UNC/DUKE? WTF is Vegas Thinking?

Quote Originally Posted by Roundballer:

Wow TexasD! You wrote that with your mobile device? Your fingers must be tired!!!!!  SO SORRY THAT I GOT IT WRONG! FIND SOMETHING BETTER FOR YOUR TIME THAN TAPPING YOUR LITTLE BITTY FINGERS ON YOUR PHONE FOR AN HOUR AND A HALF BASHING ME! GROW THE FUCK UP!

Quote Originally Posted by TexasD:

Im going to try and not be an a** like I always feel I should be when dumb clowns start up a thread on something they don't even understand....and with that said:

Mr. Roundballer,

I think you have misconceived what has happened here. To start, this personified "Vegas" that everyone talks about, knows what He is doing. Technically, you should be talking about oddsmakers as they do exactly what their title says...make odds.

Where you went wrong here is that you said Dr. Vegas wants money on UNC, but is rather quite the opposite. Oddsmakers use sociology and psychology to know that Most people would think "revenge factor" mostly due to how UNC was dominating until the end of the game and lost by a late-in-the-game shot. AND Duke beat UNC ON THEIR COURT.

Here's where the clueless "WTF?!?!" comes in that so many posters use when they see a line they can't believe. NOW we have Duke, who has already beat UNC on their court, playing infront of the home crowd AND GETTING POINTS?!?! WTF?!?!

YES, they ate getting points, at home, vs a team they already beat. Which means that Dr
Vegas is trying to pull MORE MONEY IN ON DUKE than they they would have if they came out with Duke being the favorite at -4. If UNC were GETTING points in this spot, money would flow like the Niagara Falls compared to the piss-stream of people who would still take Duke laying the -4 chalk.

So Yeh,...they aren't "trying to steer money away from Duke and onto UNC," but quite the opposite.

The second thing Id like to point out is that your simulations of Duke -4 usually have a heavy basing on past results during the season. These SIMULATIONS didn't WATCH the game unfold. These Simulations just had stats plugged in throughout the season with final scores of previous matchups weighed pretty heavily into the prediction. The formula would be:

Duke winning by 1 AT UNC = Duke winning by MORE with home-field advantage.

The difference between a simulated prediction score and the lines that oddsmakers put out are simulations are based strictly on data while oddsmakers have to account for player's emotions and gambler's opinions.

TBallgame has it exactly right here. People always want to bet on 2 really good teams playing each other, which Ive never understood. Either of these teams could blowout each other on any given night. But this game seems to be the SUPERBOWL of the end of the regular college basketball season. Most are NOT betting these Big Games because they have a really good lean and think their chances are good, but usually because they just simply HAVE TO...it's a nationally-televised game that most every college BB fan will be watching. I feel people Have to bet games like this, the Superbowl, or the BCS championship just because it is SUCH A BIG GAME. People wanna come away from the Superbowl picking the winner.

Look at the BCS Championship where 90% of the people thought it was going to be low-scoring, tight game with either this team or that team winning by a field goal....and then they bet it. Really?!?! They state that it's gonna be a CLOSE-GAME and then they put something stupid like "LSU LARGE!" at the end of their post?!?!

Sports bettors sometimes need to step back sometimes and ask, "WTF am I doing?!?!"

Remember,...there used to be a time before our Lord Vegas ruled us via the drug known as gambling. We used to enjoy games strictly because they were games. We used to get all excited for a game such as a UNC/Duke Rematch because it was going to be an awesome game to watch.

What many people on this forum have LOST is their enjoyment of actually watching a good game with out the HIGH of having money on the line. No more sitting on the edge of our seats because it was a good game and coming down to the last seconds. No. Now its sitting on the edge of our seats, sweating the game out because you could win money or lose money.

Like TBallgame said...there are better games to cap and better places to put your money than a pick 'em game vs two great teams. Sit back and ake a break you adrenaline junkies. This could turn out to be one hell of a game to watch!

Quote Originally Posted by clifeord1:

you think UNC had trouble at florida st...