@HockeyNight11
Wow that’s a ballsy prediction. Recency bias in full effect after week 1
@LonghornHoosier
Yessir Mich alum myself. I think if your boys roll in here and win handedly then you have a bonafide national championship contender.
I have done ok for/against Michigan. Maybe just been lucky with how good the program has been recently? Waffled last week - initially liked Fresno St then game day kinda was swayed to the Michigan side. Number was spot on in the end.
I just look at matchups. Think I made that about as clear as possible in the above with the statistical points. Had put in the pre season thread how poor I though Phill Steeles assessment was on the DL as my opinion is last years “backups” were probably better than the guys they were replacing in Moore/Stewart on the edge. As mentioned my biggest ? is depth on defense now. I think PFF ratings from week 1 agree with me - granted only one game. I expect the OL to be better and I expect Michigan to run the ball Saturday. That doesn’t happen then the O will struggle for sure. They’re guys who’ve waited their turn. Sherrone took a less experienced group in 2021 to the Joe Moore winner by seasons end.
predictions make it fun, not sure how picking against your team is homeristic given the explaination. Just an opinion but the games certainly going to be decided on the field not in this thread! just need to cover 7 to hit the window
Also as I pointed out I think this is Michigans most difficult opponent of the year & it’s a dang good schedule! There’s just certain matchups I like. If Texas rises to meet that test then hats off to them!
@LonghornHoosier
Yessir Mich alum myself. I think if your boys roll in here and win handedly then you have a bonafide national championship contender.
I have done ok for/against Michigan. Maybe just been lucky with how good the program has been recently? Waffled last week - initially liked Fresno St then game day kinda was swayed to the Michigan side. Number was spot on in the end.
I just look at matchups. Think I made that about as clear as possible in the above with the statistical points. Had put in the pre season thread how poor I though Phill Steeles assessment was on the DL as my opinion is last years “backups” were probably better than the guys they were replacing in Moore/Stewart on the edge. As mentioned my biggest ? is depth on defense now. I think PFF ratings from week 1 agree with me - granted only one game. I expect the OL to be better and I expect Michigan to run the ball Saturday. That doesn’t happen then the O will struggle for sure. They’re guys who’ve waited their turn. Sherrone took a less experienced group in 2021 to the Joe Moore winner by seasons end.
predictions make it fun, not sure how picking against your team is homeristic given the explaination. Just an opinion but the games certainly going to be decided on the field not in this thread! just need to cover 7 to hit the window
Also as I pointed out I think this is Michigans most difficult opponent of the year & it’s a dang good schedule! There’s just certain matchups I like. If Texas rises to meet that test then hats off to them!
I’m very big on play in the trenches as you can probably tell. I’ve just been told time after time about OSU’s insane WR’s, Alabamas skill, Washington’s crazy offense and Joe Moore winning OL, Penn Sts RB depth and defense, etc etc
Time and time again I’ve watched Michigan control the LOS. Particularly the DL which just absolutely blew up all of those high flying offenses. The starting 4 was out there (well at least 3 of them) to stop Alabama on 4th down in the rose bowl. This starting 4 was dominating the Joe Moore winning OL in the title game and because of that push up front never gave that powerful O a chance to get rolling.
If Texas can match them then sure you guys have a great chance. If not though & Ewers is doing that little quick drop and firing it all the way across the field like he did vs CSU then I think the aggressive DBs will feast on that.
At this point I think I just need to see an opponent actually win or at least hold their own vs the D front because this unit has single handedly wrecked offensive game plans multiple times vs top 10 teams.
I’m very big on play in the trenches as you can probably tell. I’ve just been told time after time about OSU’s insane WR’s, Alabamas skill, Washington’s crazy offense and Joe Moore winning OL, Penn Sts RB depth and defense, etc etc
Time and time again I’ve watched Michigan control the LOS. Particularly the DL which just absolutely blew up all of those high flying offenses. The starting 4 was out there (well at least 3 of them) to stop Alabama on 4th down in the rose bowl. This starting 4 was dominating the Joe Moore winning OL in the title game and because of that push up front never gave that powerful O a chance to get rolling.
If Texas can match them then sure you guys have a great chance. If not though & Ewers is doing that little quick drop and firing it all the way across the field like he did vs CSU then I think the aggressive DBs will feast on that.
At this point I think I just need to see an opponent actually win or at least hold their own vs the D front because this unit has single handedly wrecked offensive game plans multiple times vs top 10 teams.
@HockeyNight11
Yes,I've been watching tix count and handle last few days. One factor I took into consideration. Actually,I've teased them up to 13.5 w TN down to -1. So, looking forward to both.
