Honestly the more I think about this game the more the line doesnt make sense to me.

No way you would get good two way action with those numbers    

I was expecting either KC -2.5 tbh maybe -3 with heavy juice 

If I got 3.5 to 4 on Philly I would take it. Somebody would have to live under a rock to not know that KC has a big f**king 'S' on their uniforms in these situations but all those numbers Sac gave is what I use along with the eye test. Ultimately none of this might not even matter.

You just made great points as to why the line is where it is right now.

The power rankings matter. And the things you wrote matter.

So on paper the Eagles should be favored. Toss in all that stuff you mentioned(it is important). Out pops the formula KC -1.5.

Now, tell us why the line should be KC -3.5 or possibly -4.

Sacman those numbers are just a small piece of the pie 

And not bc KC has Mahomes, Spags and Reid please.

@undermysac

 Do all those numbers factor in SOS?

I thought dvoa did but I dont look into the others much

I already did.

@docpj72

 not really--almost all of KC's wins this year have been one score games-this time they are going against the NFC champs with an improved D compared to 2 years ago. KC won that game by 3 points. They beat Buffalo by 3...if you think that Philly should get 3.5 that's crazy!paint_help

One score games in the end but not after crushing it first half including (Buffalo +3.5 first half) last week. As a matter of fact looking back over a dozen games they appear to cover all of their first half lines.

@justliketoplay

 sure-if you are talking 1st half lines that the Chiefs cover-I'm just saying that for a full game against the Eagles the Chiefs won't be laying 3.5. the line is pretty accurate in my opinion...

@docpj72

 Yes! And I stated the same in an earlier post of mine about the line being right at KC -1.5 as I see a evenly contested game 

Was just throwing it out there that a first half play on the Chiefs has been a solid play all Year.

Sometimes the book gambles, its not common knowledge but its true. I spoke to the sportsbook manager at Circa myself about it.

Eagles are the stronger team, KC is clutch and they get the calls. Coin flip,if it were a pk. 2 great Ds, best (or at least top) 2 RB in NFL....under large with a sprinkle of under & Phili+ for me.

In most Eagles games this season, they've owned the 4thQ.  There are a couple losses in that regard but if this comes down to a close one score game like many are claiming will happen, wouldn't you want the team who owns the 4thQ over the team who has a great 1stH record.

Personally, I thought Eagles would be -2 at open and wouldn't be surprised if the line flips.

Make it too big to rig and the refs shouldn't make a difference, but with all these tush-push plays Philly does on 3rd&1 and 4th&1 there will be controversy

just make it too big to rig 

@soup-can

 all the chiefs have done is win 1 score games this year. they won a one score game last sb vs the eagles on that questionable holding call to secure a 1st down to run out the clock for a game winning fg. its never too big to rig. we can complain all we want but we will all be back here next year. 

and there aint no chance in hell philly is becoming -2

The last 2 years the Chiefs were dogs for most their playoff games but were a fav in almost all of their regular season games.  This time around the line is different.  Sure the Chiefs still had the regular season fav record but now the books have smartened up?  The easiest bet is most likely the losing bet.  Like the OP stated in post #1, KC should be a bigger favorite but yet the reported early money is on Philly

@soup-can

 Facts! 

Just like the toughest of bets to place are the winners more times then not 

On saturday before the championship games were played, the future potential matchup for eagles chiefs was KC-1.5. It didn't change, despite the eagles blowout...

Don’t bet on the superbowl. It’s a fools errand

Sb lines are accurate  

The Line is SHARP as it gets to get balance wagering. 

Dont be surprised when KC wins by 1 on last second score and after multiple controversial  "calls" go their way....

OVER is my fave play and will play Eagles at 1.5 but not 1 or less and it's not going to 2

I felt the same way when the 18-0 Patriots were favored by 1.5 over the Giants. I agree you have to go with KC here, but it's one game. And Superbowls are odd.