Honestly the more I think about this game the more the line doesnt make sense to me.

-1.5? Seriously 

What do you think it should be?

Seems like an even contested game to me and the line is where it should be.

Essentially a pick which doesn't surprise me.

Should be kc -2.5 but 1.5  is close enough

If eagles didnt blow out Washington it would be -2 or -2.5

Blowout effected the line imo

If Buffalo was getting 1.5 at KC then KC should be giving 1.5 or less to Philly on a neutral field.  Sounds about right.  Philly should not be getting more than Buffalo did. 

I think it should be KC -3 or maybe even 3.5

I would not even be shocked to see 4

It is where it should be based on stats and performance.  Kansas City's record under Maholmes and Reid in close 1 score games is ridiculous and makes this line feel cheap.  I agree and feel the line should be a FG @ -3

well eagles are more stacked then 2 years ago, they blew out the commanders, they beat the chiefs in arrowhead last season, chiefs been barley winning, and lots of people are crying ?? fixed , i wouldn’t have been surprised if the line would’ve been eagles -2

FPI(football power index):

KC 3.9, Philly 6.0

Sagarin:

KC 24.84(#6), Philly 28.92(#1)

DVOA:

KC 18.1%(#6), Philly 25.7%(#3)

Teamrankings.com(predictive PR)

KC 4.6(#6), Philly 8.1(#4)

Oddshark predicted score:

KC 18.9, Philly 25.8

Pro Football Reference SRS(simple rating system):

KC 4.18(10th), Philly 7.69(5th)

Should I reference any more sites/PR's?

How the fuck is KC favored on a neutral field?

According to pregame.com, 62% of the tickets on Philly, and 53% of the $ on Philly. I'm never sure of these #'s as other sites will show differently. 

What I will say is this, good fucking luck I'm not betting on this game.

You'd be better off finding an edge in small conference ncaab games.

Get drunk, eat like shit, watch a terrible halftime show, and try to wake up semi sober for work the next day.

None of that stuff takes into account the unmeasurable intangibles and people seem to forget that is whats most important.

You're out of your mind. You started the thread off well with saying "the more I think about this line, the more it doesn't make sense"

And then you posted this.

I'll give you 2 things.

Coaching is better for KC.

Quarterback is better for KC.

2 very important things indeed. 

But if we are just talking about where or what a line "should be", this line stinks to all hell

The Chiefs defy stats.  Their success in tight games is hard to quantify.  They also turn it up a notch when the post season comes around.

And if we are also talking about "unmeasurable intangibles", we have to acknowledge that the referees have been biased towards KC. It's a thing and it's real. How can it not be when it comes up time and time again in the playoffs?

@JimmyGape

KC Is a Perfect 7-0 ATS 3pts Or Under Brother 

How am I out of my mind for saying that? I honestly think thats reasonable, all things considered. Its why I said to begin with 1.5 doesn't make sense to me.

I think its about to be 8-0  

They have Reid, Spags, and Mahomes. They never lose in the playoffs. And the refs are swinging from their nutsack for over 6 years

-1.5 is a joke

More of this is what covers is missing. The sad part is that the majority of kids on covers probably don’t even know what these numbers are. 

Hmmm might have something do with them having the 2 best coaches in NFL History and the best big game QB in NFL History and the fact they never lose in the playoffs perhaps? And any game they should lose the refs make sure they don't.

But I guess none of that matters because of these power ranking stats right? According to the power rankings the Niners were top 10 in offense and defense and they finished last in the NFC West.

"How the fuck is KC favored on a neutral field"?  

The game could be played on Jupiter and Spagnuolo would figure out a way to get to the quarterback and ruin his night.

@FRESH1014

 No they aren’t 

All time in the playoffs they’re 6-5 SU 6-5 ATS as a 1-3 point fav 

But Philly all time is 6-0SU & obviously 6-0 ATS as a 1-3 point dog in the playoffs 

Do research before posting bogus stats,brother 

Philly should be the one favored. As it is -1.5 is essentially a pick. The public will be all over KC