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Alabama

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Posted: #1
It's interesting to see how quite a few of the better cappers are ignoring this game.  Not sure why but it seems to have excellent value.  Arkansas is just bad.  Alabama would be favored over more than a few of the bottom feeders in the NFL.

Play the best team vs a bad team = value.

Why ignore this value?

Alabama 1Q   ??
Alabama 1H  -22
Alabama FG  -35
OVER 56.5

Each for $1k.

Some thinking about Saban not letting his foot off the gas until the 4th quarter here since its a conference game.  Depends on the halftime score as to whether I will hit it or not.

Not playing much more tomorrow unless some 2H value shows up.

Good luck!

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Posted: #2

I know one who didn’t ignore




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Posted: #3
The first half looks tempting. 

I just don't want any of my bet on Jalen.
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by race444:

The first half looks tempting. 

I just don't want any of my bet on Jalen.

Good point, gut says Tua plays much more than he has been because Nick knows he needs the reps for the better teams coming up 

I think it’s a statement beatdown personally 
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Posted: #5

Arkansas has to score, and that is probably not possible. This is one of my top 2 plays of the week with my Troy play last night.

SNITCHES end up being bitches, or end up with stitches, and in ditches! #REALITY
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:


Good point, gut says Tua plays much more than he has been because Nick knows he needs the reps for the better teams coming up 

I think it’s a statement beatdown personally 

I agree that Tua should come out in the 2H.  Will be interesting to see what line the books put out as it will surely tell us who they think is coming out for the 3rd quarter.

Inquiring minds will want to know.

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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:


I agree that Tua should come out in the 2H.  Will be interesting to see what line the books put out as it will surely tell us who they think is coming out for the 3rd quarter.

Inquiring minds will want to know.


Wagers should be graded by now, I just saw +4000 in your account , maybe double check as I’m getting old 

Bama 61-10 
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Posted: #8
My ideal scenario...

Alabama leads at the half 35-0.

Books put out  a 2H line of Alabama  -17 to -20...O/U 24

HAMMERTIME!!



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Posted: #9

The notion that bama or any cfb team would beat an nfl team is laughable to the point of lunacy. A bottom feeder NFL team would crush any college team.The belief that bama is unbeatable is also laughable. Problem so far is nobody has the tools. The weakness of bama, and there is not many, is the back end of the defense.

 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

My ideal scenario...

Alabama leads at the half 35-0.

Books put out  a 2H line of Alabama  -17 to -20...O/U 24

HAMMERTIME!!



I think they get you paid brotha 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by sogcollector:

The notion that bama or any cfb team would beat an nfl team is laughable to the point of lunacy. A bottom feeder NFL team would crush any college team.The belief that bama is unbeatable is also laughable. Problem so far is nobody has the tools. The weakness of bama, and there is not many, is the back end of the defense.


It's a bit early to make this pronouncement but it's entirely possible we may be witnessing the best team in the history of college football.

Or...it's quite possible I am a lunatic.

Guess the season will have to play out to find out which is true.

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Posted: #12
If Tua played full games, the scores would be outrageous and the Defense would be even better. 
 
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Posted: #13
I am on Bama 1st half -22...I had posted earlier this evening (Friday) GL

The only concern I had was the weather in Fayetteville, cloud with a 50% chance of thunderstorm...I sincerely home that it does not rain in the first half or have lightning delay, because that will kill momentum...

It appears that the O/U has come down 4 points, which is another bearish sign...

Finally, as many have pointed out, some how Ark has played Bama close over the last 5 years during the BB tenure...Ark has some descent athletes, but with a new coach, it has taken them some time to gel...That plus morris could not determine a QB until Story lit up sorry A&M secondary....

So, you can see why there is some concern...were North Texas and Col State an anomalies, and a legit SEC D will show up tomorrow, or will Bama just have its way...

I hope that answers your question...
LonghornHoosier
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by race444:

If Tua played full games, the scores would be outrageous and the Defense would be even better. 

That's actually part of the thinking about this week vs Arkansas.  SEC game where Saban probably wants to start getting his main guys more reps in preparation for upcoming tougher games.

If thats right, 63-10 as Wahoo described above, sounds about right to me.

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Posted: #15
BTW - in its first 5 games in the first half, Alabama has outscored its opponents 199 to 20, and 13 of that was by Texas A&M...That's why I am on Bama on Sat, and I hope for the best...
LonghornHoosier
 
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Posted: #16
Gl fellas I am on fh and FG as well.
 
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Posted: #17
sogcollector-

Yes it is laughable that any college team could compete with an NFL team- however the back of the Bama defense which was supposed to be a weakness has improved tremendously- witness what they did to Ole Miss
 
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Posted: #18

Quote Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:

I am on Bama 1st half -22...I had posted earlier this evening (Friday) GLThe only concern I had was the weather in Fayetteville, cloud with a 50% chance of thunderstorm...I sincerely home that it does not rain in the first half or have lightning delay, because that will kill momentum...It appears that the O/U has come down 4 points, which is another bearish sign...Finally, as many have pointed out, some how Ark has played Bama close over the last 5 years during the BB tenure...Ark has some descent athletes, but with a new coach, it has taken them some time to gel...That plus morris could not determine a QB until Story lit up sorry A&M secondary....So, you can see why there is some concern...were North Texas and Col State an anomalies, and a legit SEC D will show up tomorrow, or will Bama just have its way...I hope that answers your question...

 

No one in the country can stop Tua. And everyone is thinking about the Ark/A@M game last week. I lost on A@M last week so went back to observe my loss. A@M was up 14-0 in the 1st H although Mond threw 2 picks before intermission. A@M led 17-7 at halftime as they missed a field goal to end the half. These are 3 MISCUES by A@M that should not happen with Nick's team today. Also, Arkansas if off of road games vs Auburn and A@M back to back, while Bama off a bye vs ULL. Best of luck to us as that's my top and only play this week.an_cheers 

 

Don't chase today, there's always tomorrow in gambling....
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by THEGREATESTEDGE:

 

No one in the country can stop Tua. And everyone is thinking about the Ark/A@M game last week. I lost on A@M last week so went back to observe my loss. A@M was up 14-0 in the 1st H although Mond threw 2 picks before intermission. A@M led 17-7 at halftime as they missed a field goal to end the half. These are 3 MISCUES by A@M that should not happen with Nick's team today. Also, Arkansas if off of road games vs Auburn and A@M back to back, while Bama off a bye vs ULL. Best of luck to us as that's my top and only play this week.an_cheers 

 


Salient observations.  And Arkansas will donate more than 1 turnover for Alabama points today imo.

Lets get this done!

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Posted: #20
I’ve been taking Bama every week and they’ve been rolling. I think it’s come down to who Saban plays and how long he plays them. If TUA plays the whole game, the games  would be mammoth beatings. 
 
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Posted: #21
Alabama -7.5 1Q

I'm on it.

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Posted: #22
Pumping up my totals bet on the game with OVER 59 for another 1K!

Last chance to get you some!

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Posted: #23
And so...it begins...

7-0
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Posted: #24
First turnover for Arkansas...right on schedule...

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Posted: #25
14-0 Alabama...

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