Every capper goes on big cold streaks over time. Mine just happened to start just as I began posting on Covers. These things tend to even out over time.
4-12 ATS Year to Date NCAA Hoops.
Friday, February 14 Valentine's Picks:
Play on Detroit +3 at Oakland-Both teams shoot poorly so I like Detroit who owns the rebound advantage. Oakland's D is also very poor as well.
Play on West Carolina +2.5 at Chattanooga-they cover the line with steals and better defense.
Play on Marist -4 vs. Sienna- Edge for Marist at the charity stripe, turnovers, and three point shooting.
Play on ASU +5.5 vs. Arizona-Rivalry game. Sun Devils not far behind Wildcats in every statistical category. If they can put two good halves together they can cover this number and possibly pull off the upset.
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Every capper goes on big cold streaks over time. Mine just happened to start just as I began posting on Covers. These things tend to even out over time.
4-12 ATS Year to Date NCAA Hoops.
Friday, February 14 Valentine's Picks:
Play on Detroit +3 at Oakland-Both teams shoot poorly so I like Detroit who owns the rebound advantage. Oakland's D is also very poor as well.
Play on West Carolina +2.5 at Chattanooga-they cover the line with steals and better defense.
Play on Marist -4 vs. Sienna- Edge for Marist at the charity stripe, turnovers, and three point shooting.
Play on ASU +5.5 vs. Arizona-Rivalry game. Sun Devils not far behind Wildcats in every statistical category. If they can put two good halves together they can cover this number and possibly pull off the upset.
Play on Wisconsin +4 at Michigan: Slight edge with the stats.
Play on Oregon -8.5 vs. Oregon State: Ducks well rested and played very well in defeat last week. Beavers lost to DePaul this season, are a poor road team and this is third on the road. Rivalry game and OSU won the first one.
Play on Nebraska +13.5 at Michigan State: Nebraska playing good ball as of late. Appling out. Too many points to lay.
Play on Villanova +3 at Creighton: Paybacks a girl. Nova owns an edge rebounding, creating turnovers, and at the charity stripe. They will be all out to win this rematch.
Play on Minnesota -3.5 at Northwestern: Rematch off a loss. Minny hits the boards harder, make more threes, create more turnovers, and make more free throws. They also need the game more.
Play on Quinnipiac -7 vs. St. Peters: Rematch off loss. Quinnipiac playing well of late and very good at home. Owns huge edge in rebounding and free throw shooting.
Play on Colorado -3 at USC: Advantages on the glass, creating turnovers, and at the charity stripe. USC just a poor team in the PAC 12.
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10-16-1 ATS YTD NCAA Hoops
Finally a winning day
Sunday's Picks
Play on Wisconsin +4 at Michigan: Slight edge with the stats.
Play on Oregon -8.5 vs. Oregon State: Ducks well rested and played very well in defeat last week. Beavers lost to DePaul this season, are a poor road team and this is third on the road. Rivalry game and OSU won the first one.
Play on Nebraska +13.5 at Michigan State: Nebraska playing good ball as of late. Appling out. Too many points to lay.
Play on Villanova +3 at Creighton: Paybacks a girl. Nova owns an edge rebounding, creating turnovers, and at the charity stripe. They will be all out to win this rematch.
Play on Minnesota -3.5 at Northwestern: Rematch off a loss. Minny hits the boards harder, make more threes, create more turnovers, and make more free throws. They also need the game more.
Play on Quinnipiac -7 vs. St. Peters: Rematch off loss. Quinnipiac playing well of late and very good at home. Owns huge edge in rebounding and free throw shooting.
Play on Colorado -3 at USC: Advantages on the glass, creating turnovers, and at the charity stripe. USC just a poor team in the PAC 12.
Play on North Carolina +1 at Florida State: UNC is playing great ball right now. Florida State is not (2-7 ATS last nine). Will win this game in the paint rebounding and scoring. Also mismatch in turnovers.
Play on Towson -3 vs. Delaware: Towson matches up well with Delaware. Should control the boards. Defense over offense in this revenge matchup. Delaware due to lose a conference game.
