Two years ago, West Virginia came into Lubbock off a big win vs Texas. EVERYONE was on WVa and I do mean everyone. But Tech was favored by a few points, just like this week.
Result - A blow out win for TTU in Lubbock as they exposed Geno Smith's lack of understanding of how to read defenses.
Bottom line - The oddsmakers know a helluva lot more than the clowns on Covers.
Two years ago, West Virginia came into Lubbock off a big win vs Texas. EVERYONE was on WVa and I do mean everyone. But Tech was favored by a few points, just like this week.
Result - A blow out win for TTU in Lubbock as they exposed Geno Smith's lack of understanding of how to read defenses.
Bottom line - The oddsmakers know a helluva lot more than the clowns on Covers.
Exactly sheik. Relying on a road grading offensive line and 3 outstanding running backs is completely different from being dependent on a spread passing attack. Tech's defense is built to defend Big 12 offenses as opposed to smash mouth football. Arkansas' running game was very effective for a half at Auburn and that game was much closer than the final score would suggest(pick 6 changed the game and forced the hogs to play from behind and lengthy weather delay also didn't do them any favors). Just saying this is not their first venture into hostile territory this year and they showed me something on the plains. Their qb looks to have improved and I don't see how Tech slows them down.
Kingsbury may be pretty, but his team's performance in the first two games has been anything but. UTEP and Central Arkansas ran the ball successfully against them(over 4 ypc) and they also accumulated 25 penalties in those games. They barely survived in those two close games and I don't see how they stop a hogs rushing attack that put up 150 first half yards at Auburn and is averaging almost 10 ypc on the season(even though Nichols St is terrible). Tech is young on defense and their qb play has been shaky at best so far.
The only thing that scares me here is the line. Opened up at Tech-4.5 and I haven't seen much support for them at all. Seems like a total mismatch to me. When I first saw the line I loved Arkansas-woke up the next day and saw that everybody else loved them too-scary. Only angle I see in this # being what it is would be Arkansas has lost 10 of last 11 games and now on the road again. They seem vastly improved though and with their upcoming schedule they need to win this one. Could be similar to a horse racing angle-long time maiden gets first win and lightbulb goes on. Can't see hogs not winning this by at least a touchdown on paper, but something about this game seems fishy. Good luck!
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