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2H CFB System Plays - Week 14 - Friday

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Posted: #51
Thank you sir me too...My book doesnt care about -110 or 120 he wins regardless...LMAO
 
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Posted: #52
Hey guys, just got back from work... I hurried home in time to post a no play for UCLA/AZST. 
 
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Posted: #53
Hey Kangy, I hope you had a wonderful Thanksgiving!
 
I give Thanks for your work my friend! 
 
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Posted: #54
A -3/21
 
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Posted: #55
Let me sift through the plays and see what we missed..... 

Since I don't have official totals, I will use what was posted here.
 
LSU -3 2H 
LSU -3 2H
NEB/COL OVER 28.5 2H
BGU PK
BGU PK
BGU/TOL UNDER 23.5 2H


Mixing that with our earlier results...

 
WVU/PITT UNDER 23.5 2H  (by 1/2 point)
EMICH +7  2H 
CMICH/EMICH OVER 35 2H 
OLE MISS -6.5 2H 
AKRON/TEMPLE UNDER 24 2H (what the hell, 24 in the 4th?)
ECU -1/2 2H 
KENT/BUFFALO UNDER 24 2H 


It's takes no rocket scientist to determine that all of our totals took a shit today, while all of the sides won. 
 
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Posted: #56
Hi kang what is the bet for 2h Ucla
 
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Posted: #57
PORKY'S ORIGINAL SYSTEM PLAYS... 5-6 (SIDES 5-0)
KANGY'S TIGHTENED SYSTEM PLAYS... 2-0 (FILTERED OUT "no-plays" going 3-0)

For the third straight week, so far, we are filtering out more winners than losers, which may be a key to this system.  At least so far, this week, we are showing profit. 

Tightened NJPorky system is now 62-43 (59%) YTD
C-and-E system plays are a combined 19-7-1 (73%) YTD

 
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Posted: #58
Quote Originally Posted by Daigia-Gamble:

Hi kang what is the bet for 2h Ucla

Look up 5 posts.....

 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by Daigia-Gamble:

Hi kang what is the bet for 2h Ucla

Diagia, no system plays on the UCLA/AZST game. 
 
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by MoneylineMan:

He might be smoking ganja in the bathroom!
 
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Posted: #61
Hi Todd and Dustin, hope you guys had a wonderful Thanksgiving.  I did.  Glad to see you today!!!!  Looks like I think we will need to work on a tightener for those Porky over/unders.  They are pitiful today!  0-6.  I could not have done worse flipping a coin lol. 
 
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Posted: #62
I had a great Thanksgiving with family. I have a lot to be Thankful for, especially our beautiful 11 week old baby boy.
 
Keep up the great work Kangy. I know you will find ways to make your system better. You're doing a great job as it is. Your NFL +/-7 is on fire!
 
I won't see you tomorrow, I'll be at the USC/ND game. See you Sunday!
 
 
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Posted: #63
Kangy appreciate all the work man.Been tailing for a while.

Was LSU -3 a play? It's showing a winner in both systems above and they were outscored 17-7 the 2nd half.Am I reading something incorrectly?
 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by in_the_black:

Kangy appreciate all the work man.Been tailing for a while.

Was LSU -3 a play? It's showing a winner in both systems above and they were outscored 17-7 the 2nd half.Am I reading something incorrectly?
You know what in_the_black, you are correct!  That is my mistake.  I misread the board.  That one is a big LOOOOOSER! 


LSU -3 
LSU -3 



Corrected records this week....

PORKY'S ORIGINAL SYSTEM PLAYS... 4-7 (SIDES 4-1)
KANGY'S TIGHTENED SYSTEM PLAYS... 1-1 (FILTERED OUT "no-plays" going 3-0)


Tightened NJPorky system is now 61-44 (58%) YTD

Thank you for pointing that out....  That one hurts! 
 
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Posted: #65
I wasn't pointing it out to be an asshole I like following this system.

