WED HOOPS 151

Tuesday 9-4-1 made some money
Already got Elon+4.5 like I said Elon has been a very good cover away this year as they are 5-0 ats away, they have won their last 4 and last 6 out of 7 games and are playing well. and last 3 games they are shooting very well, they are shooting 45% last 3 and ETSU is shooting 39% last 3 games , and in ft's ETSU is only shooting 45% last 3 games and at home they shoot just 65% at home and Elon is shooting 75% away , could be important, also away Elon has a +14 score margin last 3 games and away they have a +4, ETSU at home does have a +10 score margin still the shooting I like and they way they feel confident on the road this year

Elon+4.5 1 unit

also going to go with Memphis here -5 at Virginia I do have concerns but only because they are just coming off a hard faught win Over Clemson at Clemson, but that can work to their advantage also, Memphis played them last year at home and won big 77-54 ...
Memphis is shooting just over 47% this year and shooting the 3 at 44.3% #2 in the nation , Virginia is shooting 43% and 38% from 3 #39 in the nation, Big key in this game is who will dictate tempo, Memphis is avg 80 pts a game and Virginia is avg 59.7, usually Virginia finds a way but I think this will get to high 60's at least, ..last 3 games Memphis is avg 80 and giving up 79, Virginia last 3 they are avg 59 pts and giving up 63 , ....away Memphis is shooting 48% at home Virginia is shooting 47 % away Memphis shoots the 3 at 44% at home Virginia shoots it at 36% , Memphis has played a strong schedule and away also, they are a tough team to hold down, Memphis has 4 guys in double figures to just 2 for Virginia also Virginia has some injuries Dai Dai Ames 25 mins 8 pts is ? Memphis away is 2-0 STR up and 2-0 ats Virginia is 1-4 ats as a dog, and 1-4 STR up as a dog

my bets in at Memphis -5 hard to go against them

APP st @ ULL APP st-2
I like APP st here laying the small Number ULL has really struggled this year...both teams are avg 65 pts a game and App st is giving up 68 while ULL is giving up just under 80 a game, App st is the better shooting team, they shoot the 3 at 33% but ULL is giving up the 3 at 38%, and App st is holding teams to 27% shooting on the 3 pointers, ULL has a -10 score margin at home this year which is not that good, also App st should control the boards in this game as they are averaging 37 reb's a game to just 29 for Louisiana, after a loss App st is 3-0 STR up and 1-0 ats , also as a favorite they are 3-1 ats this year, ULL is coming off a bad loss at home to Lamar where they only scored 45 pts, losing 75-45 , they are 2-6 STR up after a loss and just 1-6 ats after a loss and they are 0-6 STR up as a dog, and are 1-9 ats this year over all

App St -2 1.5 units

@RUM151

 Stay hot big guy!! 

bol today dear sir ! you're one of the rare that do all this write up! 

Albany at Sacred heart I like Sacred heart -3 and I like the over 154 these 2 play high scoring games when they meet, and they both like to score, last 3 games Albany is avg 76 pts a game but giving up 86 pts a game, and SH is avg 76 but giving up 69 , at home SH is avg 75 a game and giving up just 56, and Albany away is avg 74 and giving up 81 , ...also like that SH is avg 16 assist at home and Albany averages just 11 assist away, and SH should have the rebounding advantage as they avg 36 reb's at home and Albany avg's 27 away, SH is the much better 3 points shooting team and Albany defends the 3 at 38%, and that is what SH shoots it at, I'll lay 3 points here and also playing the OVER 154 , I think SH gets to 80 today

SH -3 1 unit

Over 154 1 unit

Great day for you yesterday brotha

Love Memphis by 7-10 pts  Virginia have no offense for whole game to keep up 

@ayashifx55

 last 4 to 5 years at Cappersmall in coll hoops I was hitting 62-64% posting 800 games+  and I still usually did write ups, even when your doing well I feel you should give some kind of reasoning as to why ya like someone, but people get hot and feel they do not need to, its like hey I am good and I do not need to explain , its hard to hit 60% posting that many plays, I mean going 60-40 is good, but going 600-400 is even harder..lol    I enjoy doing it, I was always breaking down games,   it does not mean they will win, but it just gives reasoning as to why I like them and maybe some will read it and like the other team too, , I was just the type that needed shit explained to me ...lol                        

@Ryoshiii

 I agree  but sometimes back to back road games, can get to teams, I have been impressed with Memphis this year, on the road they see\m to play better sometimes, I have them as a 10 pt win , if Virginia slows this down to a crawl , rather see Memphis make them play up Tempo, If Memphis can get a lead that could happen

I like Memphis a lot, but the line is fishy.  In fact, it is going down towards Virginia which makes zero sense.  To me, Memphis is way better.  Memphis does have Mississippi St and ole Miss on deck.

