Posted:
#1
I used to gamble with a guy and begged him for his picks so that I didn't have to do any work and just take the other side of what he liked each week. We saved the vig that way.
Friday and Saturday College Leans, 09/23
I actually went 3-0 last night taking Clemson in the 1st half. I cruised to easy victories everywhere which rarely happens. The hoodie at home is almost unbeatable. Houston couldn't even score.
I am always careful around week 4. Teams watch game film and make adjustments. Lines makers are selecting lines based on what they think the public will do. Heavy favorites like Louisville are given huge numbers to cover. In the case of Louisville- they are simply a freight train right now- covering every spread easily.
First up is Boise St. at Oregon St. BSU is a 13 point favorite. Oregon St plays in the Pac 12, lost to Minnesota on the road by 7. BSU damn near found a way to lose at Wazzou at home. You can damn sure bet Oregon State watched that film. The play is Oregon St. and the points- If I get a 450+ m/l- I am going to make a small bet there as well.
Colorado at Oregon -10.5. I don't like Oregon. I think their defense is horrible and will probably allow Colorado to hang in the game. I am going to take the points and make another small money line bet if I can get 350+.
Tulsa -14 at Fresno. Fresno State looks horrible. Maybe they can make a game of this but I doubt it...laying the points.
One of my favorites is Army -13.5 at Buffalo. Army is actually looking like a very good team.
Ball State just keeps covering. Sticking with them at Florida Atlantic -3.
Taking S. Carolina +2.5 at Kentucky on the money line.
Louisville -26.5 at Marshall. Gawd I love this game. I'll tell you why. Louisville looks unstoppable having just beat Florida State (ranked 3) and now playing Marshall with number 5- Clemson up next week. Marshall coming off a total ass kicking to a MAC team last week. It is so difficult not to let up here a little bit and you sure as hell don't want your quarterback going down because he is the clear cut Heisman winner easily and a National Championship is on the line- Having said all of that- I expect Marshall to cover. But the public is so fanatical right now I am going to wait until I get a 28.5 plus number at game time.
Stanford -3 at UCLA. Stanford has covered two v tougher. UCLA is 0-3 v the spread and might not be as good as everyone thought.
I cannot believe I am actually playing ON UNLV. I have made a living betting against that program. But a chance for an easy win v Idaho looks pretty good. I have the number at -15. I am laying the points but I sure would like 14.
Number 8 Washington -13 v Arizona. Washington has played three cupcakes. I am suspicious of their ranking although Coach Pete knows his shit. I watched Az climb back into the BYU game at home and nearly win it. BYU is a seriously good team. I'm taking 13 and Arizona.
I am always careful around week 4. Teams watch game film and make adjustments. Lines makers are selecting lines based on what they think the public will do. Heavy favorites like Louisville are given huge numbers to cover. In the case of Louisville- they are simply a freight train right now- covering every spread easily.
First up is Boise St. at Oregon St. BSU is a 13 point favorite. Oregon St plays in the Pac 12, lost to Minnesota on the road by 7. BSU damn near found a way to lose at Wazzou at home. You can damn sure bet Oregon State watched that film. The play is Oregon St. and the points- If I get a 450+ m/l- I am going to make a small bet there as well.
Colorado at Oregon -10.5. I don't like Oregon. I think their defense is horrible and will probably allow Colorado to hang in the game. I am going to take the points and make another small money line bet if I can get 350+.
Tulsa -14 at Fresno. Fresno State looks horrible. Maybe they can make a game of this but I doubt it...laying the points.
One of my favorites is Army -13.5 at Buffalo. Army is actually looking like a very good team.
Ball State just keeps covering. Sticking with them at Florida Atlantic -3.
Taking S. Carolina +2.5 at Kentucky on the money line.
Louisville -26.5 at Marshall. Gawd I love this game. I'll tell you why. Louisville looks unstoppable having just beat Florida State (ranked 3) and now playing Marshall with number 5- Clemson up next week. Marshall coming off a total ass kicking to a MAC team last week. It is so difficult not to let up here a little bit and you sure as hell don't want your quarterback going down because he is the clear cut Heisman winner easily and a National Championship is on the line- Having said all of that- I expect Marshall to cover. But the public is so fanatical right now I am going to wait until I get a 28.5 plus number at game time.
Stanford -3 at UCLA. Stanford has covered two v tougher. UCLA is 0-3 v the spread and might not be as good as everyone thought.
I cannot believe I am actually playing ON UNLV. I have made a living betting against that program. But a chance for an easy win v Idaho looks pretty good. I have the number at -15. I am laying the points but I sure would like 14.
Number 8 Washington -13 v Arizona. Washington has played three cupcakes. I am suspicious of their ranking although Coach Pete knows his shit. I watched Az climb back into the BYU game at home and nearly win it. BYU is a seriously good team. I'm taking 13 and Arizona.
M4N
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