TUESDAY HOOPS

well , tonight going to go with Illinois st ML -115  1.5 units   away they are very good, I just went against them when they were a road favorite -3.5 and they won by 2 , but they will get the win here tonight, 10-6 STR up off a win, 10-5 ats after a win, 8-3 ats away, SIU is 6-7 STR up at home and 4-13 STR up as a dog, 4-8 ats at home and 6-10-1 ats as a dog, 1-4 ats as a home dog  Illinois st has been real good on offense also, this could be an over here with the total 146 both teams come into this game shooting well over their last 3 games, Ill st is shooting 49%, and 65% from 2 and 33% from 3 .  I think they get thos by 5+ tonight 

Ill st ML  1.5 units

also really like Akron to score a lot of points after scoring just 67 vs Ohio last game in a loss, the total is 156 I like the OVER, I think Akron gets 85 at least , Akron is laying 8 and that's a lot here, Ball st can score, but Akron is 4-1 STR up after a loss and 5-1 STR up as an away favorite, so I expect Akron to score and win, and they could cover the big number away, as Ball st is just 3-8 ats at home this year   but Akron only won by 9 at home earlier as a 13 pt fav     their TT will be about 83-84 pts   the Over may be the better play here 

Looking into the Ball st at Akron game played earlier, Akron won 81-73, and in that game Akron took 14 more shots than Ball st, 65 to 51 , Akron was only 7/28 from 3, they usually make about 10-11 3's a game, they were right on their avg of shots taken which is 65, and 3's taken which is 29, and another thing is Akron only got 8 ft's making 4 and Ball st took 20 making 12 ...Akron has been slumping a bit on their 3 point shooting as they are averaging just 24% in their last 3 games while ball st is avg 39% in their last 3 games , and after the loss last game I expect Akron to shoot better, in the loss they shot 44% but only took 18 3's and made just 4 22% and again they only took 14 ft's vs 23 by Ohio, I was surprised to see they only took 18 vs Ohio, and even more surprised to see they made just 4 , they have lived off the 3 this year being near the top in 3 point shooting all year, I expect them to get their points and I think Ball st will too, I like the OVER 156 in this game   87-80  

OVER 156 1 unit 

So weird…I’m not a master on smaller colleges but scanning through Tuesdays games, Ill st was only team that caught my eye at my 1st go through. Definitely will be on em now

GL RUM!      

Toledo at Kent st this total is only at 150, a year ago this would have been a 160+ total, I mean Toledo use to be a very high scoring team and they still can score in the 80's and have many times, and Kent st is a team that can score 90+ at any time, they beat Toledo at Toledo earlier by 19 83-64, Kent st shot 56.6% as they were 30/53 and they shot 63.2% from 3  12/19   Toledo over all did not shoot bad as they shot 47%  23/49 but were only 2/10 from 3  they avg 61 shots a game and 18 3's making just over 6 a game, Kent st averages 60 shots a game making 25 , and they avg 23  3's a game making 7 , both these teams shoot ft's really well  in the 1st game Kent st was 11/11 and Toledo was 16/18...both teams are coming off losses , Kent st is 7-1 STR up after a loss and Toledo is 6-4 STR up after a loss, Toledo is 6-3 ats after a loss and are 9-4 ats away and are 6-3 ats as a dog, and are 5-3 ats as an away dog, and Kent st is 5-2 ats after a loss but only 3-6-2 ats at home, and as a home favorite...Toledo with revenge here, Kent st is avg 86 pts a game last 3 games but they are giving up 85, and Toledo is avg 69 and 71  ...Kent st last 3 games is shooting 52% to 42% for Toledo, and shooting 57.6% from 2 to 48% for Toledo and they are shooting the 3 at 37.5% and Toledo is shooting the 3 at 30% last 3 games  I would not be surprised at any out come..lol  I am wondering what Kent st can score in this game, if they get into the 80's this is going over the 150 total ..again just thinking out loud here   any opinions???  feel free

I was gonna ask you about the I’ll st take here…. So let it be written… so let it be done.   …   I’ll add moneyline to a few small parlays…  merci.  

Good luck Rum.  

@RUM151

 Seeing 149.5 out there as I write this and is a good bet for the over. The 149.5 line has been covered in the last 6 Toledo games on the road as well as all of the last 5 Kent State games. Like it! BOL

going to go OVER 169 Miss st/Alabama game  I think this goes 181+  Miss st should get close to 85 , they can score, and we all know what Bama can do, Bama could get close to 91-94 pts  I also without looking into it kind of favor Miss st here, they lost a close one 88-84  I am looking at a 92-87 game I think  

over 169  1 unit

 u can never go wrong with bama overs

151 

@Fuzzer44

 they are so much better as a dog and as an away dog, they are 8-0 ats as an away dog this year, but they opened at -1...lol  and at home they are a solid OVER play, they usually always scores 79+ at home  , but an away favorite they are not good, but I am looking at this as just STR up....  its a decent conf they play in their tourney will be good ,

Any thoughts on gonz/ Santa Clara … Clara beat them I see at Gonzaga… now they getting 6 at home.  I’d think these schools will slay the giant every chance they can get… since I assume gonzo has dominated this over years… Gonzaga to me … are like Kansas.   They just are not good… and if so.  They can’t do it more than twice in a row.  