Play on Oklahoma State +4 at Baylor: This is a game OK State needs-Baylor got their big win vs. K-State. Will win by creating turnovers. OK State is not this bad and Baylor is erratic.
Play on Idaho State +4.5 vs. Weber State: Idaho State matches up well with Weber State and plays well against good competition. Lost by just 6 to them in road game this year.
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Bobby got his swag back this weekend!
10-3-1 ATS this weekend, 16-17-1 YTD NCAA Hoops.
Monday's Picks:
Play on North Carolina +1 at Florida State: UNC is playing great ball right now. Florida State is not (2-7 ATS last nine). Will win this game in the paint rebounding and scoring. Also mismatch in turnovers.
Play on Towson -3 vs. Delaware: Towson matches up well with Delaware. Should control the boards. Defense over offense in this revenge matchup. Delaware due to lose a conference game.
Play on Oklahoma State +4 at Baylor: This is a game OK State needs-Baylor got their big win vs. K-State. Will win by creating turnovers. OK State is not this bad and Baylor is erratic.
Play on Idaho State +4.5 vs. Weber State: Idaho State matches up well with Weber State and plays well against good competition. Lost by just 6 to them in road game this year.
Even without Smart I feel they will cover this game. Baylor is just not very good and without Smart and the losing streak shouldn't they be getting a couple of more points.
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Even without Smart I feel they will cover this game. Baylor is just not very good and without Smart and the losing streak shouldn't they be getting a couple of more points.
Play On Iowa State -5 vs. Texas: Texas bounces after 2 romping wins. Iowa State very good at home. Texas strong rebounding but Iowa State will hold the defensive glass. State should have no problems hitting threes against this team and they are #1 in assists in the country while Texas is around #170 in defending them.
Play On Kentucky -4.5 at Ole Miss: Wildcats bounce back playing angry. Will dominate Ole Miss on the offensive glass and at the charity stripe.
Play on Clemson -4 vs. NC State: Clemson tough at home and a young NC State team will have a hard time shaking off the Cuse loss.
Play on Indiana +3 vs. Iowa: Must win for Hoosiers at Assembly Hall. Match up pretty well vs. Iowa. Just a gut.
Play on Tennessee -9,5 vs. Georgia: Tennessee will dominate on the offensive boards, hitting threes, creating turnovers, and hitting free throws.
Play on Duke -11 at Georgia Tech: Too much offense for Duke here vs. Georgia Tech's offense.
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13-4-1 since Saturday, 19-18-1 YTD NCAA HOOPS
Tuesday's Picks:
Play On Iowa State -5 vs. Texas: Texas bounces after 2 romping wins. Iowa State very good at home. Texas strong rebounding but Iowa State will hold the defensive glass. State should have no problems hitting threes against this team and they are #1 in assists in the country while Texas is around #170 in defending them.
Play On Kentucky -4.5 at Ole Miss: Wildcats bounce back playing angry. Will dominate Ole Miss on the offensive glass and at the charity stripe.
Play on Clemson -4 vs. NC State: Clemson tough at home and a young NC State team will have a hard time shaking off the Cuse loss.
Play on Indiana +3 vs. Iowa: Must win for Hoosiers at Assembly Hall. Match up pretty well vs. Iowa. Just a gut.
Play on Tennessee -9,5 vs. Georgia: Tennessee will dominate on the offensive boards, hitting threes, creating turnovers, and hitting free throws.
Play on Duke -11 at Georgia Tech: Too much offense for Duke here vs. Georgia Tech's offense.
The Brain has gone from ice cold to red hot. 5-0 last night, 18-4-1 last 4 days. 24-18-1 NCAA HOOPS YTD.
Wednesday's Picks:
Play On Ohio -6 vs. Western Michigan: WMU due for a loss. Revenge. Ohio is one game behind WMU in conference play. Ohio comes home after 3 of 4 on the road and WMU has played 4 0f 5 at home. Ohio covers with 3 point shooting and creating turnovers.
