Honestly the more I think about this game the more the line doesnt make sense to me.

@MoPinkie

 The Line is SHARP as it gets to get balance wagering. 

Dont be surprised when KC wins by 1 on last second score and after multiple controversial "calls" go their way....

OVER is my fave play and will play Eagles at 1.5 but not 1 or less and it's not going to 2

Hmmm could you please elaborate why over is your favorite play when two of the top ten defenses (Philadelphia being #1) are in play here and total offense has chiefs at #16 and Philadelphia #8 overall?

Not to mention that chiefs last ten games eight of ten have gone under and Eagles last ten six of ten have gone under for a two team combined 6 overs and 14 unders in 20 games total between the two.

Just curious as to why you like the over when all indications at least in my handicapping points to an under?

Thanks good luck this weekend MO

meant to say good luck Superbowl weekend Mo

@JimmyGape

 Why would the line matter to you?  You literally went ALL IN on OSU moneyline.

Last thing your looking for is value.

 You literally said you were tired of losing based on the spreads.

@justliketoplay

 To make it to the SB you have to be rolling...if you aren't you lose before the SB...Both teams come in hot

The league is built for offense the past 5-10 years with all the new rules favoring the offense...the  new kickoff rule has increased average points scored by over 2 points a game. Actually might be closer to 3..last year as in the 41-42 range...last I saw this year was around 44

Hard to see either team under 20 points here. So from there you only need another TD and a FG

Game is indoors so less worry about missed FG

Mahomes will have middle of field open all day vs fangio scheme. He should move the ball at will

Saquon will supposedly go off so eagles should move the ball as well

Proper line is kc -2.0

With 2 pt attempts way up good chance the game lands on 1-3

No chance they give eagles backers +3.0 with a chance at their money back on a fg loss

@dubz4dummyz

 Hmmm interesting because the last time these two teams played in the Superbowl just two years ago  (which I'm sure you know) they scored over 73 points 38-35 and the over under in that game was 51.5

Now supposedly the eagles have a much better team and the over/under sits at 49

You don't find that strange? I do 

@justliketoplay

 Yes better team.  Better defense means opponents score less.  So far no one been able to score more than 23 on the eagles defense postseason.

Chiefs also only broke 30+ points once this whole season.  Majority of chiefs games wins has been due to defense.

So O/U being slightly less than previous seems on point actually.

@justliketoplay

 Yes 

Perception is this eagles defense is better than 2022s

Hence a slightly lower total

the eagles were the better team and kc won. the niners were the better team and kc won. Kc is the better team this year. they should win 

[Quote: Originally Posted by JimmyGape]None of that stuff takes into account the unmeasurable intangibles and people seem to forget that is whats most important.[/Quote]

Then we should be talking Turnovers, because KC has only had one in over 2 months, and that was on a silly bumbled handoff last game by Mahomes. 

That is the immeasurable component to the game 

Turnovers are hardly immeasurable.

lines are supposed to create equal action. that's what they're getting. 

@theMatrix24

 Your logic isn’t consistent. 

Reminds me of the opening line last year. Really didn't make sense and we've seen lines like this the last two weeks. Gonna come down to who values the ball more

@JimmyGape

 At least 2.5 but I'm still going to go money line on this since it's not much. Field goal kickers have had quite a year.

Yes.  Which was the opener in this situation and was quickly bought down to -1.5 with Philly money 

@kcblitzkrieg

 Ya recency bias off the philly blowout win

Although I saw 1.5 everywhere not 2

Assuming you only saw 2 at a book or 2

Edit- looks like everywhere was mostly 1.5..you saw an outlier