SHITE. Liberty allows weakass, out of Bowl contention UMASS to just waltz down the field for a TD and 2 pt conversion to lead by 7
Closed as a -16.5 heavy road fav...
BIG FAT LOSER
WTF just happened?????? 
TIED at 14 mid 2Q...... I knew this would play closer than the line indicated ...
BIG FAT LOSER
LEANS for later tonight: Cajuns, Cougars, TarHeels, Tiggers
HERD losing 3 - 7 end of 1Q, early into 2Q....ML dropped....
LIVE BET: MARSHALL -145 *BB
WINNER! 
any thoughts
@vc1028
Sure thing..... (Btw, hope your bets are doing well today!)
Regarding the KANSAS @BYU game late Saturday night...
The tiny spread favoring the hometown COUGARS who are ranked in the top 10 but now facing an opponent with just 3 wins, might seem suspicious on first glance. Almost like the books are trying to temp all bettors to load up on BYU at such a low risk. It's so low, it's not even the usual 3 pts given to a hometeam in an EVEN matchup - let alone one that looks lopsided....
But
upon further review, I am convinced that a fieldgoal spread (give or take a half-point) is right where the line should be.
I am pleased to see BYU winning as a feel good turnaround from last year. 
But when we look deepeer than the w/l total and the game scores we see HOW these game results were achieved.....
Start with with BYU having played the soft half of the BIG 12 in all but one of their games to date, while KANSAS was the opposite, having played the top half of the BIG 12 in all but one game. Fortunate BYU!
KANSAS has lost plenty, yes, but looking into the boxscores of the games and even the game scores, we can see clearly they have played VERY TOUGH and a against tough opps!
I bet on BYU last Saturday in the Holy War.....but I admit I was lucky as hell to win that! BYU was fortunate and should have lost. They were ripe for the picking against bottom-dweller Okla. State too and maybe should've lost that one, but escaped with a lucky 3 point win - WHICH DEPENDED ON them getting returning a pic down to the one for a CHEAP 7 points, and a last second TD drive to come from behind in the closing minute of the game. THAT was AT HOME facing the worst team in the BIG 12! 
NOT impressive!
They beat Baylor by 6 pts - another team in the lower HALF of the BIG 12....but to achieve that, they needed a turnover at Baylor's 20 for an easy TD. Boy that was fortunate!
They deserved their wins over KSU and AZ, yes....but those game scores are very misleading!! Lots of lucky good fortune! Check it out! BYU leads the nation in interceptions. Obviously a big aid to winning games, perhaps even when being outplayed. They need them to win.
...continued ...
Meanwhile, QB Daniels is special. This is his 5th yr. At one time viewed by some as a Heisman candidate. He's thrown 9 picks this season, but 7 were in September and only 2 since! KANSAS' string of 5 losses, were facing tougher opps than BYU faced - 3 of the 5 were ON THE ROAD - and all but one were decided by just one score!! It was then they got their act together. Routing Houston by 38 pts, losing @KSU only by 2 in an evenly played game which required a late fumble gift for KSU to score the go-ahead FG, then defeating the "then-ranked #17" 7 - 1 CYCLONES by 9 points (an opp at least equal in strength to BYU)
Recent performances should *ALWAYS* receive more "weighting significance" in our handicapping than the full season....And in this regard, I say these teams are rated DEAD EVEN, the line is right where it should be (no shenanigans here!) and it should be a helluva game.....
Ohh, one last thing, the very competitive KANSAS squad has their backs up against a wall - facing elimination from a bowl game - in a season which clearly has been frustrating for them as well as unlucky. Look for a very inspired effort to give the COUGARS all they can handle.
Watch & wait for possible LIVE bets either way on this one...
L Flames -7 -260 *BB
W Buffalos -500 su *BB
W Buffalos -6.0 -255 altline
L Hilltoppers -7 -205 altline
W Illinois -132 *BB
W Illinois -2 -113 *BB
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