Play on Miss State +14.5 at LSU: Too many points here. Maybe Miss St. Broke out of a scoring slump last game vs. Auburn. They are desperate for a win. They cover with creating turnovers and at the charity stripe.
Play on Oregon -10 vs. Washington: Oregon needs all the wins they can get. Very high powered offense at home against poor Washington defense. Revenge game. Washington poor on the road while Oregon a decent home team. Oregon showed grit in close losses on the road to Arizona and ASU recently.
Play on UCLA +1.5 at Cal: UCLA playing at a high level right now. Beat Cal in most statistical categories. Should control the turnover and free throw battle. UCLA needs to stay behind Zona for the race to a conference championship.
Play on New Mexico pick vs. UNLV: Revenge game. New Mexico playing very good ball right now. UNLV not dominant on their home gym this year. New Mexico needs win to keep pace with SDSU. NM covers by taking care of the ball and the defensive glass.
Play on Manhattan -8.5 vs. Mounmouth: Manhattan better at both ends of the floor. They are so fun to watch. They cover this game by hitting more threes, creating turnovers, and getting to the foul line more.
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The Brain has gone from ice cold to red hot. 5-0 last night, 18-4-1 last 4 days. 24-18-1 NCAA HOOPS YTD.
Wednesday's Picks:
Play On Ohio -6 vs. Western Michigan: WMU due for a loss. Revenge. Ohio is one game behind WMU in conference play. Ohio comes home after 3 of 4 on the road and WMU has played 4 0f 5 at home. Ohio covers with 3 point shooting and creating turnovers.
Play on Miss State +14.5 at LSU: Too many points here. Maybe Miss St. Broke out of a scoring slump last game vs. Auburn. They are desperate for a win. They cover with creating turnovers and at the charity stripe.
Play on Oregon -10 vs. Washington: Oregon needs all the wins they can get. Very high powered offense at home against poor Washington defense. Revenge game. Washington poor on the road while Oregon a decent home team. Oregon showed grit in close losses on the road to Arizona and ASU recently.
Play on UCLA +1.5 at Cal: UCLA playing at a high level right now. Beat Cal in most statistical categories. Should control the turnover and free throw battle. UCLA needs to stay behind Zona for the race to a conference championship.
Play on New Mexico pick vs. UNLV: Revenge game. New Mexico playing very good ball right now. UNLV not dominant on their home gym this year. New Mexico needs win to keep pace with SDSU. NM covers by taking care of the ball and the defensive glass.
Play on Manhattan -8.5 vs. Mounmouth: Manhattan better at both ends of the floor. They are so fun to watch. They cover this game by hitting more threes, creating turnovers, and getting to the foul line more.
I would layoff the Cinci game. The Bearcats are not playing particularly well of late. They have already clinched a first round bye in their tournament. They play Louisville, Memphis and UConn in their 3 games after this so they may want to take it easy this game. UCF may have gained some confidence in breaking their losing streak last out.
I like the Notre Dame play. They've gained confidence after winning two in a row and get their guard back while Miami is slumping offensively and just had a player suspended for the year. These teams mirror each other statistically but give Notre Dame the edge because of the intangibles.
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I would layoff the Cinci game. The Bearcats are not playing particularly well of late. They have already clinched a first round bye in their tournament. They play Louisville, Memphis and UConn in their 3 games after this so they may want to take it easy this game. UCF may have gained some confidence in breaking their losing streak last out.
I like the Notre Dame play. They've gained confidence after winning two in a row and get their guard back while Miami is slumping offensively and just had a player suspended for the year. These teams mirror each other statistically but give Notre Dame the edge because of the intangibles.
Thank you Pecador. Don't worry-I never get cocky with my picks. I've tasted my fair share of defeats and losing streaks just like everybody else on Covers.
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Thank you Pecador. Don't worry-I never get cocky with my picks. I've tasted my fair share of defeats and losing streaks just like everybody else on Covers.
Thank you Pecador. Don't worry-I never get cocky with my picks. I've tasted my fair share of defeats and losing streaks just like everybody else on Covers.
