All Forums | College Basketball

*******Two Systems: Kenpom & Another*******

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 48737
Posts: 303
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #26

Side note- the shortfalls on this site amaze me in this day and age

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 1043
Posted: #27
The Kenpom systems are not reliable at all.  Plus, you need to be running linear regression analysis on an entire season to see if the system is in fact predictive.

Hitting a streak of 4-1 on any system means absolutely nothing.  You can throw darts at a board and hit a streak of 4-1 or better at given intervals.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #28

Quote Originally Posted by sscott999:

The Kenpom systems are not reliable at all.  Plus, you need to be running linear regression analysis on an entire season to see if the system is in fact predictive.Hitting a streak of 4-1 on any system means absolutely nothing.  You can throw darts at a board and hit a streak of 4-1 or better at given intervals.

Acknowledge your first point, and agree to an extent. Can't think of many successful systems that don't adjust their parameters over the course of their lifetime (this goes beyond betting).

 

To your second point, "System B" is not a Kenpom system (and I use the term "system" very loosely for B). Nowhere did I claim the 4-1 streak to "mean" anything, simply posting the plays and tracking it's progress. I think the idea behind the plays is a solid one, and has a chance to hit a 55% per season avg. 

 

We shall see. Don't know if we don't try an_light

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #29

2-0, +2 units

 

Overall

System A (Kenpom): 16-15, -0.5 units

System B: 4-1, +2.9 units

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2018
Posts: 213
Posted: #30
keep running it not enough info
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #31

peacepeacepeacepeacepeacepeacepeace

 

Sunday

 

System A:

Manhattan +6.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

 

System B:

No Plays

 

GL an_horse

The Bandit

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #32

Overall

System A (Kenpom): 16-16, -1.6 units

System B: 4-1, +2.9 units

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #33

an_violinan_violinan_violinan_violinan_violinan_violinan_violin

 

Overall

System A (Kenpom): 16-16, -1.6 units

System B: 4-1, +2.9 units

 

Friday

 

System A:

James Madison +7.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1 

North Carolina A&T +7 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

UC Riverside +8 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Denver +7.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

 

System B:

No Plays

 

GL an_horse

The Bandit

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 221
Posted: #34
interesting and Best of luck Bandit
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #35

Quote Originally Posted by Dawgmashers:

interesting and Best of luck Bandit
peace_5

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #36

an_lighteningan_lighteningan_lighteningan_lighteningan_lighteningan_lighteningan_lightening

 

Overall

System A (Kenpom): 18-18, -1.8 units

System B: 4-1, +2.9 units

 

Saturday

 

System A:

Longwood +11.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1 

Fairleigh Dickinson +9.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

VMI +13 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Norfolk St +6 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Montana St +6 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Portland +8.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #37

System B

Louisville +3 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

 

GL an_horse

The Bandit

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #38

an_lightan_lightan_lightan_lightan_lightan_lightan_light

Overall

System A (Kenpom): 22-21, -1.1

System B: 4-2, +1.8

 

Sunday

System A:

Evansville +6.5, 1.1 to win 1

Florida International (FIU) +7, 1.1 to win 1

Tennessee Martin +11.5, 1.1 to win 1

UC Riverside +9.5, 1.1 to win 1

Towson +8, 1.1 to win 1

Oral Roberts +9.5, 1.1 to win 1

 

System B:

No Plays

 

GL an_horse

The Bandit

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #39

an_popcornan_popcornan_popcornan_popcornan_popcornan_popcornan_popcorn

 

Overall

System A (Kenpom): 26-23, +0.7

System B: 4-2, +1.8

 

Monday

 

System A:

Alabama A&M +16 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

 

System B:

No Plays

 

GL an_horse

The Bandit

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2018
Posts: 761
Posted: #40
Kenpom has been way off again this year

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #41

an_lighteningan_lighteningan_lighteningan_lighteningan_lighteningan_lighteningan_lightening

 

Overall

System A (Kenpom): 26-24, -0.4 units

System B: 4-2, +1.8 units

 

Tuesday

 

System A:

No Plays

 

System B:

St. John's +1 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

 

GL an_horse

The Bandit

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2007
Posts: 13407
Posted: #42

Keep it up Bandit an_popcorn I think I'll dabble with some ML bets on the KenPom dogs

 

Took me 10 minutes to figure out how to reply... and the search feature on here doesn't work any more??  Perfect!

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #43

Quote Originally Posted by Spitfire15:

Keep it up Bandit  I think I'll dabble with some ML bets on the KenPom dogs   Took me 10 minutes to figure out how to reply... and the search feature on here doesn't work any more??  Perfect!
 peace_5  There was a guy on here named Ryno who played the ML (fist half and full game) for a few years and tracked it. Not sure if he’s doing it this year, but it was originally intended to start when conference play starts. They seem to hit at a decent enough clip...

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #44

...If you can get close to +300 or more on them, it could work out nicely. Probably best with other parameters enforced.

I’d have posted that with the other post, if I could just see the submit button on my phone. Weird how that fanishes the more you type an_punch

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #45

Wednesday 

System B:

Maryland -2 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

 

More in a bit...

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #46

an_violinan_violinan_violinan_violinan_violinan_violinan_violin

 

Overall

System A (Kenpom): 26-24, -0.4 units

System B: 5-2, +2.8 units

 

Wednesday

System A:

SE Louisiana +10 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

New Orleans +11 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

 

System B:

Maryland -2 (-110), 1.1 to win 1 (posted earlier)

West Virginia +5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

 

GL an_horse

The Bandit

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #47

an_bouncean_bouncean_bouncean_bouncean_bouncean_bouncean_bounce

 

Overall

System A (Kenpom): 28-24, +1.6 units

System B: 6-2-1, +3.8 units

 

Thursday

System A:

Elon +7 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Mount St Mary's +9.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Florida Atlantic +7 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Arkansas St +11 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Youngtown St +11.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Univ. of Arkansas Little Rock +6.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Northern Arizona +13 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #48

System B:

Purdue -9.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Miami +2.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

 

GL an_horse

The Bandit

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #49

an_popcornan_popcornan_popcornan_popcornan_popcornan_popcornan_popcorn

 

Overall

System A (Kenpom): 31-28, +0.2 units

System B: 7-3-1, +3.7 units

 

Saturday

System A:

Cleveland St +8.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Idaho +13.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Elon +8 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Univ of Arkansas Little Rock +9.5 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

Northern Arizona +9 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 1246
Posted: #50

System A (cont.):

Youngstown St +7 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

 

System B:

Iowa St -1 (-110), 1.1 to win 1

 

GL an_horse

The Bandit

All Forums | College Basketball
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.