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West Virginia vs Depaul

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by BrianRucker:

And if you guys bet ATS every single game then you are bound to lose, it may be a tiny factor but like someone above said the ATS is always a coinflip.
Disagree.  It's supposed to be but there are teams every year in every sport that the books dont adjust enough on.  In NFL this year it was Detroit and in Hoop this year its UAB.  Until you start seeing UAB lay heavy chalk I'll be on them every week.
 
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Posted: #27
Agree to disagree...GL tonight Vegas
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by BrianRucker:

Agree to disagree...GL tonight Vegas
u2 man
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by VegasMaxx:

But it doesn't matter who they have played....weather its the top 5 best teams in the country or the 5 worst....the spread is supposed to make them a coin flip.  So in order to spot value I look at WV 3 TRUE road games this year and see they are 0-3 ATS missing the cover by 3, 3 and 5.   Then look at Depauls last 3 True home games and see they've covered the spread by 6, 10.5 and 13.   Who do you want your money on tonight?   I'm not saying WV cant blow Depaul out tonight but its obvious to me WV has been over rated on the road and depaul has been under valued at home. 


You look at it as being under-valued. I look at it as a team that was only favored by less than a possession against FAU and Wisconsin MKE, and was a 3 point dog against Loyola CHI. I personally don't want my money on either of these teams tonight. 

I'll root for you guys,

GL
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by nropp11:



You look at it as being under-valued. I look at it as a team that was only favored by less than a possession against FAU and Wisconsin MKE, and was a 3 point dog against Loyola CHI. I personally don't want my money on either of these teams tonight. 

I'll root for you guys,

GL
You are looking at the market and I am looking at the result.  Yeah they were 3 pt dog against loyola but they won outright 81-74.   Dont you value the final score more than the line? 
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by VegasMaxx:

You are looking at the market and I am looking at the result.  Yeah they were 3 pt dog against loyola but they won outright 81-74.   Dont you value the final score more than the line? 

I put a lot more value of how each of the teams arrived at the final score than the actual final score itself.

GL tonight.
 
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Posted: #32

Yeah good luck everybody...I think where depaul is under rated is their D on the perimeter which has been good all year.  I think they've gotten beat from 3 in 2 games all year.  So hopefully we see a bad perfomance from WV from behind the arc and a depaul cover.

 
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Posted: #33
I have made some good money betting on and against depaul.  Tonight they get faded.  But hey goodluck on whoever takes either side.  
 
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Posted: #34
nropp11 & VegasMaxx,

It's great to see an intelligent, theoretical strategy conversation/debate like this between two guys who really know their stuff.  It becomes educational for others.  GL to both of you.


 
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Posted: #35
I agree with Max that the books have overrated the hell out of WVU this year... as they seem to do at the beginning of conference play every year.  Tonight is not a good night to fade WVU IMO though... Depaul is that bad that they could easily lose by 15+
 
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Posted: #36
Good pick on Depaul. Hope everyone else cashed in on it as I did.
 
 
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Posted: #37
Thanks for bringing this line to our attention stevebaily
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