Ditto! .... Much Respect GL Bobby
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
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Quote Originally Posted by BobbytheBrain:
Thank you Pecador. Don't worry-I never get cocky with my picks. I've tasted my fair share of defeats and losing streaks just like everybody else on Covers.
GL, B T B, Hope you don't mind being BTB but your other name is to long. Sounds like a serial killer but I don't care what you do on your spare time. Just messing with you. GL. Doc
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GL, B T B, Hope you don't mind being BTB but your other name is to long. Sounds like a serial killer but I don't care what you do on your spare time. Just messing with you. GL. Doc
The Brain's win streak continues. 4-2 last night, 22-6-1 last 5 days, 28-20-1 NCAA Hoops YTD.
Thursday's Plays:
Play on Duke -2 at North Carolina: UNC coming off 2 tough games vs. Pitt and on the road vs. a desperate FL. State team. UNC's up tempo offense plays right into the hands of Duke's offense where they will be hitting three's to Carolina's two's. Duke is #1 in offensive efficiency and scored a ton of points against Syracuse which is hard to do and whose defensive efficiency is higher than Carolinas. Carolina also has a horrible FT% which will not help them if this game is close.
Play on Michigan State -4.5 at Purdue: Tom says the team will play with a sense of urgency following an embarrassing home loss to Nebraska and I feel they come out playing angry. They play 3 of next 4 against ranked opponents...2 on the road vs. rivals Michigan and Ohio State...so they need this game. State neutralizes Purdue's offensive rebounding strength with strong defensive rebounding. They also hold an advantage in 3 point shooting and ball handling. Their strong defensive FG% should prove too much for Purdue's weak offensive FG%.
Play on Texas A&M -1.5 vs. Alabama: Defense will get the cover for the Aggies. Also, Bama has yet to win a conference road game while A&M is 13-2 at home this year and a staggering 62-12 at home vs. unranked opponents. These teams are evenly matched statistically so I feel that there is some value in this line.
Play on Wi-GB -9 vs. Valparaiso: Valpo is a young team who turns the ball over a lot against an aggressive defense and their turnovers could exacerbate itself in an away arena. Wi-GB plays angry after getting trounced in there first meeting at Valpo. Valpo fouls a lot and doesn't create turnovers either. GB is also 2nd in the country in blocks and Valpo is 215 in getting shots blocked. Lay the points here in this revenge matchup.
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The Brain's win streak continues. 4-2 last night, 22-6-1 last 5 days, 28-20-1 NCAA Hoops YTD.
Thursday's Plays:
Play on Duke -2 at North Carolina: UNC coming off 2 tough games vs. Pitt and on the road vs. a desperate FL. State team. UNC's up tempo offense plays right into the hands of Duke's offense where they will be hitting three's to Carolina's two's. Duke is #1 in offensive efficiency and scored a ton of points against Syracuse which is hard to do and whose defensive efficiency is higher than Carolinas. Carolina also has a horrible FT% which will not help them if this game is close.
Play on Michigan State -4.5 at Purdue: Tom says the team will play with a sense of urgency following an embarrassing home loss to Nebraska and I feel they come out playing angry. They play 3 of next 4 against ranked opponents...2 on the road vs. rivals Michigan and Ohio State...so they need this game. State neutralizes Purdue's offensive rebounding strength with strong defensive rebounding. They also hold an advantage in 3 point shooting and ball handling. Their strong defensive FG% should prove too much for Purdue's weak offensive FG%.
Play on Texas A&M -1.5 vs. Alabama: Defense will get the cover for the Aggies. Also, Bama has yet to win a conference road game while A&M is 13-2 at home this year and a staggering 62-12 at home vs. unranked opponents. These teams are evenly matched statistically so I feel that there is some value in this line.
Play on Wi-GB -9 vs. Valparaiso: Valpo is a young team who turns the ball over a lot against an aggressive defense and their turnovers could exacerbate itself in an away arena. Wi-GB plays angry after getting trounced in there first meeting at Valpo. Valpo fouls a lot and doesn't create turnovers either. GB is also 2nd in the country in blocks and Valpo is 215 in getting shots blocked. Lay the points here in this revenge matchup.
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