Good luck today and thanks for posting.  One game seems fishy.

Illinois State is 17-12 and has a Kenpom ranking of 133.  S. Illinois is 12 -17 with a Kenpom ranking of 191.  I know you are not a big Kenpom guy, but... 

S. Illinois has lost their last 4 games, and lost to this same Illinois State team by 31 points on January 5th...

Why is Illinois State only favored by a point and a half? 

@River_fish

 well a blow out loss means nothing really   one bad game  I'd have to go back and look at it to see why they won by so much , s.ill beat them both times last year, its a rivalry somewhat  and Ill st is not that great as a road favorite, they are just 9-9 in conf, and the line may be low just because s I'll is at home now and did lose by 31 , I would rather have seen Ill st as a dog..lol   

Baylor at Cinn  -2 140   Cinn is at home where they do play a lot better than on the road, they have not beaten Baylor, Baylor has won all 3 meetings, but Cinncy has never played them at home either, I like Cinncy tonight , Baylor just 2-8 STR up away this year, and are 1-8-1 ats away, and 0-7-1 ats as a dog this year...Cinn is 11-2 STR up as a home favorite....and with the line being just 2 a win they should cover, both teams have injuries , Baylor with a -7 score margin away and Cinn with a +13 score margin at home, I really like that Cinn is giving up just 62 pts when at home, and Baylor comes into this game shooting just 38% over their last 3 games, and 45% from 2 and just 26% from 3, while Cinn is shooting 47% last 3 and 53% from 2 and 31% from 3 last 3 games  and at home Cinn shoots much better than Baylor does away   Cinn gets this by 6-8 pts I think  

Cinn-2  1.5 units  

going to go with Troy -1 @ Texas st  Troy does not mind playing on the road, both teams are coming off wins and both have had 2 days off, Troy is 7-6 STR up away , 16-5 STR up as a favorite and 6-1 STR up as an away favorite..Texas st is 9-3 STR up at home  but 3-10 STR up as a dog, and 0-1 STR up as a home dog, Troy is 8-5 ats away and 13-8 ats as a favorite and 5-2 ats as an away favorite,  Texas st is 5-5 ats at home and 5-7-1 ats as a dog, 0-1 ats as a home dog....total is 142.5 and I actually like the UNDER in this game for some reason, Troy is 1-12 under away  and are 1-6 under as an away favorite , 3-9 under on 2-3 days off   now Texas st has good trends on the over 8-2 Over on 2-3 days off...8-4-1 OVER as a dog  but I do like Troy so I would favor the under here  

Troy-1 -120  1 unit  

opinion on the under 143 

also Texas st has won last 3 vs Troy   this is a good time to snap that streak

@Mskeets

 my 1st thought to be honest was to take Santa Clara at home, your right Gonzaga is always over priced, or have a couple of extra points on them , they are coming off a home loss and now on the road vs a team that beat them already at home in a very high scoring game 103-99  and both teams shot over 53% and Santa Clara shot 47.4% from 3  18/38   and Adama Bal is ? tonight for Gonzaga  Illness  30 mins  13 pts and 3 assist   he is leading in mins played for them and leading scorer and leading assist if he is out it will hurt Gonzaga 

Just my opinion Rum if Kent is going to score in the 80's I'll take them to cover the 7. Besides betting the over. But what the heck do I know 

Good luck on tonight's plays Rum  

@RUM151

 Thank you Rum appreciate it!!!!

BOL RUM 

Good Luck Rum!!

I swear  I had to get up this morning at 3 am to take someone to airport at 4 am, which means about an hour of sleep , I knodded out and went to bed  , I  was just getting ready to post a play...lol   anyway I am taking Ball st +8.5 at home  like 8 also , they should play well here, these teams know each other, last 4 times these 2 have played +8 would have covered and pushed one time , just think at home this is a good bet on what should be a 3-5 pt game maybe ...do favor the over 75.5 TT on Ball st also

Ball st +8.5  1.5 units 

and going with Santa Clara +7.5 -120 at Hardrock  , I see the line has dropped but I bought up, this is a good team, and as always I think Gonzaga lines are inflated a bit, Santa Clara made 18 3's last time they played so I am sure Gonzaga is going to try and not let that happen again, but I think SC will still get their share and keep this a closer game , was thinking about going over 76.5 TT Santa Clara  but just grabbing the points here at +7.5 

Santa Clara +7.5  1.5 units 

@Coloneljim

 very true   but this total has me thinking, to be honest I thought 150 was low, and Toledo to cover I think would want this in the 70's   the totals posted can show a lot into what side to take also