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USC @ UCLA game -- write up and total play

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Posted: #26

Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

Oh, and Bob, one last thing --

I tend to follow the precept in life that those who live in glass houses shouldn't throw stones.

According to the "Covers League Contests Picks" information on your profile page, you're down an amazing 49,100 units on sides and 11,650 units on total for a combined -60,750 units. Your overall rank for the 2010 season is 24597 of 26357.

By my math, that means you are in the bottom 10% of all cappers.


 

 
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Posted: #27

Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

Oh, and Bob, one last thing --

I tend to follow the precept in life that those who live in glass houses shouldn't throw stones.

According to the "Covers League Contests Picks" information on your profile page, you're down an amazing 49,100 units on sides and 11,650 units on total for a combined -60,750 units. Your overall rank for the 2010 season is 24597 of 26357.

By my math, that means you are in the bottom 10% of all cappers.


 

 
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Posted: #28
Owned!
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:

It will be a brutal over to cheer for, but I am confident you are on the right side!  Good luck Kapono!



For sure, it could be downright painful!
 
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Posted: #30
Oh yeah, for those who care, my record on all UCLA games this year, including 2H plays, is 8-6:

Game 1: W
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100585969

Game 2: L
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100594288


Game 3: W
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100597596

game 4: L
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100598963

game 5: L
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100608729

game 6: L
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100618025&page=2

game 7: W
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100640059

game 8: L
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100655359

game 9: W:
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100664263

game 10: W
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100669705

game 11: W
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100671425

game 12: W
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100671514

game 13: W
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100671514

game 14: L
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100669064

 
Legend
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Posted: #31
8-6 is a profit, btw Milwaukee Bob.

I'll take a "tarnished" 8-6 all day every day.


 
Legend
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Posted: #32
I take that back, my record is 8-5, I had a no play on the UCLA/Stanford game found in this thread:

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=100669064

Only had 3 plays in that thread
 
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Posted: #33
"JG: At what point during the season did you realize things weren't going to end up like the last few years?

BH: You keep saying it like I've given up on the season. You're talking about it like the season is over, and I'm not looking at it like that.

JG: OK, then talk about the optimism you still have left?
BH: We have seven games left in the regular season, a diff stretch with five of those seven on the road. You never quit. You're never going to give up. I'm hoping we can continue to improve. We had won four of our last five into Saturday's game, and we lost to the first-place team. A senior-laden group. We're in a tough point right now, going into the road swing, but one thing you've seen in the Pac-10 this year, anything can happen. Anything's possible. I'm not looking right now, I'm not at a point of reflection, looking back at what's happened. I'm still looking forward."


I hope so Coach Howland. You've earned a large leash with me, but this season has been atrocious. I think if UCLA loses this game, this is where they should throw this season out and play for next season. That means benching Dragovic and lessening Roll's minutes, more playing of the freshman including Moser and Lane, who have had their asses glued to the bench this season. Would love to have seen one of those two using a redshirt.
 
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Posted: #34
Kapono, any leans on the side tonight?
 
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Posted: #35
bol kapono
 
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Posted: #36
Park -- I keep going back and forth on that one. I can really see arguments for both sides. When that happens, I don't want to force a play just to have a play. No real lean tonight on the side.
 
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Posted: #37
Thanks toledo, you like a side on this one?

Let's put it this way -- from a non-matchup analysis on this game, UCLA is the play: revenge, rivalry game catching +7, Howland's record historically with 4+ days to game plan... but from a pure basketball analysis, USC crushed them the first time and there was a reason why -- they play harder defense and are just way, way more athletic.
 
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Posted: #38

Kaponofor3:

With you pretty big on this one. I like!

Let's get this !

 

 
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Posted: #39

GL on the over kapono !   

Would you rather back UCLA +13 or USC -1 ?

I don't usually play teasers but apparently I started one last night with SMC after a hard night of drinkin' and I want to finish it tonight.

 
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Posted: #40
Over
 
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Posted: #41
-29- -- with those options... damn. USC -1 probably. I think a USC blowout is far more probable than a UCLA win.
 
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Posted: #42
Kapono my initial lean was to take the points or play ML  in a rivalry game but just got burned on the UNC game  agree similar situation with UCLA not the talent of old  and hope they score enough in this really low #.      agree with you over 117   
 
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Posted: #43
I like the play....I have over the last couple of years have had lots of trouble laying cash on any USC  total going over.....but I do find this one to be way to low and will also being laying some Units on it.....My prediction is we will see a final total between 128-131.....



Good Luck!!!!!
 
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Posted: #44
Any thoughts on the halftime total of 53.5? They hit 54 in the first brick fest. USC is over that number in  their last 6 and UCLA is over in 4 of 5.
 
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Posted: #45
tinfoils -- hadn't taken a look at the 1H total yet, but you do have good points. Probably lean over on that as well. 32-24 hits, 28-26, etc.
 
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Posted: #46
This 1H line is really, really strange. 53.5 is all? I mean I understand discounting the 1H line a couple of points because of the possibility of late FTs and/or OT, but here we have a deviation of 10.5 points from the predicted total?!

That's gotta be out of the ordinary
 
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Posted: #47
gl kapono
 
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Posted: #48
No one has mentioned that USC is 1st in the Conference and 3rd in the Nation on Defense, that is why imo the low number plus the injury on UCLA...
 
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Posted: #49

Quote Originally Posted by kaponofor3:

This 1H line is really, really strange. 53.5 is all? I mean I understand discounting the 1H line a couple of points because of the possibility of late FTs and/or OT, but here we have a deviation of 10.5 points from the predicted total?!

That's gotta be out of the ordinary

good point...

 
 
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Posted: #50
pjlvio -- true, USC is the best defensive team in the nation, but look who they piled up that number against -- mostly other crappy Pac-10 teams, UCLA included!



That explains the low number, without a doubt.

shakey -- thanks for the kind words.
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