WVA large here for me. ATS WVU is 3 -2 on the road vs Natti 3 - 8 @ home . Overall WVA 11-9 ATS vs Natti 7 - 13. Both team’s average 70 pts per game and both teams EFF FG defense is a tad bit over 45% per opponent. WVA 45.7 % vs 45.6 % for Natti. What the difference is defensively is in the last three games , Cincinnati has given up on average 1.170 pts per possession, where WVA has only given up 1.058 pts per possession. Huge gap there. The biggest factor here is, both teams are extremely slow in pace , which is great when you have pts ( DOG ) WVA ranks 332nd in pace , and Natti is 293rd in pace . In a slow paced , defensive game where both teams run methodical offenses, this sets up great for WVA to cover or even win SU. Under 126.5 should hit as well. WVA hits the 3 ball @ an excellent rate. They’re 44th nationally @ 37.9 %, where Natti is @ 31.5 % & 187th. SOS WVA sits @ 17th nationally, where as Natti is 52nd. Also WVA is 10th nationally in 3pt rate defensively. They only allow their opponents to shoot 28.9 % from outside the arc. Defense travels. This should be a one possession game in the final minutes of this game. These teams mirror each other all across most stats . The 3 ball sets WVA above Natti for me. WVA + 6.5 large. I’m going all large, while being selective to try and win as much as possible before next Sunday. I’m going to drop the hammer on the SB next Sunday. GL to all
I enjoy reading your analysis. I agree and will take W virginia. This line should be 2-3 pts to home team. 
Both sverage similar teams
& GL 
on your play @Rolexsports 
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