But I know you agree that the numbers need to be correct.
 
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Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by TrojanTodd:

I had a great Thanksgiving with family. I have a lot to be Thankful for, especially our beautiful 11 week old baby boy.
 
Keep up the great work Kangy. I know you will find ways to make your system better. You're doing a great job as it is. Your NFL +/-7 is on fire!
 
I won't see you tomorrow, I'll be at the USC/ND game. See you Sunday!
 
  Well congrats!!!  Nice to be celebrating the holidays with extended family.... Hope he grows up a be just like his ol' man, a big ol' betting degenerate

I had a lot to be thankful for too, including that big turkey that volunteered to be part of our meal  HAHA! 
 
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Posted: #67

Quote Originally Posted by usakangy:

  Well congrats!!!  Nice to be celebrating the holidays with extended family.... Hope he grows up a be just like his ol' man, a big ol' betting degenerate

I had a lot to be thankful for too, including that big turkey that volunteered to be part of our meal  HAHA! 

Thanks Kangy!  It's great being a Dad!

GL tomorrow!

 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by in_the_black:

I wasn't pointing it out to be an asshole I like following this system.

But I know you agree that the numbers need to be correct.

No way!  If I am wrong, I will admit that and take it like a man!  No problems guy!  Appreciate it!  So far, trends are pointing to a week similar to the previous two.  I believe after a certain point in the season, the systems have to be done away with, because all the criteria that go into making a system what it is are no longer met. 

For instance, during the first 10-11 weeks, it may be a good idea to filter the plays.  However, as we have seen the last three weeks now, those filtered plays are costing us unplayed winners.  As teams fight harder for conference championships and bowl eligibility, the "atmosphere" of the games changes.  Also, because those type games are more high-profile, the oddsmakers will be very careful about setting the lines to make it harder in some situations to cause the system to fail.  Something to keep an eye out for next year.  It's a great little system, and will be in a state of constant tuning to produce a higher rate of winners. 
 
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Posted: #69
Quick note about the games today... Of all 12 games, if we relax Porky's original system to say, play the system regardless of the middle (choosing the sides only), we would have gone 10-2 against the 2nd half line.  The two "play-on" losers were LSU and Fresno.  Interesting stuff as we head into the last huge Saturday of the regular season. 

Catch you guys tomorrow for the early games. 
 
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Posted: #70
as always....usakangy....another amazing job....looks like the system is on fire for sides in college lately...have only been doing side sin college and both sides and totals in the NFL.....should be around tomorrow during the day to help post but have somewhere to go at 5pm tomorrow night and then on Sunday I will be around for the 1pm games, but won't be around for the 4pm and 8pm as I have to work....but with this new color codeing...we should be able to help each other out....by the way it is now officially the NJPorky/usakangy 2H system!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by NJPorky:

as always....usakangy....another amazing job....looks like the system is on fire for sides in college lately...have only been doing side sin college and both sides and totals in the NFL.....should be around tomorrow during the day to help post but have somewhere to go at 5pm tomorrow night and then on Sunday I will be around for the 1pm games, but won't be around for the 4pm and 8pm as I have to work....but with this new color codeing...we should be able to help each other out....by the way it is now officially the NJPorky/usakangy 2H system!!!!!!

Hey NJPorky!!  What's up my man!??  Hope your Thanksgiving was a good one!!  Yeah, I'm just about to get rid of totals in college.  They just don't seem to work out too well.  With no REAL way to back test (other than to assume it will be within 1-2 points of half of the original game total line-which is usually the case), we cannot get an accurate feel for these.

Ummm, how about if we call it the usakangy/NJPorky system? 

At any rate, I will look through the totals I have been able to generate and go through the older posts and see what their winning percentages are.  It may just be well worth it to play the opposite of the system for CFB totals.  But for now, I would recommend doing away with the totals in CFB only.  Thoughts??
 
 
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Posted: #72
started a thread for Saturday:
 
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