so heartless.

Izzo needs a good halftime speech.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2006
Posts: 6598
Posted: #58

...

solid work bense

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 2450
Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by cappingmaniac:


Alright we just have different perspectives on betting then. I don't bet on teams based on whats at stake. Hell, anyone could make an argument that PU needs this game more so that they have a better seeding for the NCAA tourney, right? 

BOL on your play, by getting the -3 you have a great shot to cash. one possession is key in this game

Michigan St. is 28th in the country with a points per possession (PPP) of 1.079 and Purdue's PPP is 1.075 putting them in 32nd.

The only inconsistency with the numbers is that State has a PPP of .954 on the road and PU has a PPP of 1.109 at home. For those who don't analyze the numbers daily, that is quite the discrepancy
All dem numbers don't mean jack when MSU is surging into the tournament. They probably locked up a #1 seed today.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2002
Posts: 55705
Posted: #60
Like I said. Dont argue with Bense.




 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 247
Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by mtndew146:

All dem numbers don't mean jack when MSU is surging into the tournament. They probably locked up a #1 seed today.

lol ok
 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2012
Posts: 2450
Posted: #62
Quote Originally Posted by cappingmaniac:


lol ok
who won..I rest my case
All Forums | College Basketball
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 Genius Sports. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.