Only one comment and they relate to two games. I'm in the minority in my thinking, but here goes.
Texas Tech and Iowa St. Why so little/so many points you ask? The same thing was said about WVU against TTU. Why was WVU giving so little points? WVU was riding high prior because their offense and beating Texas and public perception was at the max. TTU was the opposite, no one was really high on them. So why the short line? Well, we all know what happen, public got smacked on that game.
Now, TTU. reverse situation. They are riding high public perception wise, just murdered the #5 team WVU, and it wasn't a close game. TCU, has been a shadow of itself, losing Pachall, barely getting by against decent competition, maybe even shaving. So why is TTU not even giving a FG? that doesn't even account for home field. 2.5 is such a juicy line if you take a favorite.
Iowa St. Same thing. Not so much low public perception of ISU, but really low perception of OSU in my opinion. OSU lost to texas 3 weeks ago, had a bye and last week, BARELY got by a horrible Kansas team. How can this team be giving a RANKED ISU 14.5 when they only beat Kansas by 6?
In both, the oddsmakers are using public perception to induce betting on the side they want the public to take. You see this so often, if it's too good to be true, it usually is. Of course, sometimes, oddsmakers just make a mistake (Bama last week, ULL vs. Tulane two weeks ago) but in both instances, you see the line moved heavily because of the one sided betting, past key numbers. It's early, but so far I see 85% on ISU yet the line went from 14 to 14.5? I see 74% on TTU yet the number has stayed steady at 2.5?
Alot of people believe Vegas wants even money on both sides. I disagree and actually have read multiple interviews stating otherwise. Todays game was another example. Why was ULL only give 4.5 to a "horrible" UNT squad? I saw 80% on ULL and yet, only right before kick off the spread got bumped up a point? and not past any key numbers?
Anyways, this post got long...sorry, I'm long winded. Just my take. I'm sure I'll get people disagreeing with me.
Only one comment and they relate to two games. I'm in the minority in my thinking, but here goes.
Texas Tech and Iowa St. Why so little/so many points you ask? The same thing was said about WVU against TTU. Why was WVU giving so little points? WVU was riding high prior because their offense and beating Texas and public perception was at the max. TTU was the opposite, no one was really high on them. So why the short line? Well, we all know what happen, public got smacked on that game.
Now, TTU. reverse situation. They are riding high public perception wise, just murdered the #5 team WVU, and it wasn't a close game. TCU, has been a shadow of itself, losing Pachall, barely getting by against decent competition, maybe even shaving. So why is TTU not even giving a FG? that doesn't even account for home field. 2.5 is such a juicy line if you take a favorite.
Iowa St. Same thing. Not so much low public perception of ISU, but really low perception of OSU in my opinion. OSU lost to texas 3 weeks ago, had a bye and last week, BARELY got by a horrible Kansas team. How can this team be giving a RANKED ISU 14.5 when they only beat Kansas by 6?
In both, the oddsmakers are using public perception to induce betting on the side they want the public to take. You see this so often, if it's too good to be true, it usually is. Of course, sometimes, oddsmakers just make a mistake (Bama last week, ULL vs. Tulane two weeks ago) but in both instances, you see the line moved heavily because of the one sided betting, past key numbers. It's early, but so far I see 85% on ISU yet the line went from 14 to 14.5? I see 74% on TTU yet the number has stayed steady at 2.5?
Alot of people believe Vegas wants even money on both sides. I disagree and actually have read multiple interviews stating otherwise. Todays game was another example. Why was ULL only give 4.5 to a "horrible" UNT squad? I saw 80% on ULL and yet, only right before kick off the spread got bumped up a point? and not past any key numbers?
Anyways, this post got long...sorry, I'm long winded. Just my take. I'm sure I'll get people disagreeing with me.
Love this pick! Even though Auburn has been sucking lately, they're due for a win! I may have to put them into one of my ML parlays as well. 
Only one comment and they relate to two games. I'm in the minority in my thinking, but here goes.
Texas Tech and Iowa St. Why so little/so many points you ask? The same thing was said about WVU against TTU. Why was WVU giving so little points? WVU was riding high prior because their offense and beating Texas and public perception was at the max. TTU was the opposite, no one was really high on them. So why the short line? Well, we all know what happen, public got smacked on that game.
Now, TTU. reverse situation. They are riding high public perception wise, just murdered the #5 team WVU, and it wasn't a close game. TCU, has been a shadow of itself, losing Pachall, barely getting by against decent competition, maybe even shaving. So why is TTU not even giving a FG? that doesn't even account for home field. 2.5 is such a juicy line if you take a favorite.
Iowa St. Same thing. Not so much low public perception of ISU, but really low perception of OSU in my opinion. OSU lost to texas 3 weeks ago, had a bye and last week, BARELY got by a horrible Kansas team. How can this team be giving a RANKED ISU 14.5 when they only beat Kansas by 6?
