I don't normally post on this board but thought I would share this large play with everyone here. For those that haven't seen me around the net these past few years, I'm a SEMO booster and follow this team very close. I have a pretty good record in games invloving SEMO but I'm just like any other capper, I lose games too.
I was so embarrassed by SEMO's play during their last game Saturday that I got up and left with 9 min. to go in the game. I've seen highschool teams with better fundamentals than SEMO has. For the first time this year the players looked like they were just going through the motions. There was no communication on defense. They did a terrible job of handling ball screens. One thing that they have hade trouble with all year is their transition defense. They constantly fail to cover players spotting up at the three point line when falling back in transition. That will spell disaster against a team like Tenn-Martin with Weddle and Hudson spotting up. Now Tenn-Martin is no defensive juggernaut. In the Kenpom ratings they have a defensive efficiency rank of 251 out of 344. But that is still much better than SEMO's rank of 336. In offensive efficiency Tenn-Martin ranks a respectable 153 while SEMO ranks 292. Unless SEMO shoots over 60% for the game I just don't see any way that they can keep this game in single digits. I predict a 16+ point loss. This will be my second MONSTER PLAY of the year. We won our first one with Tenn Tech beating SEMO. Now lets bring home our second one of the year with Tenn-Martin. The line is 9.5 at the Greek but on a big bet I'm not going to let the hook get me If things happen and it gets close to the number.
10 TENN-MARTIN -9 -120
One other thing to keep in mind for this game is it's the second game in three days for both teams. It should also be an uptempo game with SEMO being ranked 28th and Tenn-Martin 47th in pace. SEMO is ranked that high, not because they want to run but because they just can't stop the other team with their porous defense. With SEMO's short bench this should play into Tenn-Martin's favor also.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I don't normally post on this board but thought I would share this large play with everyone here. For those that haven't seen me around the net these past few years, I'm a SEMO booster and follow this team very close. I have a pretty good record in games invloving SEMO but I'm just like any other capper, I lose games too.
I was so embarrassed by SEMO's play during their last game Saturday that I got up and left with 9 min. to go in the game. I've seen highschool teams with better fundamentals than SEMO has. For the first time this year the players looked like they were just going through the motions. There was no communication on defense. They did a terrible job of handling ball screens. One thing that they have hade trouble with all year is their transition defense. They constantly fail to cover players spotting up at the three point line when falling back in transition. That will spell disaster against a team like Tenn-Martin with Weddle and Hudson spotting up. Now Tenn-Martin is no defensive juggernaut. In the Kenpom ratings they have a defensive efficiency rank of 251 out of 344. But that is still much better than SEMO's rank of 336. In offensive efficiency Tenn-Martin ranks a respectable 153 while SEMO ranks 292. Unless SEMO shoots over 60% for the game I just don't see any way that they can keep this game in single digits. I predict a 16+ point loss. This will be my second MONSTER PLAY of the year. We won our first one with Tenn Tech beating SEMO. Now lets bring home our second one of the year with Tenn-Martin. The line is 9.5 at the Greek but on a big bet I'm not going to let the hook get me If things happen and it gets close to the number.
10 TENN-MARTIN -9 -120
One other thing to keep in mind for this game is it's the second game in three days for both teams. It should also be an uptempo game with SEMO being ranked 28th and Tenn-Martin 47th in pace. SEMO is ranked that high, not because they want to run but because they just can't stop the other team with their porous defense. With SEMO's short bench this should play into Tenn-Martin's favor also.
I ALSO HAVE A SORT OF THINGS THAT SHOWS A TREND WITH TENN-MARTIN OTHER THAN STATS. THIS WILL BE MY PLAY FOR TODAY. HOW IS SEMO 28TH AND TENN MARTIN 47TH IN PACE? WHAT STAT IS THAT?
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I ALSO HAVE A SORT OF THINGS THAT SHOWS A TREND WITH TENN-MARTIN OTHER THAN STATS. THIS WILL BE MY PLAY FOR TODAY. HOW IS SEMO 28TH AND TENN MARTIN 47TH IN PACE? WHAT STAT IS THAT?
I've been to Cape Girardeau a few times. SEMO is horrible and throws horrible parties. Im all over TN-Martin. It will be my strongest play of the year.
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I've been to Cape Girardeau a few times. SEMO is horrible and throws horrible parties. Im all over TN-Martin. It will be my strongest play of the year.
I ALSO HAVE A SORT OF THINGS THAT SHOWS A TREND WITH TENN-MARTIN OTHER THAN STATS. THIS WILL BE MY PLAY FOR TODAY. HOW IS SEMO 28TH AND TENN MARTIN 47TH IN PACE? WHAT STAT IS THAT?
Pace or Tempo (the same thing) doesn't have anything to do with how good or bad a team is. It's basicly how fast the game is played. The following is an explanation from kenpom .com where you can find a lot of usefull info.
Tempo: We can estimate possessions very well from box score stats by using this formula: FGA-OR+TO+0.475xFTA. For each team, possessions are counted for the team and their opponents, and then averaged. A team’s average tempo is total possessions divided by minutes. This value is then adjusted for schedule, considering the preferred pace of each opponent and when each game was played.
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Quote Originally Posted by TRADER_X_112358:
I ALSO HAVE A SORT OF THINGS THAT SHOWS A TREND WITH TENN-MARTIN OTHER THAN STATS. THIS WILL BE MY PLAY FOR TODAY. HOW IS SEMO 28TH AND TENN MARTIN 47TH IN PACE? WHAT STAT IS THAT?
Pace or Tempo (the same thing) doesn't have anything to do with how good or bad a team is. It's basicly how fast the game is played. The following is an explanation from kenpom .com where you can find a lot of usefull info.
Tempo: We can estimate possessions very well from box score stats by using this formula: FGA-OR+TO+0.475xFTA. For each team, possessions are counted for the team and their opponents, and then averaged. A team’s average tempo is total possessions divided by minutes. This value is then adjusted for schedule, considering the preferred pace of each opponent and when each game was played.
SO DOES THIS TEMPO OR SPEED PACE THING SHOW A HUGE MARGIN HERE. I HAVE NEVER LOOK INTO THIS, AND I HAVE STATFOX, BUT HOW DO THEY REALLY ADJUST IT INTO A PREFERRED SCHEDULE FOR AN APPONENET?
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SO DOES THIS TEMPO OR SPEED PACE THING SHOW A HUGE MARGIN HERE. I HAVE NEVER LOOK INTO THIS, AND I HAVE STATFOX, BUT HOW DO THEY REALLY ADJUST IT INTO A PREFERRED SCHEDULE FOR AN APPONENET?
wat do u think bout the u/o? i got it at u160....i think it was a great line
I don't like betting O/U on this years SEMO team. I wouldn't take the over because I'm not sure if SEMO can carry their load of the points. If SEMO is hitting their shots it could end up 95-75. If you forced me to take a side it would be the under. One thing to keep in mind is both teams are good from the freethrow line.
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Quote Originally Posted by FrontRunna:
wat do u think bout the u/o? i got it at u160....i think it was a great line
I don't like betting O/U on this years SEMO team. I wouldn't take the over because I'm not sure if SEMO can carry their load of the points. If SEMO is hitting their shots it could end up 95-75. If you forced me to take a side it would be the under. One thing to keep in mind is both teams are good from the freethrow line.
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