Posted:
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Again, just posting for tracking purposes. Don't follow me because I suck this year. 1-3 last week for a total of 34-33 on the year. Of course, my two (unplayed) posted leans last week both won in dominating fashion. That kind of year.
Six plays this week:
*NC State +34. This is the first one I looked for when the lines came out. FSU off a huge win, playing an inferior opponent, with a major rival next week? Every ingredient for a game that's unreasonably close.
*Troy +10. I just don't understand this line at all. Troy hasn't been good this year, but neither has WKU. And Troy has been able to pretty well keep up with everybody outside the SEC.
*South Carolina +3. I was at that game last week, and I'm still not sure how Tennessee's secondary managed to do what they did. But I still, for whatever reason, think South Carolina is a good team (and Dylan Thompson is a capable backup) and Missouri is a touch overrated. Was nervous about fading Mizzou after blowing it so badly last week, but bgk and sizzle are on the cocks, so I feel better about following.
*Baylor -35. Yeah, it's a road game. Yeah, Oklahoma is next. If Oklahoma were next week instead of 12 days away, it might give me pause. But this is a ridiculous mismatch.
*SDSU/Fresno over 63.5. I missed some line value by getting to this game late, but Fresno loves them some shootouts, and San Diego State should be happy to oblige.
*UCLA/Oregon over 73.5. Pretty much the same story as the last game. UCLA isn't playing Stanford this week.
Also lean to TAMU/Vandy over, because I think TAMU can give up points to your grandmother, but Robinette starting does concern me a little, so I think I'll lay off.
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