B1G Week 9

Season stats: 

B1G: 16-5-1 
All picks: 22-15-1
Props: 0-3 

@HockeyNight11

 Do you know the road record for ex pac 12 teams and big 10 road record it started out like 0-13 I believe I lost  track I know Penn st won tho 

It’s not great. Last week a couple of the teams won with Oregon @ Purdue, UCLA @ Rutgers… week before Minnesota won @ UCLA, Penn St won @ USC.

I think road teams had a 23% win percentage coming into last week when traveling cross country

First pick is a Friday night lights B1G play

USC -14

Mathematically I have this -14 if all things were equal… which I don’t believe that to be the case tonight. factor in the travel, style of play/talent, plus all Rutgers injuries and I have a hard time seeing the knights keep pace here. 

Good luck tonight HN.

@HockeyNight11

I rarely tail but I just might.  Could there be two blowouts in two separate sporting events only miles away??  This would have to be one of them and I just can't see how Rutgers got much better after having been mauled by Wisconsin at home last time out.  Just really hate these uber big lines but this is hardly a rivalry and Rutgers will still fear the USC name and uniform.

Great B1G capping season for you so far

@LAGameofInches

 I too prefer to be on the plus side of big lines. Just quite a few factors I think favor usc here - Rutgers is a wounded animal and if they get behind they’re not really built to air it out. USC skill guys should be able to find room. 

One thing that’s probably going to an issue with this new era of college football is the better players on 3-4 teams just shutting it down and starting draft prep. Hate that but I think it’s invetible.

The big 10 king 

@HockeyNight11

@HockeyNight11

 Thanks for sharing Big 10 man!

@CravinMorehead 

@mrod112 

@ebaysu

@monkeebooger

@osubucks1

@UNIMAN

@FelixFermin21

 will try to keep er goin today! 

17-5-1 in the B1G now this year. 

LFG! 

This weeks a little tough, actual game lines compared to mine are right on for most of these.. 

UM/MSU actually have MSU rated 2 points better so far but Michigan going back to Davis Warren tonight and he's been the only guy who's been able to throw the football. Problem is he has 6 INTs. Too many questions given a rivalry game plus the 2 QB's are complete wild cards with the TO's. Think Michigan run game + defense are the better units in this game but they've shown to not be able to play to their strengths so far. 

Numbers favor Penn St by 12, camp Randall at night plus a HUGE look ahead spot for Penn St here. Passing on this one, if it gets to 7 you have to consider Wisconsin but really not sure how good they are yet. Beating up on cupcakes lately and when they play the bigger brands they've gotten crushed. 

Illinois/Oregon I have the ducks by 20 here. Factor in the situation of Illinois off a big game beating Michigan now traveling cross country to the #1 team... good luck Illini. Not that Michigan is good this year but as mentioned last week Coach B "You prepare for Penn St, Ohio St, Michigan 365 days a year." They got the win and think this is a massive let down spot. Michigan moved it well actually and outgained Illinois by TO Tuttle was atrocious... don't think the Oregon offense and it's treasure trove of offensive weapons have much issue today. Travel + spot + style of play I think Oregon covers but again not overly confident as Illinois can muck it up if given the chance. The Illini are very small on the DL so expect a good rushing day from the Ducks.... and you know what that opens up.

Nebraska/OSU I've got OSU by 24. Huge game on deck for OSU. Nebraska off a drubbing. I do think the Nebraska pass rush can cause some problems. I really don't know what to make of Ohio St yet and this won't be the judgement week either. 6 games left - 3 are BIG ones and this isn't one of them. Number seems slightly inflated based on Nebraskas showing last week... but I'm not putting my money on it.

NW/Iowa... NW has won outright 3/4 last trips to Iowa City. Iowa with some injury concerns and no QB.  That typically doesn't bode well for covering as big favorites. 

B1G plays week 9: 

USC -14

Washington +6

I have Indiana as 2 points better today, no Rourke for Indiana so I'd say this is more of a toss up. UW has proven it can't do this travel thing as they lost to Rutgers (outgained them by a million though) & were a total no show @ Iowa 2 weeks ago. That was a bit of a let down spot though so a *small* pass there. Indiana, while good, is being a little overhyped imo. They've played one of the absolute worst schedules in the country, sitting outside the top 100 by the numbers I use and by far the worst in the B1G. UW has a good pass D and the Indiana QB today really struggled with TO's in his time last season. Think UW is live today... let's see if they can turn all these yards into points in Bloomington. If not then... well you know the story.

Maybe adding a 3:30 game but not really crazy about this weeks schedule. Forced some unders in a tough slate 2 weeks ago and that didn't work out well so sticking with 1 additional play for now. GL

@HockeyNight11

Indianas defense is lights out… The backup QB has high pedigree and some experience. I like Indiana 31-23 today. Good luck to you,

Indiana looks for real .

Well I did tail you so I do have to show gratitude 

@LAGameofInches

 Hopefully not Washington! 

once again they outgain an opponent and lose by margin. Indiana does look good, but idk I’ll still be looking for a spot to go against them coming up (they’ve been a cash cow for me this yr so can’t be too upset). 

Pick 6 + essentially a punt return TD make up the 14 pt difference. That falls outside my capping methods haha