When people take a side, I want them to envision themselves in the future during the game with that side. Take LSU +7 and picture yourself in the future now:
Are you feeling good with LSU up 7-0 in the 1stQ?
I'm not. I think that is the absolute MINIMUM standard to cover. Who here feels differently? Almost no one.
Now LSU jumps out to a 10-0 lead at the beginning of the second kicking the ball to Bama.
Comfortable now? I'm not. Bama need only score 17 to push.
Heck, I'm not even thrilled up 17-0. Happy, but not punching my ticket. Why? I remember the Ole Miss game. A garbage time heave had to cover that one for Ole Miss backers after jumping out to a huge lead and Ole Miss backers slithered up to the counter breathless they actually covered a bigger spread than this at home of +10.
Now picture yourself with LSU +7 the following:
Bama up 7-0 on their first possession.
You are nervous already aren't ya? Already a push and the game is 4 minutes in.
Bama up 10-0. You're asking your family and friends to leave the room.
Bama up 14-0. You're dry heaving over a toilet.
Bama up 21-3. You're preparing your last will and testament
All those scores: very, very possible.
Notice how I didn't even mention LSU up 14-0? Why? We all know that's not happening.
And all you get for all this angst and misery pre-game? A flimsy TD.
Hell no am I taking LSU under those circumstances.
But if that doesn't do it for ya, this will.
Les Miles....gone. Who the hell doesn't want Les on the sidelines for this one? I would take Les here on his worst day. Les was so interwoven in this rivalry. Gone.
And I have one even worse than that.
Who is behind center for LSU?
Danny Etling.
Folks, Danny Etling was recruited by the one and only: Darryl Hazell.
That should send shivers up your spine if you already have LSU. He couldn't even get playing time on ONE AND TWO WIN Purdue teams. Saw garbage time action and started a game. Transferred and Hazell couldn't have cared less.
All those years...all those reps...given to Austin Appleby and company (and look at Appleby. Has he won anyone money? A single dime?) when Etling could have been groomed for this weekend against big time OSU/Michigan//Michigan State/Wisconsin teams. He got none of that. None. And now he stares down Bama. He is going to piss himself when he sees that front 7.
And now Danny Etling, the other Hazell castaway, is going to beat Nick Saban's greatest defense ever. With an emerging offense. Undefeated. Off a bye.
All because they play in the Bayou? Danny Etling will beat Bama? He's not beating them and a TD is a band-aid before Bama eventually gets over the number and then some. -14 to 5-1 Tennessee...cover. -18 to undefeated A&M. Cover. Outrageous spreads. Or so we thought.
And now you get a TD. With LSU. This LSU. After all that...
This spread is like ordering the biggest lobster on the menu at a seafood restaurant and they bring you a crawfish.
Fournette? Come on. They toyed with him last year. This defense is better. You'll be laughed off this year if you say Heisman with Fournette's name. Big differences from last year. Giuce covers this number? Come on.
Give me Bama -7. I leave that counter with a ticket and a smile.