In both, the oddsmakers are using public perception to induce betting on the side they want the public to take. You see this so often, if it's too good to be true, it usually is. Of course, sometimes, oddsmakers just make a mistake (Bama last week, ULL vs. Tulane two weeks ago) but in both instances, you see the line moved heavily because of the one sided betting, past key numbers. It's early, but so far I see 85% on ISU yet the line went from 14 to 14.5? I see 74% on TTU yet the number has stayed steady at 2.5?
Alot of people believe Vegas wants even money on both sides. I disagree and actually have read multiple interviews stating otherwise. Todays game was another example. Why was ULL only give 4.5 to a "horrible" UNT squad? I saw 80% on ULL and yet, only right before kick off the spread got bumped up a point? and not past any key numbers?
Anyways, this post got long...sorry, I'm long winded. Just my take. I'm sure I'll get people disagreeing with me.
I like tech for a couple of reasons. Last week i was not on west virginia and i was also not on tech. What scared me in making a bet on that game was that i was leaning tech. Because of that i stayed away.
I know tech plays pretty bad on the road, i went to to tech, its the team i probably know the most about besides UT. Techs defense is surprisingly good this year. They pulled down the curtain on one of the most powerful offenses in the country last week and they also held a good iowa st offense to 13/14 and TCU got crushed by this same iowa st team at home.
I still dont understand the ISU line. I know all about the line movements in all the games i bet. I used to bet only line movements and that turned out to run about 50% if you bet it on every game in both NCAAF as well as NFL. So i take line movement for what it is, a coinflip IMO.
ISU is a good team with a very good defense. They beat TCU on the road and then almost held off a great kstate team the next week. K state has a great defense and iowa st still put up 21 on them while holding k states offense to under 30. OK state has a very good offense but i feel like the stats are fudged as they have not really played anyone of significance and a good portion of their stats come from week 1 vs savannah st. And when i say they have not really played anyone i mean that. UT is no one and so is arizona this year. Both these teams have zero defense. So OK st is walking into a game against a good, something they have not played against yet this season. Iowa st on the other hand has played very good defenses a couple times this year already and did fine against them. This OK st defense should not have a chance. This is very similar reasoning i had last week when i took OK over Texas. Texas had yet to face a good defense going into last weeks game they got shit pushed in just like i thought would happen.
I understand the concerns with the k state game. I have also w virginia is a very rowdy place to play in. However i just do not see how west virginias offense is going to get it done against what is probably the best defense in the big 12. K states offense is also nothing to overlook. I think clock control will play a huge factor in this game and feel like k state will execute UTs game plan as it should have been executed against west virginia
I am not sure if LSU will be able to move the ball a whole lot better than a&m. These teams like LSU, florida, auburn all have one sided offensive attacks and that is running the ball. A&M can pass as well as run the ball well. I also feel that florida is a better team than LSU both offensivly as well as defensivly and a&m only lost by 3 points to them in their opening game.
This all being said i am not starting to think about my s carolina pick a little more and will have to relook over that game as right now i can not remember why i liked s carolina over florida. I think originially i felt that s carolina made some stupid mistakes last week against LSU that caused them to lose both on the field by the players as well as by the coaching staff. I am going to have to go back and look at this game now.
Only one comment and they relate to two games. I'm in the minority in my thinking, but here goes.
Texas Tech and Iowa St. Why so little/so many points you ask? The same thing was said about WVU against TTU. Why was WVU giving so little points? WVU was riding high prior because their offense and beating Texas and public perception was at the max. TTU was the opposite, no one was really high on them. So why the short line? Well, we all know what happen, public got smacked on that game.
Now, TTU. reverse situation. They are riding high public perception wise, just murdered the #5 team WVU, and it wasn't a close game. TCU, has been a shadow of itself, losing Pachall, barely getting by against decent competition, maybe even shaving. So why is TTU not even giving a FG? that doesn't even account for home field. 2.5 is such a juicy line if you take a favorite.
Iowa St. Same thing. Not so much low public perception of ISU, but really low perception of OSU in my opinion. OSU lost to texas 3 weeks ago, had a bye and last week, BARELY got by a horrible Kansas team. How can this team be giving a RANKED ISU 14.5 when they only beat Kansas by 6?
In both, the oddsmakers are using public perception to induce betting on the side they want the public to take. You see this so often, if it's too good to be true, it usually is. Of course, sometimes, oddsmakers just make a mistake (Bama last week, ULL vs. Tulane two weeks ago) but in both instances, you see the line moved heavily because of the one sided betting, past key numbers. It's early, but so far I see 85% on ISU yet the line went from 14 to 14.5? I see 74% on TTU yet the number has stayed steady at 2.5?
Alot of people believe Vegas wants even money on both sides. I disagree and actually have read multiple interviews stating otherwise. Todays game was another example. Why was ULL only give 4.5 to a "horrible" UNT squad? I saw 80% on ULL and yet, only right before kick off the spread got bumped up a point? and not past any key numbers?
Anyways, this post got long...sorry, I'm long winded. Just my take. I'm sure I'll get people disagreeing with me.
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