@HockeyNight11
Yes,I've been watching tix count and handle last few days. One factor I took into consideration. Actually,I've teased them up to 13.5 w TN down to -1. So, looking forward to both.
I agree, 250+ pass yds doesn't mean a win.
I agree, 250+ pass yds doesn't mean a win.
Play # 2
Oregon / Boise St over 60.5 -- *2u*
Think we're getting a little discount after Oregon only put 24 on Idaho a week ago. Start with Boise St who a year ago avg nearly 440 ypg and 32 points. Only better this year and they showed that in week 1 with 650 yards of offense against what some projected as a potential top 25 defense in the nation. Like Oregon, but i do think they're a little undersized on the back end and can be had by the better offenses.
Where I think the value lies is with Oregons offense here. They struggled to put points on the board, but they had nearly 500 yards of offense. Game 1 together with Gabriel, I don't have much concern about them putting up numbers. Boise St defense was pretty leaky giving up 460 yds and 45 points to Georgia Southern. Hard to see Oregon not having a big day here as well.
Play # 2
Oregon / Boise St over 60.5 -- *2u*
Think we're getting a little discount after Oregon only put 24 on Idaho a week ago. Start with Boise St who a year ago avg nearly 440 ypg and 32 points. Only better this year and they showed that in week 1 with 650 yards of offense against what some projected as a potential top 25 defense in the nation. Like Oregon, but i do think they're a little undersized on the back end and can be had by the better offenses.
Where I think the value lies is with Oregons offense here. They struggled to put points on the board, but they had nearly 500 yards of offense. Game 1 together with Gabriel, I don't have much concern about them putting up numbers. Boise St defense was pretty leaky giving up 460 yds and 45 points to Georgia Southern. Hard to see Oregon not having a big day here as well.
First prop of the year -
Kalel Mullings (MICH) over 51.5 rush yards
Taking an alt line here for the plus money is a good look as well imo. Not much to add from the original game write up. I think Mullings has to be the feature back tomorrow given the way he can run between the tackles & his physicality. Plus the fact that I think Michigan needs to stick to this to be successful. Donovan Edwards certainly has more explosiveness and typically shows up for the big games, but I think he has to be involved more in the pass game & hope to see both guys on the field together at some point. The Texas defense lost it's run stuffers from a year ago. Yes they reload, but we're talking two top 40 NFL picks here. I don't think that production has been fully replaced. Texas allowed 106 yards on 25 carries to CSU's lead back. No huge gains, long of 13. Michigan will need to have that pound away approach as well and open up the pass game/playaction for Warren. Mullings had 15 carries to Edwards 11 in week 1, I think he earned more work given his performance in the 2nd half last week.
Other thing is weather may be a little bit of a factor, 15ish MPH winds with higher gusts may place even more emphasis on running the ball
First prop of the year -
Kalel Mullings (MICH) over 51.5 rush yards
Taking an alt line here for the plus money is a good look as well imo. Not much to add from the original game write up. I think Mullings has to be the feature back tomorrow given the way he can run between the tackles & his physicality. Plus the fact that I think Michigan needs to stick to this to be successful. Donovan Edwards certainly has more explosiveness and typically shows up for the big games, but I think he has to be involved more in the pass game & hope to see both guys on the field together at some point. The Texas defense lost it's run stuffers from a year ago. Yes they reload, but we're talking two top 40 NFL picks here. I don't think that production has been fully replaced. Texas allowed 106 yards on 25 carries to CSU's lead back. No huge gains, long of 13. Michigan will need to have that pound away approach as well and open up the pass game/playaction for Warren. Mullings had 15 carries to Edwards 11 in week 1, I think he earned more work given his performance in the 2nd half last week.
Other thing is weather may be a little bit of a factor, 15ish MPH winds with higher gusts may place even more emphasis on running the ball
@HockeyNight11
Good write up. I personally think there's just too much going on in Michigan to hang in this one. Bad press still looming. A lot of turnover w/ players going to the NFL. Big time coaching concerns.
Because it's a match up between two powerhouses, I think it'll be close for a good part of the game but in the end, Texas is a double digit winner here. Possibly even a 3 score winner (17+)
@HockeyNight11
Good write up. I personally think there's just too much going on in Michigan to hang in this one. Bad press still looming. A lot of turnover w/ players going to the NFL. Big time coaching concerns.
Because it's a match up between two powerhouses, I think it'll be close for a good part of the game but in the end, Texas is a double digit winner here. Possibly even a 3 score winner (17+)
@DeadOnDannyK
There's certainly reason to think Texas wins. If I was placing a future bet today, I'd pick Texas to win it all at 7/1ish. Like I said if Michigan can't move the ball and let the defense rest then that advantage goes away completely. I just haven't seen any team be able to handle that front 4. Ewers was pressured on only 2 of 35 drop backs a week ago and the plays resulted in an INT and a sack. He will be pressured this week.