Youngstown st @ Wright st -7 looking at this, Youngstown has won the last 4 and all the games were very high scoring, the lowest score was 152 the rest were in the 160's or higher, but diff team this year, Youngstown st has lost all their scorers but 1 from the games last couple of years, but Wright st has about 4 players from that team back - the best scorer but I am looking at a revenge game here, YTS is shooting 39% and the 3 at only 26% this year, and the 2 at 49% on the road they shoot 37%, the 3 at 25% the 2 at 46% ...Wright st shoots 49.3% #28 in the nation they shoot the 3 at 39.4% #17, they shoot the 2 at 55.6% when at home those go up, they shoot 54.7% they shoot the 3 at 44.7% and the 2 at 60.3% so at home they are shooting the 3 20% better than Youngstown st does away ...also they avg 15 assist to just 9 for YTS, and they avg just 10 to's a game at home which is pretty good , so you got Wright st with a bunch of players back, who I am sure remember, they shoot really well at home and YTS does not away, they take care of the ball, they pass it around well, I see a bigger win, sure the line dropped a half pt but maybe that's because people seen that they had won last 4 ...Youngstown st is 1-3 STR up as a dog, wright st is 4-0 STR up at home, they are 3-0 ats as a favorite, 2-0 ats as a home favorite, I am going down to 6 even though I do not think it matters, but ya never know, too many good stats pointing to wright st, only way I see to play it

Wright st -6 -125 1.5 unit

also I had WV in FB last night which won  and they got down 17-0 on turnovers  or else they win that easy 

One TT I am going to try SC UPstate over 75.5 TT   when at home this team scores , at home they avg 85 pts a game and give up 89, they scored 77 vs Iowa on the road, scored 80 at Wake Forest, I think they get 80+  

1 unit  over 75.5 TT SC Upstate 

Do like Michigan -2  -122  like them because they are coming off a very close loss to Arkansas, in a game where they shot 57% and 44% from 3  how do you lose a game where you shoot that well, I mean really, well they got out rebounded, giving up 12 offensive boards to Arkansas, and 17 to's,  they have to clean that up, Oklahoma has not lost, and have been playing well, only way to pick this is on a hunch, I just feel they are going to bounce back, yes they have 2 7 footers yet Oklahoma managed to get 12 offensive boards on them , I hope they win this by 6+ but this is going to be a very tough game in my opinion, if Michigan can shoot 50% which is what they shoot, they are going to have to hold Oklahoma to under 47% and Oklahoma is holding teams to 28.6% from 3, Michigan will have to shoot about 35+% from 3 , total is 151 which seems low, 

Michigan -2 1.5 units 

@RUM151

GL with your plays RUM151!

I’m on Wright St., as well!

TIP

@TIPOF-THE-SWORD

 ty brother 

had a 4 am airport run got one now only at Sarasota  be back about 115  130

well Albany has sacre hearts Number  I really thought if Albany won that it would go over   so a 0-2 start 

Taking Bradley -1  San Fran has been playing well, Bradley is still one of the best shooting teams in the nation, their only 2 losses have been out west on neutral courts, both in Nevada they got beat by Wash st and by Santa clara, this time they are at home where they shoot 54.7%, and they shoot the 2 at over 60%, and the 3 at 44%, and ft's at 75%  this is the 1st real road game for San Fran, I think Bradley plays well tonight, after the loss out west, ..away SF is avg 70 pts a game and gives up 67, they shoot 44% the 2 at 50% and the 3 at 36%, last 3 games their ft shooting has only been at 63%, SF forward Newbury is ? tonight  24 mins 8 pts a game , back to back away games for SF, and Bradley at home, crowd should be loud for this one , Bradley is 7-0 STR up as a favorite, 4-0 at home STR up, Bradley is 5-2 ats as a favorite and are 7-2 OVER this year, 5-2 OVER as a favorite  ...total is only 141   

BRADLEY-1  1.5 units 

Creighton at Georgetown   Creighton is without POP Isaacs tonight  31 mins  16 pts 5 reb's  4 assist

GL on your plays tonight RUM. I really like Bradley -1 tonight myself.

OVER 144 Georgetown/Creighton  1 unit  

New Mexico at home in the Pitt , VCU's 1st true road game, N Mexico does not turn it over much at home avg like 9 a game, they shoot the ball really well at home and avg like 89 pts a game at home, do not think VCU can keep this a lower scoring game like they want  at home 45 reb's a game, 14 offensive, New Mexico I think gets this 80-72  

New Mexico -2  1.5 units 

Butler averaging just 64 pts a game last 3 games,and they are giving up 77, GEE wonder why the line is 13   and Marquette at home is avg 86 pts and giving up 63, Marquette at home after a loss to Dayton and they get a team hobbling in that has lost 3 straight,  84-64 final 

Marquette -13   2 units 

Good Luck today Rum!!

5 pt teaser +150  Miami OH +9.5/Wofford+12.5/Mont st +7  1  unit