Texas is down its top 2 RB's and replace all the WR's with transfer guys who have 1 game together so lets not act like losing Xavier Worthy is nothing (2 TD's last night vs the Ravens is descent).
Bad press? I mean if that's the angle you want to gamble with then sure. Michigan is 9-0 with 4 top 10 wins under that angle. Meaningless imo but just saying.
@Last2thirst
I just like the matchup in the trenches and those are the teams I favor mostly. See this year after year with OSU. Stroud, JSN, Olave, Wilson came in against a defense not nearly as good as this, put up about 400 yards in the air and lost by 15. Texas is going to have to run the ball. I expect Michigan will give up yards between the 20's but really need to limit that long TD play. Texas RZ was as good as Iowa last year. Their 3rd down percentage was barely top 80 in the country. Those both need to be a lot better to win big games let alone cover 7. But yes as above if Michigan can't move the ball and give the soul of the team a breather (DL) then could be a long day. There's many ways to cap it!
@DeadOnDannyK
There's certainly reason to think Texas wins. If I was placing a future bet today, I'd pick Texas to win it all at 7/1ish. Like I said if Michigan can't move the ball and let the defense rest then that advantage goes away completely. I just haven't seen any team be able to handle that front 4. Ewers was pressured on only 2 of 35 drop backs a week ago and the plays resulted in an INT and a sack. He will be pressured this week.
Texas is down its top 2 RB's and replace all the WR's with transfer guys who have 1 game together so lets not act like losing Xavier Worthy is nothing (2 TD's last night vs the Ravens is descent).
Bad press? I mean if that's the angle you want to gamble with then sure. Michigan is 9-0 with 4 top 10 wins under that angle. Meaningless imo but just saying.
@Last2thirst
I just like the matchup in the trenches and those are the teams I favor mostly. See this year after year with OSU. Stroud, JSN, Olave, Wilson came in against a defense not nearly as good as this, put up about 400 yards in the air and lost by 15. Texas is going to have to run the ball. I expect Michigan will give up yards between the 20's but really need to limit that long TD play. Texas RZ was as good as Iowa last year. Their 3rd down percentage was barely top 80 in the country. Those both need to be a lot better to win big games let alone cover 7. But yes as above if Michigan can't move the ball and give the soul of the team a breather (DL) then could be a long day. There's many ways to cap it!
^^^All very good points made IMO. I'm just hoping for a great game that Texas will barely pull off and just Win.
(I have them in a teaser, LOL).
GL to all!
^^^All very good points made IMO. I'm just hoping for a great game that Texas will barely pull off and just Win.
(I have them in a teaser, LOL).
GL to all!
Week 2 Full:
Michigan +7 -105 *2u*
Oregon/Boise St over 60.5 *2u*
Bowling Green +34.5
Utah St +29
Prop: Kalel Mullings (MICH) over 51.5 rush yards
Have a good Saturday all
Edit: Forgot about Utah St +29
Week 2 Full:
Michigan +7 -105 *2u*
Oregon/Boise St over 60.5 *2u*
Bowling Green +34.5
Utah St +29
Prop: Kalel Mullings (MICH) over 51.5 rush yards
Have a good Saturday all
Edit: Forgot about Utah St +29
BOL!!
BOL!!
@UNIMAN
Im stunned he has 2 touches in this type of game. This was the path for Texas and they’ve been perfect. Super impressive team.
I don’t think my reason for taking the points was bad but you have to go execute. Not do everything you can’t do on both sides of it.
Complete whooping & a game that Michigan has no chance to play.
@UNIMAN
Im stunned he has 2 touches in this type of game. This was the path for Texas and they’ve been perfect. Super impressive team.
I don’t think my reason for taking the points was bad but you have to go execute. Not do everything you can’t do on both sides of it.
Complete whooping & a game that Michigan has no chance to play.
Loveland cost them any chance at all with that drop.
IMO, just too early in the season for this wolv team to play a team like Texas.
Will be looking to play Michigan as season wears on.
Loveland cost them any chance at all with that drop.
IMO, just too early in the season for this wolv team to play a team like Texas.
Will be looking to play Michigan as season wears on.
@emchu
They’re not built for this type of contest.
Too many mistakes and then some curious decisions with the play calling. Can’t have that and expect to be competitive with this type of opponent.
@emchu
They’re not built for this type of contest.
Too many mistakes and then some curious decisions with the play calling. Can’t have that and expect to be competitive with this type of opponent.
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